Sung Kwang Bend

014620 · KOSDAQ · ₩014620 · 성광벤드

₩26,350▲ ₩750 (2.93%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩19,852

vs the current price (₩26,350)

Enterprise value
₩463B
Equity value
₩527B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩13,863
−47.4%
Base
₩19,852
−24.7%
Bull
₩29,943
+13.6%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (15.2%).

Revenue growth

  • 0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 15.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1.5%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.31, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩247B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩64B
Shares
26,557,364
Share price
₩26,350
Market cap
₩700B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩255B₩228B₩246B₩248B₩250B₩254B₩260B₩267B
Growth4.4%−10.6%7.9%0.2%0.9%1.6%2.3%3.0%
EBIT₩45B₩42B₩42B₩38B₩38B₩39B₩39B₩41B
EBIT margin17.6%18.4%17.1%15.2%15.2%15.2%15.2%15.2%
After-tax EBIT₩33B₩30B₩30B₩27B₩28B₩28B₩29B₩29B
+ Depreciation———₩3B₩3B₩3B₩3.1B₩3.2B
− Capital spending₩2.7B₩2.9B₩5.5B₩3.7B₩3.7B₩3.8B₩3.9B₩4B
− Working capital₩29B₩29B₩34B₩198M₩891M₩1.6B₩2.3B₩3.1B
Free cash flow———₩26B₩26B₩26B₩26B₩26B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8080.7520.700
Present value———₩25B₩22B₩21B₩19B₩18B

Terminal value ₩512B, worth ₩359B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩21,163 a share)Now 1.25×₩11,8710.56×₩16,9400.80×₩33,9931.61×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,386 a share)Now 19.0×₩11,4768.28×₩19,42814.0×₩35,43425.6×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,443 a share)Now 18.3×₩11,9478.28×₩20,22614.0×₩36,88925.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩21,022₩22,287₩23,836₩25,782₩28,298
6.9%₩19,421₩20,429₩21,640₩23,125₩24,989
7.4%₩18,071₩18,887₩19,852₩21,013₩22,434
7.9%₩16,917₩17,587₩18,369₩19,293₩20,403
8.4%₩15,921₩16,477₩17,118₩17,865₩18,749

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩700B
Enterprise value
₩636B
P/E
19.0×
P/B
1.2×
P/S
2.8×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.8%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩25,750₩23,250₩12,160₩13,250₩7,980
Market cap₩684B₩617B₩323B₩352B₩212B
P/E19.9×15.1×8.2×9.0×—
P/B1.2×1.2×0.6×0.7×0.5×
P/S2.8×2.7×1.3×1.4×1.5×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.8%0.9%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Sung Kwang Bend19.0×1.2×2.8×—0.8%
POSCO Holdings16.6×0.4×0.3×7.8×3.5%
Korea Zinc18.9×1.6×0.9×—2.2%
Hyundai Steel—0.2×0.2×—1.9%
Poongsan8.3×0.7×0.3×6.0×2.8%
SeAH Besteel Holdings12.6×0.6×0.3×9.6×3.8%
Sama Aluminium—4.3×3.2×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)14.6×0.6×0.3×7.8×2.5%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Sung Kwang Bend / 성광벤드 / 014620 / KRX:014620

Source: KRX statistical information