Galaxia SM

011420 · KOSPI · ₩011420 · 갤럭시아에스엠

₩1,162▼ ₩14 (1.19%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩2,612

vs the current price (₩1,162)

Enterprise value
₩70B
Equity value
₩72B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 125% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩1,162, the model needs an operating margin of 6.0% every year (it uses 11.5%).
  • Or revenue growth −28.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Today's P/E is 8.6× against a typical 17.3× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩1,611
+38.6%
Base
₩2,612
+124.8%
Bull
₩4,336
+273.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.5%).

Revenue growth

  • 10.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 11.5%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.27, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩42B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩4.1B
− Minority interests
₩2.1B
Shares
27,549,644
Share price
₩1,162
Market cap
₩32B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩33B₩32B₩40B₩47B₩51B₩54B₩56B₩58B
Growth9.5%−1.4%24.2%10.3%8.4%6.6%4.8%3.0%
EBIT₩4.6B₩3.2B₩4B₩5.4B₩5.8B₩6.2B₩6.5B₩6.7B
EBIT margin13.9%9.9%9.9%11.5%11.5%11.5%11.5%11.5%
After-tax EBIT₩3.3B₩2.3B₩2.9B₩3.9B₩4.2B₩4.5B₩4.7B₩4.8B
+ Depreciation———₩653M₩707M₩754M₩790M₩814M
− Capital spending₩857M₩820M₩31M₩792M₩859M₩916M₩960M₩988M
− Working capital₩5.3B₩4.4B₩249M₩1.7B₩1.6B₩1.3B₩1B₩677M
Free cash flow———₩2B₩2.5B₩3B₩3.5B₩4B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩1.9B₩2.2B₩2.4B₩2.6B₩2.8B

Terminal value ₩83B, worth ₩58B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩2,115 a share)Now 0.55×₩1,4260.67×₩2,2821.08×₩4,4492.10×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩136 a share)Now 8.57×₩1,43910.6×₩2,34817.3×₩3,10122.9×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩199 a share)Now 5.85×₩2,10810.6×₩3,43917.3×₩4,54222.9×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩2,823₩3,010₩3,239₩3,528₩3,904
6.8%₩2,569₩2,716₩2,893₩3,110₩3,384
7.3%₩2,356₩2,473₩2,612₩2,780₩2,985
7.8%₩2,174₩2,269₩2,380₩2,512₩2,670
8.3%₩2,017₩2,095₩2,185₩2,290₩2,414

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩32B
Enterprise value
₩26B
P/E
8.6×
P/B
0.5×
P/S
0.8×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩1,912₩1,930₩2,635₩1,700₩3,055
Market cap₩53B₩53B₩73B₩47B₩84B
P/E14.2×18.4×27.1×10.2×22.9×
P/B0.7×0.8×1.0×1.4×2.5×
P/S1.3×1.6×2.2×1.6×2.9×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Galaxia SM8.6×0.5×0.8×—0.0%
Kangwon Land9.0×0.8×2.0×9.0×0.0%
Paradise11.7×0.5×0.7×—1.6%
Seobu T&D7.3×0.7×2.4×10.8×0.9%
Grand Korea Leisure10.5×1.1×1.1×4.6×5.2%
Ananti—0.6×1.6×—0.0%
Mona Yongpyong—0.3×0.5×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)9.7×0.6×1.4×9.0×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Galaxia SM / 갤럭시아에스엠 / 011420 / KRX:011420

Source: KRX statistical information