Sung Kwang Bend성광벤드
014620 · KOSDAQ · ₩014620 · 성광벤드
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩19,852
vs the current price (₩26,350)
- Enterprise value
- ₩463B
- Equity value
- ₩527B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩13,863
- −47.4%
- Base
- ₩19,852
- −24.7%
- Bull
- ₩29,943
- +13.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (15.2%).
Revenue growth
- 0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 15.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.31, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩247B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩64B
- Shares
- 26,557,364
- Share price
- ₩26,350
- Market cap
- ₩700B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩255B | ₩228B | ₩246B | ₩248B | ₩250B | ₩254B | ₩260B | ₩267B |
| Growth | 4.4% | −10.6% | 7.9% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩45B | ₩42B | ₩42B | ₩38B | ₩38B | ₩39B | ₩39B | ₩41B |
| EBIT margin | 17.6% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 15.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩33B | ₩30B | ₩30B | ₩27B | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩29B | ₩29B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩3B | ₩3B | ₩3B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.2B |
| − Capital spending | ₩2.7B | ₩2.9B | ₩5.5B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.9B | ₩4B |
| − Working capital | ₩29B | ₩29B | ₩34B | ₩198M | ₩891M | ₩1.6B | ₩2.3B | ₩3.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩26B | ₩26B | ₩26B | ₩26B | ₩26B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩25B | ₩22B | ₩21B | ₩19B | ₩18B |
Terminal value ₩512B, worth ₩359B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩21,163 a share)Now 1.25× | ₩11,8710.56× | ₩16,9400.80× | ₩33,9931.61× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,386 a share)Now 19.0× | ₩11,4768.28× | ₩19,42814.0× | ₩35,43425.6× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,443 a share)Now 18.3× | ₩11,9478.28× | ₩20,22614.0× | ₩36,88925.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩21,022 | ₩22,287 | ₩23,836 | ₩25,782 | ₩28,298 |
| 6.9% | ₩19,421 | ₩20,429 | ₩21,640 | ₩23,125 | ₩24,989 |
| 7.4% | ₩18,071 | ₩18,887 | ₩19,852 | ₩21,013 | ₩22,434 |
| 7.9% | ₩16,917 | ₩17,587 | ₩18,369 | ₩19,293 | ₩20,403 |
| 8.4% | ₩15,921 | ₩16,477 | ₩17,118 | ₩17,865 | ₩18,749 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩700B
- Enterprise value
- ₩636B
- P/E
- 19.0×
- P/B
- 1.2×
- P/S
- 2.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩25,750 | ₩23,250 | ₩12,160 | ₩13,250 | ₩7,980 |
| Market cap | ₩684B | ₩617B | ₩323B | ₩352B | ₩212B |
| P/E | 19.9× | 15.1× | 8.2× | 9.0× | — |
| P/B | 1.2× | 1.2× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 0.5× |
| P/S | 2.8× | 2.7× | 1.3× | 1.4× | 1.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.8% | 0.9% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sung Kwang Bend | 19.0× | 1.2× | 2.8× | — | 0.8% |
| POSCO Holdings | 16.6× | 0.4× | 0.3× | 7.8× | 3.5% |
| Korea Zinc | 18.9× | 1.6× | 0.9× | — | 2.2% |
| Hyundai Steel | — | 0.2× | 0.2× | — | 1.9% |
| Poongsan | 8.3× | 0.7× | 0.3× | 6.0× | 2.8% |
| SeAH Besteel Holdings | 12.6× | 0.6× | 0.3× | 9.6× | 3.8% |
| Sama Aluminium | — | 4.3× | 3.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 14.6× | 0.6× | 0.3× | 7.8× | 2.5% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Sung Kwang Bend / 성광벤드 / 014620 / KRX:014620
Source: KRX statistical information