Hyundai Mobis

012330 · KOSPI · ₩MOBIS · 현대모비스

₩353,000▲ ₩1,000 (0.28%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩328,399

vs the current price (₩353,000)

Enterprise value
₩28T
Equity value
₩29T
WACC
8.8%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩141,387
−59.9%
Base
₩328,399
−7.0%
Bull
₩639,666
+81.2%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Start from

Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.9%).

Revenue growth

  • 5.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 4.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 3.3%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 19.1%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.88

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.82, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩62T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩2T
Shares
89,820,585
Share price
₩353,000
Market cap
₩32T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩59T₩57T₩61T₩66T₩69T₩72T₩75T₩77T
Growth14.2%−3.4%6.8%5.6%4.9%4.3%3.6%3.0%
EBIT₩2.3T₩3.1T₩3.4T₩3.2T₩3.4T₩3.5T₩3.7T₩3.8T
EBIT margin3.9%5.4%5.5%4.9%4.9%4.9%4.9%4.9%
After-tax EBIT₩1.7T₩2.2T₩2.4T₩2.3T₩2.5T₩2.6T₩2.6T₩2.7T
+ Depreciation———₩1.7T₩1.8T₩1.9T₩1.9T₩2T
− Capital spending₩1.9T₩2.4T₩1.5T₩2.2T₩2.3T₩2.4T₩2.5T₩2.5T
− Working capital−₩3.4T₩3.5T₩1.6T₩667B₩616B₩567B₩495B₩427B
Free cash flow———₩1.2T₩1.4T₩1.5T₩1.6T₩1.8T
Discount factor———0.9190.8440.7750.7120.654
Present value———₩1.1T₩1.1T₩1.2T₩1.2T₩1.2T

Terminal value ₩33T, worth ₩22T today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩574,879 a share)Now 0.61×₩273,0190.47×₩311,7240.54×₩446,3360.78×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩40,441 a share)Now 8.73×₩232,6735.75×₩288,5167.13×₩390,9809.67×
P/E on run-rate earnings (preliminary Q3 2026 × 4: ₩26,625 a share)Now 13.3×₩153,1865.75×₩189,9527.13×₩257,4129.67×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.8%₩355,690₩369,292₩385,125₩403,814₩426,242
8.3%₩330,816₩341,835₩354,504₩369,246₩386,642
8.8%₩309,160₩318,162₩328,399₩340,165₩353,851
9.3%₩290,144₩297,547₩305,887₩315,369₩326,261
9.8%₩273,318₩279,442₩286,281₩293,981₩302,731

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩32T
Enterprise value
₩29T
P/E
8.7×
P/B
0.6×
P/S
0.5×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
1.8%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩373,000₩236,500₩237,000₩200,500₩254,500
Market cap₩34T₩21T₩21T₩18T₩23T
P/E9.2×5.2×6.2×7.2×9.7×
P/B0.7×0.5×0.5×0.5×0.6×
P/S0.5×0.4×0.4×0.3×0.5×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield1.7%2.5%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Hyundai Mobis8.7×0.6×0.5×—1.8%
SL6.0×0.9×0.4×3.7×0.0%
HL Mando10.7×0.6×0.2×—1.9%
Samhyun—12.1×17.1×—0.0%
Hyundai WIA19.4×0.4×0.2×—2.4%
SNT Dynamics13.0×0.7×0.8×—7.0%
SNT Motiv7.0×0.6×0.6×—7.0%
Similar companies (median)10.7×0.7×0.5×3.7×2.2%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Hyundai Mobis / 현대모비스 / 012330 / KRX:012330

Source: KRX statistical information