Seohan서한
011370 · KOSDAQ · ₩011370 · 서한
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩30,638
vs the current price (₩3,715)
- Enterprise value
- ₩799B
- Equity value
- ₩618B
- WACC
- 4.8%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 725% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩3,715, the model needs an operating margin of 2.9% every year (it uses 7.2%).
- Today's P/E is 3.9× against a typical 3.8× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩9,877
- +165.9%
- Base
- ₩30,638
- +724.7%
- Bull
- ₩82,596
- +2,123.3%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (7.2%).
Revenue growth
- -4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -2.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 7.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.29, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩547B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩270B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩89B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 20,178,973
- Share price
- ₩3,715
- Market cap
- ₩75B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩622B | ₩749B | ₩645B | ₩525B | ₩513B | ₩510B | ₩516B | ₩532B |
| Growth | −14.8% | 20.5% | −13.9% | −4.0% | −2.3% | −0.5% | 1.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩24B | ₩26B | ₩63B | ₩38B | ₩37B | ₩37B | ₩37B | ₩38B |
| EBIT margin | 3.9% | 3.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩18B | ₩19B | ₩45B | ₩27B | ₩27B | ₩27B | ₩27B | ₩28B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.6B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.6B |
| − Capital spending | ₩6.4B | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩1.6B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.6B |
| − Working capital | −₩82B | ₩73B | −₩73B | −₩8.7B | −₩4.8B | −₩1B | ₩2.4B | ₩6.2B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩36B | ₩32B | ₩28B | ₩25B | ₩22B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.954 | 0.911 | 0.869 | 0.829 | 0.791 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩34B | ₩29B | ₩24B | ₩20B | ₩17B |
Terminal value ₩853B, worth ₩675B today: 84% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩27,261 a share)Now 0.14× | ₩4,3980.16× | ₩6,0060.22× | ₩11,4100.42× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩944 a share)Now 3.93× | ₩2,1212.25× | ₩3,5753.79× | ₩7,1197.54× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩3,857 a share)Now 0.96× | ₩8,6652.25× | ₩14,6083.79× | ₩29,0897.54× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.8% | ₩35,262 | ₩41,820 | ₩52,013 | ₩70,058 | ₩110,818 |
| 4.3% | ₩28,661 | ₩32,911 | ₩38,997 | ₩48,453 | ₩65,193 |
| 4.8% | ₩23,801 | ₩26,707 | ₩30,638 | ₩36,267 | ₩45,012 |
| 5.3% | ₩20,071 | ₩22,136 | ₩24,815 | ₩28,439 | ₩33,627 |
| 5.8% | ₩17,120 | ₩18,629 | ₩20,525 | ₩22,985 | ₩26,312 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩75B
- Enterprise value
- ₩345B
- P/E
- 3.9×
- P/B
- 0.1×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,510 | ₩4,250 | ₩4,900 | ₩5,650 | ₩8,325 |
| Market cap | ₩91B | ₩86B | ₩99B | ₩114B | ₩168B |
| P/E | 3.1× | 4.4× | 11.6× | 2.9× | 3.6× |
| P/B | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× | 0.5× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seohan | 3.9× | 0.1× | 0.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction | 22.8× | 1.1× | 0.4× | — | 0.9% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction | — | 1.6× | 0.8× | — | 0.0% |
| GS Engineering & Construction | 18.8× | 0.5× | 0.2× | — | 1.7% |
| DL E&C | 3.5× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 1.6% |
| KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering | 14.0× | 1.4× | 1.1× | 7.9× | 0.0% |
| Ipark Hyundai Development | 8.6× | 0.5× | 0.4× | — | 2.9% |
| Similar companies (median) | 14.0× | 0.8× | 0.4× | 7.9× | 1.2% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Seohan / 서한 / 011370 / KRX:011370
Source: KRX statistical information