Kyung-In Synthetic

012610 · KOSPI · ₩012610 · 경인양행

₩2,995▲ ₩35 (1.18%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩3,964

vs the current price (₩2,995)

Enterprise value
₩342B
Equity value
₩165B
WACC
5.5%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩3,964
+32.4%
Bull
₩14,232
+375.2%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -1.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 6.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 6.4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.63

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.45, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩407B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩162B
+ Stakes and investments
₩10B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩25B
Shares
41,616,365
Share price
₩2,995
Market cap
₩125B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩345B₩374B₩380B₩399B₩396B₩398B₩405B₩418B
Growth−14.2%8.3%1.5%−1.9%−0.7%0.5%1.8%3.0%
EBIT−₩2.2B₩24B₩16B₩24B₩24B₩24B₩24B₩25B
EBIT margin−0.7%6.5%4.3%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%
After-tax EBIT−₩1.6B₩18B₩12B₩17B₩17B₩17B₩18B₩18B
+ Depreciation₩24B₩24B₩25B₩26B₩26B₩26B₩27B₩28B
− Capital spending₩30B₩24B₩15B₩26B₩25B₩25B₩26B₩27B
− Working capital−₩12B−₩21B−₩2.6B−₩3.1B−₩1.1B₩792M₩2.9B₩4.9B
Free cash flow₩4.9B₩38B₩24B₩21B₩19B₩17B₩16B₩14B
Discount factor———0.9480.8980.8510.8060.764
Present value———₩20B₩17B₩15B₩13B₩11B

Terminal value ₩349B, worth ₩267B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩6,088 a share)Now 0.49×₩3,0920.51×₩4,1210.68×₩6,6901.10×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩484 a share)Now 6.18×₩3,7747.79×₩6,53913.5×₩16,16533.4×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩959 a share)Now 3.12×₩7,4747.79×₩12,95213.5×₩32,01733.4×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.5%₩5,180₩5,938₩6,990₩8,553₩11,132
5.0%₩4,058₩4,562₩5,228₩6,152₩7,524
5.5%₩3,182₩3,527₩3,964₩4,542₩5,342
6.0%₩2,480₩2,719₩3,013₩3,387₩3,879
6.5%₩1,905₩2,071₩2,271₩2,517₩2,828

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩125B
Enterprise value
₩287B
P/E
6.2×
P/B
0.5×
P/S
0.3×
EV/EBITDA
5.7×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩4,875₩2,715₩3,850₩4,090₩6,940
Market cap₩203B₩113B₩160B₩170B₩289B
P/E36.0×7.4×—11.9×11.8×
P/B0.8×0.5×0.7×0.7×1.3×
P/S0.5×0.3×0.5×0.4×0.7×
EV/EBITDA8.8×5.7×16.5×7.4×9.8×
Dividend yield0.0%0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Kyung-In Synthetic6.2×0.5×0.3×5.7×0.0%
LG Chem—0.5×0.3×—0.9%
Hanwha Solutions—0.6×0.4×—0.0%
Hanwha6.2×0.4×0.1×—1.2%
SKC—2.1×2.0×—0.0%
KCC0.9×0.3×0.5×8.7×0.0%
Kumho Petro Chemical5.2×0.4×0.4×—1.6%
Similar companies (median)5.2×0.4×0.4×8.7×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Kyung-In Synthetic / 경인양행 / 012610 / KRX:012610

Source: KRX statistical information