Dmoa디모아
016670 · KOSDAQ · ₩016670 · 디모아
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩9,055
vs the current price (₩2,435)
- Enterprise value
- ₩33B
- Equity value
- ₩92B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 272% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,435, the model needs an operating margin of −11.5% every year (it uses 12.8%).
- Margins ranged from 1.3% to 17.6% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 51% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩7,943
- +226.2%
- Base
- ₩9,055
- +271.9%
- Bull
- ₩10,959
- +350.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (12.8%).
Revenue growth
- -8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -5.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -2.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 12.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.04, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩25B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩53B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩6.9B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 10,194,234
- Share price
- ₩2,435
- Market cap
- ₩25B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩25B | ₩20B | ₩23B | ₩23B | ₩22B | ₩22B | ₩22B | ₩22B |
| Growth | −14.8% | −21.0% | 15.7% | −8.0% | −5.3% | −2.5% | 0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩4B | ₩2.3B | ₩4.1B | ₩3B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.8B |
| EBIT margin | 15.8% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.9B | ₩1.7B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.2B | ₩2B | ₩2B | ₩2B | ₩2.1B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩699M | ₩662M | ₩645M | ₩646M | ₩666M |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩931M | ₩882M | ₩860M | ₩862M | ₩888M |
| − Working capital | −₩7.4B | −₩6.8B | −₩2.9B | −₩810M | −₩494M | −₩221M | ₩17M | ₩259M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩2.7B | ₩2.3B | ₩2B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.6B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩2.5B | ₩2B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.1B |
Terminal value ₩34B, worth ₩24B today: 74% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩9,083 a share)Now 0.27× | ₩4,1960.46× | ₩12,8651.42× | ₩41,4044.56× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩9,283 | ₩9,491 | ₩9,746 | ₩10,066 | ₩10,478 |
| 6.9% | ₩9,002 | ₩9,167 | ₩9,365 | ₩9,608 | ₩9,912 |
| 7.4% | ₩8,765 | ₩8,898 | ₩9,055 | ₩9,243 | ₩9,474 |
| 7.9% | ₩8,562 | ₩8,670 | ₩8,796 | ₩8,946 | ₩9,125 |
| 8.4% | ₩8,386 | ₩8,476 | ₩8,578 | ₩8,698 | ₩8,840 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩25B
- Enterprise value
- −₩30B
- P/E
- 2.7×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 1.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,425 | ₩3,615 | ₩11,912 | ₩14,247 | ₩32,927 |
| Market cap | ₩45B | ₩37B | ₩121B | ₩145B | ₩336B |
| P/E | 4.1× | 11.6× | — | — | — |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.6× | 2.3× | 2.7× | 7.1× |
| P/S | 2.0× | 1.8× | 4.8× | 4.9× | 24.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dmoa | 2.7× | 0.3× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung C&T | 18.8× | 0.5× | 1.2× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.6× | 1.3× | 0.3× | — | 3.7% |
| ISC | 45.3× | 6.0× | 12.6× | — | 0.5% |
| Youngone | 5.1× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.1% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 18.9× | 1.6× | 5.1× | — | 4.2% |
| Shinsegae | 14.4× | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 2.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.6× | 1.0× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Dmoa / 디모아 / 016670 / KRX:016670
Source: KRX statistical information