HL D&I Halla

014790 · KOSPI · ₩014790 · HL D&I

₩2,320 ₩0 (0.00%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩43,192

vs the current price (₩2,320)

Enterprise value
₩2.2T
Equity value
₩1.6T
WACC
4.5%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 1,762% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩2,320, the model needs an operating margin of 1.7% every year (it uses 4.2%).
  • Today's P/E is 4.4× against a typical 4.4× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩2,062
−11.1%
Base
₩43,192
+1,761.7%
Bull
₩159,644
+6,781.2%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.2%).

Revenue growth

  • 5.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 4.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 0.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 21.5%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.37, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩1.8T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩614B
+ Stakes and investments
₩71B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩19M
Shares
37,858,601
Share price
₩2,320
Market cap
₩88B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩1.6T₩1.6T₩1.7T₩1.9T₩2T₩2.1T₩2.2T₩2.3T
Growth6.8%0.4%10.3%5.8%5.1%4.4%3.7%3.0%
EBIT₩51B₩58B₩80B₩82B₩86B₩90B₩93B₩96B
EBIT margin3.2%3.7%4.6%4.2%4.2%4.2%4.2%4.2%
After-tax EBIT₩37B₩42B₩58B₩59B₩62B₩65B₩67B₩69B
+ Depreciation———₩1.9B₩2B₩2.1B₩2.2B₩2.3B
− Capital spending₩2.3B₩758M₩3.2B₩1.9B₩2B₩2.1B₩2.2B₩2.3B
− Working capital₩6B₩142B−₩69B₩23B₩21B₩19B₩17B₩14B
Free cash flow———₩36B₩41B₩46B₩50B₩55B
Discount factor———0.9570.9160.8770.8400.804
Present value———₩35B₩38B₩40B₩42B₩44B

Terminal value ₩2.5T, worth ₩2T today: 91% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩15,430 a share)Now 0.15×₩2,5850.17×₩3,1550.20×₩7,3410.48×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩531 a share)Now 4.37×₩8971.69×₩2,3204.37×₩4,2037.91×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,115 a share)Now 2.08×₩1,8811.69×₩4,8674.37×₩8,8187.91×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
3.5%₩49,874₩62,393₩83,434₩126,276—
4.0%₩38,705₩46,477₩58,183₩77,856₩117,910
4.5%₩30,767₩35,940₩43,192₩54,112₩72,463
5.0%₩24,839₩28,451₩33,266₩40,014₩50,175
5.5%₩20,244₩22,857₩26,210₩30,678₩36,940

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩88B
Enterprise value
₩702B
P/E
4.4×
P/B
0.2×
P/S
0.0×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩2,700₩2,215₩2,055₩2,680₩5,400
Market cap₩102B₩84B₩78B₩101B₩204B
P/E6.7×3.9×2.5×4.0×2.1×
P/B0.2×0.2×0.2×0.2×0.5×
P/S0.1×0.1×0.0×0.1×0.1×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
HL D&I Halla4.4×0.2×0.0×—0.0%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction23.7×1.1×0.4×—0.8%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction—1.5×0.8×—0.0%
GS Engineering & Construction19.7×0.5×0.2×—1.7%
DL E&C3.6×0.4×0.3×—1.5%
KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering14.4×1.4×1.2×8.1×0.0%
Ipark Hyundai Development8.8×0.5×0.4×—2.9%
Similar companies (median)14.4×0.8×0.4×8.1×1.2%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: HL D&I Halla / HL D&I / 014790 / KRX:014790

Source: KRX statistical information