Unid유니드
014830 · KOSPI · ₩014830 · 유니드
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩191,584
vs the current price (₩52,800)
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.3T
- Equity value
- ₩1.3T
- WACC
- 6.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 263% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩52,800, the model needs an operating margin of 3.5% every year (it uses 7.7%).
- Margins ranged from 2.8% to 15.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 37% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 4.1× against a typical 6.3× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩92,501
- +75.2%
- Base
- ₩191,584
- +262.8%
- Bull
- ₩378,599
- +617.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (7.7%).
Revenue growth
- -1.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 7.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 8.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 22.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.12, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.5T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩119B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩83B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 6,767,600
- Share price
- ₩52,800
- Market cap
- ₩357B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩1.1T | ₩1.1T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.5T |
| Growth | −19.3% | −1.9% | 20.4% | −1.6% | −0.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩32B | ₩95B | ₩88B | ₩111B | ₩110B | ₩111B | ₩113B | ₩116B |
| EBIT margin | 2.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩23B | ₩69B | ₩64B | ₩80B | ₩80B | ₩80B | ₩82B | ₩84B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩101B | ₩100B | ₩101B | ₩103B | ₩106B |
| − Capital spending | ₩99B | ₩123B | ₩85B | ₩125B | ₩124B | ₩125B | ₩128B | ₩132B |
| − Working capital | −₩62B | ₩245B | ₩7.7B | −₩5.3B | −₩1.3B | ₩2.3B | ₩6.3B | ₩10B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩61B | ₩57B | ₩54B | ₩51B | ₩49B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.939 | 0.882 | 0.828 | 0.777 | 0.730 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩57B | ₩50B | ₩44B | ₩39B | ₩35B |
Terminal value ₩1.5T, worth ₩1.1T today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩179,377 a share)Now 0.29× | ₩75,2210.42× | ₩98,6120.55× | ₩139,8200.78× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩12,871 a share)Now 4.10× | ₩51,5064.00× | ₩80,6536.27× | ₩205,58816.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | ₩207,465 | ₩225,785 | ₩249,279 | ₩280,535 | ₩324,202 |
| 6.0% | ₩185,431 | ₩199,402 | ₩216,816 | ₩239,147 | ₩268,852 |
| 6.5% | ₩167,425 | ₩178,316 | ₩191,584 | ₩208,120 | ₩229,325 |
| 7.0% | ₩152,440 | ₩161,082 | ₩171,415 | ₩184,002 | ₩199,690 |
| 7.5% | ₩139,777 | ₩146,736 | ₩154,928 | ₩164,721 | ₩176,650 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩357B
- Enterprise value
- ₩471B
- P/E
- 4.1×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩67,200 | ₩72,300 | ₩67,800 | ₩81,400 | ₩116,163 |
| Market cap | ₩455B | ₩489B | ₩459B | ₩551B | ₩786B |
| P/E | 7.0× | 6.4× | 28.2× | 4.4× | 4.3× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.6× | 0.8× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.0% | 2.5% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unid | 4.1× | 0.3× | 0.2× | — | 3.8% |
| LG Chem | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Solutions | — | 0.6× | 0.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha | 6.2× | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 1.4% |
| SKC | — | 2.1× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| KCC | 0.9× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 8.7× | 0.0% |
| Kumho Petro Chemical | 5.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | — | 1.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 5.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 8.7× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Unid / 유니드 / 014830 / KRX:014830
Source: KRX statistical information