Galaxia SM갤럭시아에스엠
011420 · KOSPI · ₩011420 · 갤럭시아에스엠
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,612
vs the current price (₩1,162)
- Enterprise value
- ₩70B
- Equity value
- ₩72B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 125% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,162, the model needs an operating margin of 6.0% every year (it uses 11.5%).
- Or revenue growth −28.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Today's P/E is 8.6× against a typical 17.3× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,611
- +38.6%
- Base
- ₩2,612
- +124.8%
- Bull
- ₩4,336
- +273.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.5%).
Revenue growth
- 10.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 11.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.27, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩42B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩4.1B
- − Minority interests
- ₩2.1B
- Shares
- 27,549,644
- Share price
- ₩1,162
- Market cap
- ₩32B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩33B | ₩32B | ₩40B | ₩47B | ₩51B | ₩54B | ₩56B | ₩58B |
| Growth | 9.5% | −1.4% | 24.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩4.6B | ₩3.2B | ₩4B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.8B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.5B | ₩6.7B |
| EBIT margin | 13.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.3B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.9B | ₩3.9B | ₩4.2B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.7B | ₩4.8B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩653M | ₩707M | ₩754M | ₩790M | ₩814M |
| − Capital spending | ₩857M | ₩820M | ₩31M | ₩792M | ₩859M | ₩916M | ₩960M | ₩988M |
| − Working capital | ₩5.3B | ₩4.4B | ₩249M | ₩1.7B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.3B | ₩1B | ₩677M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩2B | ₩2.5B | ₩3B | ₩3.5B | ₩4B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1.9B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.8B |
Terminal value ₩83B, worth ₩58B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,115 a share)Now 0.55× | ₩1,4260.67× | ₩2,2821.08× | ₩4,4492.10× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩136 a share)Now 8.57× | ₩1,43910.6× | ₩2,34817.3× | ₩3,10122.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩199 a share)Now 5.85× | ₩2,10810.6× | ₩3,43917.3× | ₩4,54222.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩2,823 | ₩3,010 | ₩3,239 | ₩3,528 | ₩3,904 |
| 6.8% | ₩2,569 | ₩2,716 | ₩2,893 | ₩3,110 | ₩3,384 |
| 7.3% | ₩2,356 | ₩2,473 | ₩2,612 | ₩2,780 | ₩2,985 |
| 7.8% | ₩2,174 | ₩2,269 | ₩2,380 | ₩2,512 | ₩2,670 |
| 8.3% | ₩2,017 | ₩2,095 | ₩2,185 | ₩2,290 | ₩2,414 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩32B
- Enterprise value
- ₩26B
- P/E
- 8.6×
- P/B
- 0.5×
- P/S
- 0.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,912 | ₩1,930 | ₩2,635 | ₩1,700 | ₩3,055 |
| Market cap | ₩53B | ₩53B | ₩73B | ₩47B | ₩84B |
| P/E | 14.2× | 18.4× | 27.1× | 10.2× | 22.9× |
| P/B | 0.7× | 0.8× | 1.0× | 1.4× | 2.5× |
| P/S | 1.3× | 1.6× | 2.2× | 1.6× | 2.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galaxia SM | 8.6× | 0.5× | 0.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Kangwon Land | 9.0× | 0.8× | 2.0× | 9.0× | 0.0% |
| Paradise | 11.7× | 0.5× | 0.7× | — | 1.6% |
| Seobu T&D | 7.3× | 0.7× | 2.4× | 10.8× | 0.9% |
| Grand Korea Leisure | 10.5× | 1.1× | 1.1× | 4.6× | 5.2% |
| Ananti | — | 0.6× | 1.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Mona Yongpyong | — | 0.3× | 0.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 9.7× | 0.6× | 1.4× | 9.0× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Galaxia SM / 갤럭시아에스엠 / 011420 / KRX:011420
Source: KRX statistical information