A-Jin Industry아진산업
013310 · KOSDAQ · ₩013310 · 아진산업
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩4,620
vs the current price (₩2,155)
- Enterprise value
- ₩753B
- Equity value
- ₩179B
- WACC
- 4.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 114% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,155, the model needs an operating margin of 5.3% every year (it uses 5.5%).
- Or revenue growth −3.0 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 2.9% to 11.0% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 6.6× against a typical 4.6× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩4,620
- +114.4%
- Bull
- ₩67,882
- +3,050.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.5%).
Revenue growth
- 19.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (19.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 15%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (19.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 11%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (19.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (19.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (19.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 21.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 27.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 6.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.64
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.46, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩946B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩573B
- Shares
- 38,806,582
- Share price
- ₩2,155
- Market cap
- ₩84B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩764B | ₩777B | ₩1T | ₩1.1T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.6T |
| Growth | 27.9% | 1.6% | 29.9% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩84B | ₩32B | ₩64B | ₩62B | ₩71B | ₩79B | ₩85B | ₩87B |
| EBIT margin | 11.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩61B | ₩23B | ₩47B | ₩45B | ₩52B | ₩57B | ₩61B | ₩63B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩246B | ₩282B | ₩313B | ₩335B | ₩345B |
| − Capital spending | ₩208B | ₩249B | ₩227B | ₩306B | ₩352B | ₩391B | ₩418B | ₩431B |
| − Working capital | −₩45B | ₩2.6B | ₩133B | ₩11B | ₩10B | ₩8.8B | ₩6.2B | ₩2.9B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩27B | −₩29B | −₩29B | −₩28B | −₩25B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.957 | 0.916 | 0.876 | 0.839 | 0.803 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩26B | −₩26B | −₩26B | −₩23B | −₩20B |
Terminal value ₩1.1T, worth ₩874B today: 116% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩9,634 a share)Now 0.22× | ₩2,9590.31× | ₩4,0140.42× | ₩5,5210.57× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩326 a share)Now 6.60× | ₩1,0333.16× | ₩1,5044.61× | ₩3,31710.2× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5% | ₩6,272 | ₩11,953 | ₩21,419 | ₩40,359 | — |
| 4.0% | ₩1,788 | ₩5,433 | ₩10,897 | ₩20,002 | ₩38,218 |
| 4.5% | — | ₩1,116 | ₩4,620 | ₩9,874 | ₩18,629 |
| 5.0% | — | — | ₩464 | ₩3,833 | ₩8,883 |
| 5.5% | — | — | — | — | ₩3,069 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩84B
- Enterprise value
- ₩657B
- P/E
- 6.6×
- P/B
- 0.2×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 4.6%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,870 | ₩2,405 | ₩4,148 | ₩2,218 | ₩3,007 |
| Market cap | ₩111B | ₩93B | ₩161B | ₩86B | ₩117B |
| P/E | 4.8× | 5.0× | 3.2× | 2.9× | 48.2× |
| P/B | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.6× | 0.4× | 0.6× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.2× | 0.1× | 0.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.5% | 4.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A-Jin Industry | 6.6× | 0.2× | 0.1× | — | 4.6% |
| Hyundai Mobis | 8.7× | 0.6× | 0.5× | — | 1.8% |
| SL | 6.1× | 0.9× | 0.4× | 3.7× | 0.0% |
| HL Mando | 10.7× | 0.6× | 0.2× | — | 1.9% |
| Samhyun | — | 13.4× | 18.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai WIA | 19.3× | 0.4× | 0.2× | — | 2.4% |
| SNT Dynamics | 13.4× | 0.7× | 0.9× | — | 6.8% |
| Similar companies (median) | 10.7× | 0.7× | 0.5× | 3.7× | 1.9% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: A-Jin Industry / 아진산업 / 013310 / KRX:013310
Source: KRX statistical information