Kumkang Kind

014280 · KOSPI · ₩014280 · 금강공업

₩3,925▼ ₩145 (3.56%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩3,060

vs the current price (₩3,925)

Enterprise value
₩669B
Equity value
₩92B
WACC
4.7%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩3,060
−22.0%
Bull
₩47,927
+1,121.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.3%).

Revenue growth

  • 3.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 4.3%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 7.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 6.2%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 27.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.28, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩818B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩453B
+ Stakes and investments
₩32B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩156B
Shares
29,919,232
incl. 589,875 preferred
Share price
₩3,925
Market cap
₩118B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩857B₩801B₩802B₩844B₩871B₩898B₩926B₩954B
Growth17.6%−6.5%0.1%3.2%3.2%3.1%3.1%3.0%
EBIT₩67B₩33B₩10B₩36B₩37B₩39B₩40B₩41B
EBIT margin7.8%4.1%1.3%4.3%4.3%4.3%4.3%4.3%
After-tax EBIT₩48B₩24B₩7.6B₩26B₩27B₩28B₩29B₩30B
+ Depreciation₩61B₩62B₩66B₩65B₩67B₩69B₩71B₩73B
− Capital spending₩47B₩56B₩48B₩52B₩54B₩56B₩57B₩59B
− Working capital₩377B₩38B−₩26B₩7.1B₩7.4B₩7.4B₩7.6B₩7.6B
Free cash flow−₩315B−₩8B₩52B₩32B₩33B₩34B₩35B₩36B
Discount factor———0.9550.9130.8720.8330.796
Present value———₩30B₩30B₩30B₩29B₩29B

Terminal value ₩654B, worth ₩520B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩12,593 a share)Now 0.31×₩4,0860.32×₩5,5080.44×₩9,5790.76×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩972 a share)Now 4.04×₩2,9503.03×₩4,8514.99×₩9,77310.1×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
3.7%₩6,618₩9,823₩14,914₩24,287₩47,376
4.2%₩2,858₩4,808₩7,636₩12,126₩20,389
4.7%₩111₩1,359₩3,060₩5,524₩9,434
5.2%———₩1,371₩3,484
5.7%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩115B
Enterprise value
₩559B
P/E
—
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.1×
EV/EBITDA
6.0×
Dividend yield
3.1%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩6,060₩3,900₩5,680₩6,190₩7,820
Market cap₩178B₩114B₩167B₩182B₩229B
P/E—20.7×4.3×3.6×11.5×
P/B0.5×0.3×0.4×0.5×0.7×
P/S0.2×0.1×0.2×0.2×0.4×
EV/EBITDA7.6×5.6×4.2×0.9×1.7×
Dividend yield2.0%3.1%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Kumkang Kind—0.3×0.1×6.0×3.1%
POSCO Holdings16.1×0.4×0.3×7.7×3.7%
Korea Zinc18.6×1.6×0.9×—2.3%
Hyundai Steel—0.2×0.1×—1.9%
Poongsan8.0×0.7×0.3×5.9×3.0%
SeAH Besteel Holdings11.5×0.5×0.3×9.2×4.2%
Sama Aluminium—4.0×2.9×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)13.8×0.6×0.3×7.7×2.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Kumkang Kind / 금강공업 / 014280 / KRX:014280

Source: KRX statistical information