Mobase Electronics모베이스전자
012860 · KOSDAQ · ₩012860 · 모베이스전자
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,222
vs the current price (₩2,025)
- Enterprise value
- ₩459B
- Equity value
- ₩236B
- WACC
- 6.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 59% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,025, the model needs an operating margin of 2.7% every year (it uses 3.2%).
- Or revenue growth −5.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Today's P/E is 6.2× against a typical 12.0× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩3,222
- +59.1%
- Bull
- ₩14,090
- +595.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.2%).
Revenue growth
- 4.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 5.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 1.09
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.13, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩231B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩17B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩9.2B
- Shares
- 73,233,457
- Share price
- ₩2,025
- Market cap
- ₩148B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩939B | ₩972B | ₩1T | ₩1.1T | ₩1.1T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.2T |
| Growth | 1.9% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩28B | ₩34B | ₩37B | ₩35B | ₩36B | ₩37B | ₩39B | ₩40B |
| EBIT margin | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩20B | ₩25B | ₩27B | ₩25B | ₩26B | ₩27B | ₩28B | ₩29B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩39B | ₩41B | ₩42B | ₩44B | ₩45B |
| − Capital spending | ₩37B | ₩46B | ₩49B | ₩49B | ₩51B | ₩53B | ₩54B | ₩56B |
| − Working capital | −₩14B | −₩94B | ₩25B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.2B | ₩2B | ₩1.9B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩16B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.940 | 0.884 | 0.831 | 0.782 | 0.735 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩12B |
Terminal value ₩543B, worth ₩399B today: 87% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,538 a share)Now 0.57× | ₩1,6470.47× | ₩2,3120.65× | ₩3,5241.00× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩329 a share)Now 6.16× | ₩2,0256.16× | ₩3,94812.0× | ₩6,29019.1× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩89 a share)Now 22.7× | ₩5516.16× | ₩1,07412.0× | ₩1,71019.1× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.3% | ₩3,614 | ₩4,311 | ₩5,215 | ₩6,436 | ₩8,176 |
| 5.8% | ₩2,881 | ₩3,415 | ₩4,088 | ₩4,962 | ₩6,140 |
| 6.3% | ₩2,285 | ₩2,705 | ₩3,222 | ₩3,872 | ₩4,715 |
| 6.8% | ₩1,792 | ₩2,129 | ₩2,535 | ₩3,034 | ₩3,661 |
| 7.3% | ₩1,378 | ₩1,653 | ₩1,978 | ₩2,370 | ₩2,851 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩148B
- Enterprise value
- ₩375B
- P/E
- 6.2×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,395 | ₩1,361 | ₩2,110 | ₩1,220 | ₩1,910 |
| Market cap | ₩102B | ₩100B | ₩155B | ₩89B | ₩140B |
| P/E | 5.1× | 6.3× | 16.7× | 11.1× | 16.2× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.8× | 0.5× | 0.8× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.2× | 0.1× | 0.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | 7.7× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobase Electronics | 6.2× | 0.6× | 0.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Mobis | 8.7× | 0.6× | 0.5× | — | 1.8% |
| SL | 6.0× | 0.9× | 0.4× | 3.7× | 0.0% |
| HL Mando | 10.7× | 0.6× | 0.2× | — | 1.9% |
| Samhyun | — | 12.1× | 17.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai WIA | 19.4× | 0.4× | 0.2× | — | 2.4% |
| SNT Dynamics | 13.0× | 0.7× | 0.8× | — | 7.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 10.7× | 0.7× | 0.5× | 3.7× | 1.9% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Mobase Electronics / 모베이스전자 / 012860 / KRX:012860
Source: KRX statistical information