HDC Holdings

012630 · KOSPI · ₩012630 · HDC

₩21,350▲ ₩50 (0.23%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · P/B vs ROE (excess return)

Banks, insurers and brokers don't suit a cash flow model (borrowing and lending is their business), so we value them on book value and return on equity: P/B vs ROE.

Fair value per share

₩35,278

vs the current price (₩21,350)

Cost of equity
9.6%
Fair P/B
0.66×
P/B now
0.40×

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩18,700
−12.4%
Base
₩35,278
+65.2%
Bull
₩56,893
+166.5%

Bear: ROE 2 points lower and cost of equity 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Business

  • 7%

    Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' equity.

    Default: average return on equity of the last 3 annual reports.

  • 2%

    How fast book value and profits grow over the long run.

    Default: close to the economy's long-run growth.

Discount rate

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 1

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 1.0. Measured beta is 0.6, but against a KOSPI dominated by chipmakers that understates a bank's or insurer's risk, so we use at least the market's.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

Starting point

Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩1.3T
Equity (book value)
₩3.2T
Book value per share ₩53,488
Shares
59,741,721
Share price
₩21,350
Market cap
₩1.3T

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

Cost of equity ↓ · ROE →5.0%6.0%7.0%8.0%9.0%
8.6%₩24,383₩32,510₩40,638₩48,766₩56,893
9.1%₩22,661₩30,215₩37,769₩45,322₩52,876
9.6%₩21,167₩28,222₩35,278₩42,333₩49,389
10.1%₩19,857₩26,476₩33,095₩39,714₩46,333
10.6%₩18,700₩24,933₩31,166₩37,400₩43,633

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩1.3T
Enterprise value
₩2.3T
P/E
2.9×
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
2.1%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩18,710₩11,910₩6,890₩5,490₩10,450
Market cap₩1.1T₩712B₩412B₩328B₩624B
P/E3.7×4.9×3.6×—5.5×
P/B0.4×0.3×0.2×0.1×0.3×
P/S0.2×0.1×0.1×0.1×0.1×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield2.4%2.9%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
HDC Holdings2.9×0.4×0.2×—2.1%
Mirae Asset Securities3.8×0.9×0.3×—1.1%
NH Investment & Securities5.9×0.8×——5.3%
Samsung Securities5.1×0.9×——4.8%
KIWOOM Securities3.6×0.8×0.2×21.7×4.9%
Samsung Card7.3×0.5×—28.5×6.8%
kakaopay52.4×2.3×4.0×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)5.5×0.8×0.3×25.1×4.8%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: HDC Holdings / HDC / 012630 / KRX:012630

Source: KRX statistical information