Whanin Pharm

016580 · KOSPI · ₩016580 · 환인제약

₩10,140▼ ₩90 (0.88%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩27,719

vs the current price (₩10,140)

Enterprise value
₩398B
Equity value
₩516B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 173% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩10,140, the model needs an operating margin of 3.8% every year (it uses 11.1%).
  • Margins ranged from 5.1% to 17.6% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • Today's P/E is 9.2× against a typical 11.5× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩19,042
+87.8%
Base
₩27,719
+173.4%
Bull
₩42,684
+321.0%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Start from

Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.1%).

Revenue growth

  • 8.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 7.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 11.1%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.04, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩273B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩63B
+ Stakes and investments
₩54B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
18,600,070
Share price
₩10,140
Market cap
₩189B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩230B₩260B₩255B₩297B₩319B₩337B₩352B₩363B
Growth15.8%12.7%−1.7%8.7%7.2%5.8%4.4%3.0%
EBIT₩30B₩21B₩13B₩33B₩35B₩37B₩39B₩40B
EBIT margin13.1%8.3%5.1%11.1%11.1%11.1%11.1%11.1%
After-tax EBIT₩22B₩16B₩9.4B₩24B₩26B₩27B₩28B₩29B
+ Depreciation₩5.5B₩7B₩8.2B₩8.3B₩8.9B₩9.4B₩9.9B₩10B
− Capital spending———₩12B₩13B₩13B₩14B₩15B
− Working capital−₩3.5B₩2.7B−₩6.7B₩9.5B₩8.6B₩7.4B₩5.9B₩4.2B
Free cash flow———₩11B₩13B₩16B₩18B₩21B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8080.7520.700
Present value———₩10B₩11B₩13B₩14B₩14B

Terminal value ₩479B, worth ₩335B today: 84% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩22,875 a share)Now 0.44×₩10,4430.46×₩16,9850.74×₩22,8181.00×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,100 a share)Now 9.22×₩9,3288.48×₩12,63211.5×₩15,45014.1×
P/E on run-rate earnings (preliminary Q3 2026 × 4: ₩1,395 a share)Now 7.27×₩11,8388.48×₩16,03111.5×₩19,60714.1×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩29,572₩31,112₩32,996₩35,359₩38,412
6.9%₩27,420₩28,631₩30,085₩31,865₩34,095
7.4%₩25,608₩26,576₩27,719₩29,090₩30,768
7.9%₩24,063₩24,846₩25,758₩26,834₩28,125
8.4%₩22,731₩23,371₩24,107₩24,964₩25,976

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩189B
Enterprise value
₩125B
P/E
9.2×
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.7×
EV/EBITDA
4.1×
Dividend yield
3.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩11,320₩11,810₩15,040₩17,600₩17,800
Market cap₩211B₩220B₩280B₩327B₩331B
P/E15.5×9.4×9.4×13.7×12.4×
P/B0.5×0.6×0.8×1.0×1.0×
P/S0.8×0.8×1.2×1.6×1.9×
EV/EBITDA7.0×6.2×6.2×8.4×7.2×
Dividend yield2.7%2.5%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Whanin Pharm9.2×0.4×0.7×4.1×3.0%
Samsung Biologics32.0×7.6×14.0×—0.0%
Celltrion27.9×2.5×9.0×—0.0%
Alteogen80.5×29.0×61.2×—0.1%
SK biopharmaceuticals14.7×5.8×6.8×—0.0%
Yuhan24.0×2.4×2.5×31.3×0.8%
HLB—15.7×55.6×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)27.9×6.7×11.5×31.3×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Whanin Pharm / 환인제약 / 016580 / KRX:016580

Source: KRX statistical information