Samyang Biopharm

0120G0 · KOSPI · ₩0120G0 · 삼양바이오팜

₩42,300▼ ₩1,200 (2.76%)End-of-day · Oct 26, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩2,999

vs the current price (₩42,300)

Enterprise value
₩20B
Equity value
₩22B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 93% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩42,300, the model needs an operating margin of 79.9% every year (it uses 9.4%).
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩1,579
−96.3%
Base
₩2,999
−92.9%
Bull
₩5,585
−86.8%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (9.4%).

Revenue growth

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.

Business

  • 9.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 1 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 18.9%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 23.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 1 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 1 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 48 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.05, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩29B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩2.7B
Shares
7,435,870
Share price
₩42,300
Market cap
₩315B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩29B₩29B₩30B₩31B₩32B₩33B
Growth—3.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%
EBIT₩2.7B₩2.8B₩2.9B₩2.9B₩3B₩3.1B
EBIT margin9.4%9.4%9.4%9.4%9.4%9.4%
After-tax EBIT₩2B₩2B₩2.1B₩2.1B₩2.2B₩2.3B
+ Depreciation—₩5.6B₩5.7B₩5.9B₩6.1B₩6.3B
− Capital spending₩6.7B₩7B₩7.2B₩7.4B₩7.6B₩7.8B
− Working capital—₩343M₩353M₩364M₩375M₩386M
Free cash flow—₩280M₩288M₩297M₩306M₩315M
Discount factor—0.9320.8680.8090.7530.702
Present value—₩261M₩250M₩240M₩230M₩221M

Terminal value ₩26B, worth ₩18B today: 94% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩3,345₩3,513₩3,719₩3,977₩4,310
6.8%₩3,042₩3,169₩3,321₩3,507₩3,739
7.3%₩2,788₩2,885₩2,999₩3,135₩3,301
7.8%₩2,573₩2,647₩2,733₩2,834₩2,955
8.3%₩2,387₩2,445₩2,510₩2,586₩2,675

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩315B
Enterprise value
₩312B
P/E
140.6×
P/B
1.3×
P/S
11.0×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

2025
Price₩52,500
Market cap₩390B
P/E174.6×
P/B1.7×
P/S13.7×
EV/EBITDA—
Dividend yield0.0%

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Samyang Biopharm140.6×1.3×11.0×—0.0%
Samsung Biologics33.9×8.0×14.8×—0.0%
Celltrion28.0×2.5×9.0×—0.0%
Alteogen78.8×28.4×59.9×—0.2%
Yuhan25.4×2.5×2.6×33.2×0.7%
SK biopharmaceuticals14.8×5.8×6.9×—0.0%
HLB—15.2×53.6×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)28.0×6.9×11.9×33.2×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Samyang Biopharm / 삼양바이오팜 / 0120G0 / KRX:0120G0

Source: KRX statistical information