CJ Seafood

011150 · KOSPI · ₩011150 · CJ씨푸드

₩1,649▼ ₩11 (0.66%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩1,105

vs the current price (₩1,649)

Enterprise value
₩46B
Equity value
₩40B
WACC
6.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩1,105
−33.0%
Bull
₩5,464
+231.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (1.9%).

Revenue growth

  • 8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 1.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 2.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 16.4%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.07, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩200B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩41B
+ Stakes and investments
₩35B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
36,130,773
incl. 200,000 preferred
Share price
₩1,649
Market cap
₩59B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩148B₩194B₩192B₩216B₩231B₩244B₩254B₩261B
Growth−2.9%30.6%−0.8%8.0%6.7%5.5%4.2%3.0%
EBIT₩4.1B₩4.4B−₩910M₩4.1B₩4.4B₩4.6B₩4.8B₩5B
EBIT margin2.8%2.2%−0.5%1.9%1.9%1.9%1.9%1.9%
After-tax EBIT₩3B₩3.2B−₩659M₩3B₩3.2B₩3.4B₩3.5B₩3.6B
+ Depreciation———₩3.7B₩3.9B₩4.1B₩4.3B₩4.4B
− Capital spending₩1.9B₩3.5B₩6.5B₩4.5B₩4.8B₩5.1B₩5.3B₩5.5B
− Working capital₩1.6B₩5.4B−₩3.4B₩2.6B₩2.4B₩2.1B₩1.7B₩1.2B
Free cash flow———−₩513M−₩121M₩298M₩803M₩1.3B
Discount factor———0.9440.8910.8410.7940.749
Present value———−₩485M−₩108M₩251M₩637M₩978M

Terminal value ₩59B, worth ₩44B today: 97% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩2,448 a share)Now 0.67×₩2,6411.08×₩3,3371.36×₩4,7841.95×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩49 a share)Now 33.9×₩78516.2×₩1,34927.7×₩3,35769.0×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩82 a share)Now 20.1×₩1,32616.2×₩2,27827.7×₩5,66969.0×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.0%₩1,392₩1,483₩1,603₩1,771₩2,021
5.5%₩1,189₩1,246₩1,318₩1,412₩1,543
6.0%₩1,028₩1,063₩1,105₩1,158₩1,228
6.5%₩897₩917₩940₩969₩1,004
7.0%₩788₩798₩810₩822₩837

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩59B
Enterprise value
₩97B
P/E
33.7×
P/B
0.7×
P/S
0.3×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩2,855₩2,905₩2,940₩2,875₩3,800
Market cap₩103B₩104B₩106B₩103B₩137B
P/E36.3×20.8×23.8×13.9×61.9×
P/B1.2×1.2×1.4×1.4×2.0×
P/S0.5×0.5×0.7×0.7×0.8×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
CJ Seafood33.7×0.7×0.3×—0.0%
Samyang Foods17.6×5.6×3.1×—0.4%
Orion10.8×1.1×1.3×5.4×3.0%
CJ Cheiljedang—0.3×0.1×—3.5%
Nongshim12.3×0.8×0.7×—1.5%
Otoki17.4×0.6×0.3×—2.8%
Hite Jinro23.7×1.0×0.5×6.4×4.4%
Similar companies (median)17.4×0.9×0.6×5.9×2.9%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: CJ Seafood / CJ씨푸드 / 011150 / KRX:011150

Source: KRX statistical information