Dongwon Development

013120 · KOSDAQ · ₩013120 · 동원개발

₩1,995▲ ₩11 (0.55%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩1,940

vs the current price (₩1,995)

Enterprise value
₩306B
Equity value
₩176B
WACC
6.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩422
−78.8%
Base
₩1,940
−2.7%
Bull
₩5,030
+152.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.9%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 6.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 0%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.2, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩335B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩136B
+ Stakes and investments
₩7.1B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩649M
Shares
90,808,100
Share price
₩1,995
Market cap
₩181B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩737B₩520B₩387B₩302B₩282B₩272B₩271B₩279B
Growth26.7%−29.4%−25.6%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩30B₩21B₩17B₩21B₩19B₩19B₩19B₩19B
EBIT margin4.1%4.0%4.4%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%6.9%
After-tax EBIT₩22B₩15B₩12B₩15B₩14B₩14B₩14B₩14B
+ Depreciation———₩0₩0₩0₩0₩0
− Capital spending₩0₩194M₩14M₩0₩0₩0₩0₩0
− Working capital₩100B−₩63B₩112B−₩13B−₩8.1B−₩3.9B−₩217M₩3.3B
Free cash flow———₩29B₩22B₩18B₩14B₩11B
Discount factor———0.9440.8900.8400.7930.748
Present value———₩27B₩20B₩15B₩11B₩8B

Terminal value ₩301B, worth ₩225B today: 74% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩11,655 a share)Now 0.17×₩2,2300.19×₩2,9940.26×₩5,3420.46×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩285 a share)Now 7.01×₩1,2424.36×₩1,6435.77×₩3,29511.6×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩259 a share)Now 7.69×₩1,1314.36×₩1,4965.77×₩2,99911.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.0%₩2,301₩2,582₩2,955₩3,478₩4,262
5.5%₩1,917₩2,118₩2,375₩2,718₩3,196
6.0%₩1,609₩1,757₩1,940₩2,175₩2,488
6.5%₩1,357₩1,468₩1,602₩1,769₩1,982
7.0%₩1,148₩1,231₩1,331₩1,452₩1,602

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩181B
Enterprise value
₩317B
P/E
7.0×
P/B
0.2×
P/S
0.5×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
4.5%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩2,790₩2,355₩3,160₩3,420₩5,340
Market cap₩253B₩214B₩287B₩311B₩485B
P/E9.7×11.7×6.7×4.6×6.7×
P/B0.2×0.2×0.3×0.3×0.5×
P/S0.7×0.4×0.4×0.5×1.2×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield3.2%3.4%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Dongwon Development7.0×0.2×0.5×—4.5%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction23.7×1.1×0.4×—0.8%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction—1.5×0.8×—0.0%
GS Engineering & Construction19.7×0.5×0.2×—1.7%
DL E&C3.6×0.4×0.3×—1.5%
KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering14.4×1.4×1.2×8.1×0.0%
Ipark Hyundai Development8.8×0.5×0.4×—2.9%
Similar companies (median)14.4×0.8×0.4×8.1×1.2%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Dongwon Development / 동원개발 / 013120 / KRX:013120

Source: KRX statistical information