HDC HoldingsHDC
012630 · KOSPI · ₩012630 · HDC
Valuation model · P/B vs ROE (excess return)
Banks, insurers and brokers don't suit a cash flow model (borrowing and lending is their business), so we value them on book value and return on equity: P/B vs ROE.
Fair value per share
₩35,278
vs the current price (₩21,350)
- Cost of equity
- 9.6%
- Fair P/B
- 0.66×
- P/B now
- 0.40×
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩18,700
- −12.4%
- Base
- ₩35,278
- +65.2%
- Bull
- ₩56,893
- +166.5%
Bear: ROE 2 points lower and cost of equity 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Business
- 7%
Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' equity.
Default: average return on equity of the last 3 annual reports.
- 2%
How fast book value and profits grow over the long run.
Default: close to the economy's long-run growth.
Discount rate
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 1
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 1.0. Measured beta is 0.6, but against a KOSPI dominated by chipmakers that understates a bank's or insurer's risk, so we use at least the market's.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
Starting point
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩1.3T
- Equity (book value)
- ₩3.2T
- Book value per share ₩53,488
- Shares
- 59,741,721
- Share price
- ₩21,350
- Market cap
- ₩1.3T
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| Cost of equity ↓ · ROE → | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.6% | ₩24,383 | ₩32,510 | ₩40,638 | ₩48,766 | ₩56,893 |
| 9.1% | ₩22,661 | ₩30,215 | ₩37,769 | ₩45,322 | ₩52,876 |
| 9.6% | ₩21,167 | ₩28,222 | ₩35,278 | ₩42,333 | ₩49,389 |
| 10.1% | ₩19,857 | ₩26,476 | ₩33,095 | ₩39,714 | ₩46,333 |
| 10.6% | ₩18,700 | ₩24,933 | ₩31,166 | ₩37,400 | ₩43,633 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩1.3T
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.3T
- P/E
- 2.9×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩18,710 | ₩11,910 | ₩6,890 | ₩5,490 | ₩10,450 |
| Market cap | ₩1.1T | ₩712B | ₩412B | ₩328B | ₩624B |
| P/E | 3.7× | 4.9× | 3.6× | — | 5.5× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.2× | 0.1× | 0.3× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.4% | 2.9% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDC Holdings | 2.9× | 0.4× | 0.2× | — | 2.1% |
| Mirae Asset Securities | 3.8× | 0.9× | 0.3× | — | 1.1% |
| NH Investment & Securities | 5.9× | 0.8× | — | — | 5.3% |
| Samsung Securities | 5.1× | 0.9× | — | — | 4.8% |
| KIWOOM Securities | 3.6× | 0.8× | 0.2× | 21.7× | 4.9% |
| Samsung Card | 7.3× | 0.5× | — | 28.5× | 6.8% |
| kakaopay | 52.4× | 2.3× | 4.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 5.5× | 0.8× | 0.3× | 25.1× | 4.8% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: HDC Holdings / HDC / 012630 / KRX:012630
Source: KRX statistical information