Fursys

016800 · KOSPI · ₩016800 · 퍼시스

₩23,850▲ ₩100 (0.42%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩26,035

vs the current price (₩23,850)

Enterprise value
₩176B
Equity value
₩299B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩16,575
−30.5%
Base
₩26,035
+9.2%
Bull
₩43,236
+81.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.1%).

Revenue growth

  • -2.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 6.1%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 10%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 12.5%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 20.1%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.04, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩357B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩104B
+ Stakes and investments
₩20B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
11,500,000
Share price
₩23,850
Market cap
₩274B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩363B₩386B₩358B₩350B₩347B₩349B₩355B₩365B
Growth−4.8%6.3%−7.1%−2.1%−0.8%0.5%1.7%3.0%
EBIT₩35B₩21B₩5.7B₩21B₩21B₩21B₩22B₩22B
EBIT margin9.7%5.6%1.6%6.1%6.1%6.1%6.1%6.1%
After-tax EBIT₩26B₩16B₩4.2B₩15B₩15B₩15B₩16B₩16B
+ Depreciation———₩35B₩35B₩35B₩35B₩37B
− Capital spending₩5.6B₩99B₩36B₩44B₩43B₩44B₩44B₩46B
− Working capital−₩11B₩13B−₩11B−₩1.5B−₩563M₩349M₩1.2B₩2.1B
Free cash flow———₩8.2B₩7.2B₩6.4B₩5.6B₩4.9B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩7.7B₩6.3B₩5.1B₩4.2B₩3.4B

Terminal value ₩212B, worth ₩149B today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩54,905 a share)Now 0.43×₩36,0550.66×₩44,6950.81×₩50,0680.91×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩5,239 a share)Now 4.55×₩32,3496.17×₩52,77210.1×₩144,77627.6×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩11,027 a share)Now 2.16×₩68,0916.17×₩111,07810.1×₩304,73627.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩27,476₩28,549₩29,867₩31,524₩33,674
6.8%₩25,908₩26,744₩27,750₩28,983₩30,534
7.3%₩24,592₩25,254₩26,035₩26,975₩28,127
7.8%₩23,473₩24,003₩24,619₩25,348₩26,224
8.3%₩22,511₩22,939₩23,431₩24,005₩24,682

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩274B
Enterprise value
₩171B
P/E
4.6×
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.8×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
4.2%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩46,550₩40,800₩30,500₩30,400₩35,800
Market cap₩535B₩469B₩351B₩350B₩412B
P/E15.0×9.8×5.2×59.5×9.1×
P/B0.9×0.8×0.7×0.7×0.8×
P/S1.5×1.2×1.0×0.9×1.3×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield2.1%2.9%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Fursys4.6×0.4×0.8×—4.2%
AceBed5.7×0.5×1.1×—0.0%
Zinus—0.2×0.2×—1.5%
Hyundai Livart Furniture18.8×0.3×0.1×—2.5%
Sidiz20.7×0.5×0.2×—0.0%
Ggumbi—0.5×0.2×—0.0%
Enex—0.6×0.1×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)18.8×0.5×0.2×—0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Fursys / 퍼시스 / 016800 / KRX:016800

Source: KRX statistical information