Firstec

010820 · KOSPI · ₩010820 · 퍼스텍

₩4,900▼ ₩100 (2.00%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩6,217

vs the current price (₩4,900)

Enterprise value
₩198B
Equity value
₩303B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩2,717
−44.5%
Base
₩6,217
+26.9%
Bull
₩12,402
+153.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.7%).

Revenue growth

  • 22.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 17.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 12.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 7.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.7%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 4.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -10%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩351B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩96B
+ Stakes and investments
₩8.4B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
48,771,938
Share price
₩4,900
Market cap
₩239B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩173B₩207B₩295B₩430B₩506B₩571B₩616B₩635B
Growth8.1%19.7%42.2%22.6%17.7%12.8%7.9%3.0%
EBIT₩2.5B₩4.3B₩11B₩12B₩14B₩15B₩17B₩17B
EBIT margin1.4%2.1%3.6%2.7%2.7%2.7%2.7%2.7%
After-tax EBIT₩1.8B₩3.2B₩7.7B₩8.4B₩9.9B₩11B₩12B₩12B
+ Depreciation———₩16B₩19B₩21B₩23B₩23B
− Capital spending₩17B₩5.8B₩4.8B₩20B₩24B₩27B₩29B₩30B
− Working capital−₩37B−₩74B₩27B−₩7.9B−₩7.6B−₩6.5B−₩4.5B−₩1.8B
Free cash flow———₩12B₩12B₩12B₩10B₩7.9B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩11B₩11B₩9.7B₩7.9B₩5.6B

Terminal value ₩218B, worth ₩153B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩1,815 a share)Now 2.70×₩4,4972.48×₩5,4873.02×₩8,4324.65×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩298 a share)Now 16.4×₩4,35214.6×₩8,41428.2×₩19,91166.8×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩220 a share)Now 22.3×₩3,21514.6×₩6,21728.2×₩14,71266.8×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩6,177₩6,615₩7,156₩7,840₩8,733
6.8%₩5,835₩6,198₩6,638₩7,181₩7,867
7.3%₩5,547₩5,853₩6,217₩6,659₩7,203
7.8%₩5,301₩5,562₩5,869₩6,235₩6,678
8.3%₩5,089₩5,315₩5,577₩5,884₩6,251

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩239B
Enterprise value
₩142B
P/E
16.4×
P/B
2.7×
P/S
0.7×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,880₩2,965₩3,245₩3,280₩2,800
Market cap₩189B₩145B₩158B₩160B₩137B
P/E12.8×13.2×34.3×89.2×35.2×
P/B2.3×2.3×2.5×2.8×3.1×
P/S0.6×0.7×0.9×1.0×1.0×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Firstec16.4×2.7×0.7×—0.0%
Hanwha Aerospace17.8×3.0×1.2×—1.0%
Korea Aerospace Industries53.8×5.0×2.2×—0.5%
LIG Defense&Aerospace31.9×5.7×1.9×—0.7%
Satrec Initiative65.0×2.5×2.9×38.5×0.2%
Samyang Comtech7.8×1.3×1.5×—0.0%
Vitzro Nextech—4.1×5.9×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)31.9×3.5×2.0×38.5×0.3%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Firstec / 퍼스텍 / 010820 / KRX:010820

Source: KRX statistical information