Samyang Biopharm삼양바이오팜
0120G0 · KOSPI · ₩0120G0 · 삼양바이오팜
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,999
vs the current price (₩42,300)
- Enterprise value
- ₩20B
- Equity value
- ₩22B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 93% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩42,300, the model needs an operating margin of 79.9% every year (it uses 9.4%).
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,579
- −96.3%
- Base
- ₩2,999
- −92.9%
- Bull
- ₩5,585
- −86.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (9.4%).
Revenue growth
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
Business
- 9.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 1 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 18.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 23.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 1 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 1 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 48 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.05, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩29B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩2.7B
- Shares
- 7,435,870
- Share price
- ₩42,300
- Market cap
- ₩315B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩29B | ₩29B | ₩30B | ₩31B | ₩32B | ₩33B |
| Growth | — | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩2.7B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.9B | ₩3B | ₩3.1B |
| EBIT margin | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2B | ₩2B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.3B |
| + Depreciation | — | ₩5.6B | ₩5.7B | ₩5.9B | ₩6.1B | ₩6.3B |
| − Capital spending | ₩6.7B | ₩7B | ₩7.2B | ₩7.4B | ₩7.6B | ₩7.8B |
| − Working capital | — | ₩343M | ₩353M | ₩364M | ₩375M | ₩386M |
| Free cash flow | — | ₩280M | ₩288M | ₩297M | ₩306M | ₩315M |
| Discount factor | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.753 | 0.702 |
| Present value | — | ₩261M | ₩250M | ₩240M | ₩230M | ₩221M |
Terminal value ₩26B, worth ₩18B today: 94% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩3,345 | ₩3,513 | ₩3,719 | ₩3,977 | ₩4,310 |
| 6.8% | ₩3,042 | ₩3,169 | ₩3,321 | ₩3,507 | ₩3,739 |
| 7.3% | ₩2,788 | ₩2,885 | ₩2,999 | ₩3,135 | ₩3,301 |
| 7.8% | ₩2,573 | ₩2,647 | ₩2,733 | ₩2,834 | ₩2,955 |
| 8.3% | ₩2,387 | ₩2,445 | ₩2,510 | ₩2,586 | ₩2,675 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩315B
- Enterprise value
- ₩312B
- P/E
- 140.6×
- P/B
- 1.3×
- P/S
- 11.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | |
|---|---|
| Price | ₩52,500 |
| Market cap | ₩390B |
| P/E | 174.6× |
| P/B | 1.7× |
| P/S | 13.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samyang Biopharm | 140.6× | 1.3× | 11.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Biologics | 33.9× | 8.0× | 14.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 28.0× | 2.5× | 9.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 78.8× | 28.4× | 59.9× | — | 0.2% |
| Yuhan | 25.4× | 2.5× | 2.6× | 33.2× | 0.7% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 14.8× | 5.8× | 6.9× | — | 0.0% |
| HLB | — | 15.2× | 53.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 28.0× | 6.9× | 11.9× | 33.2× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Samyang Biopharm / 삼양바이오팜 / 0120G0 / KRX:0120G0
Source: KRX statistical information