LG InnotekLG이노텍
011070 · KOSPI · ₩011070 · LG이노텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩279,917
vs the current price (₩374,500)
- Enterprise value
- ₩7.5T
- Equity value
- ₩6.6T
- WACC
- 10.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩71,312
- −81.0%
- Base
- ₩279,917
- −25.3%
- Bull
- ₩602,091
- +60.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.6%).
Revenue growth
- 3.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 5.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 1.35
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.52, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩24T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩943B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩72B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 23,667,107
- Share price
- ₩374,500
- Market cap
- ₩8.9T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩21T | ₩21T | ₩22T | ₩25T | ₩26T | ₩27T | ₩28T | ₩28T |
| Growth | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩831B | ₩706B | ₩665B | ₩1.1T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.3T |
| EBIT margin | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩602B | ₩512B | ₩482B | ₩832B | ₩862B | ₩892B | ₩920B | ₩948B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.1T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.3T |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.9T | ₩949B | ₩755B | ₩1.4T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.6T | ₩1.6T |
| − Working capital | −₩381B | ₩965B | ₩332B | ₩45B | ₩44B | ₩43B | ₩42B | ₩41B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩488B | ₩508B | ₩528B | ₩547B | ₩566B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.903 | 0.815 | 0.736 | 0.665 | 0.600 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩441B | ₩414B | ₩389B | ₩364B | ₩340B |
Terminal value ₩9.2T, worth ₩5.5T today: 74% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩269,175 a share)Now 1.39× | ₩204,2300.76× | ₩370,4381.38× | ₩670,8512.49× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩28,019 a share)Now 13.4× | ₩164,2115.86× | ₩263,3199.40× | ₩575,53720.5× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩28,676 a share)Now 13.1× | ₩168,0575.86× | ₩269,4869.40× | ₩589,01820.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.7% | ₩294,838 | ₩308,857 | ₩324,662 | ₩342,626 | ₩363,226 |
| 10.2% | ₩275,110 | ₩287,282 | ₩300,909 | ₩316,273 | ₩333,734 |
| 10.7% | ₩257,450 | ₩268,085 | ₩279,917 | ₩293,163 | ₩308,097 |
| 11.2% | ₩241,555 | ₩250,900 | ₩261,238 | ₩272,739 | ₩285,614 |
| 11.7% | ₩227,176 | ₩235,430 | ₩244,514 | ₩254,563 | ₩265,741 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩8.9T
- Enterprise value
- ₩9.8T
- P/E
- 13.4×
- P/B
- 1.4×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩271,000 | ₩162,000 | ₩239,500 | ₩252,500 | ₩364,000 |
| Market cap | ₩6.4T | ₩3.8T | ₩5.7T | ₩6T | ₩8.6T |
| P/E | 18.8× | 8.5× | 10.0× | 6.1× | 9.8× |
| P/B | 1.1× | 0.7× | 1.2× | 1.4× | 2.6× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.2× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.7% | 1.3% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LG Innotek | 13.4× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 89.0× | 8.8× | 7.2× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 36.8× | 5.2× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 67.9× | 2.7× | 2.9× | — | 0.8% |
| Isupetasys | 32.5× | 7.6× | 5.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 41.5× | 6.5× | 4.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Leeno Industrial | 24.9× | 6.0× | 11.0× | — | 1.3% |
| Similar companies (median) | 39.2× | 6.2× | 4.8× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: LG Innotek / LG이노텍 / 011070 / KRX:011070
Source: KRX statistical information