Kwang Myung Electric

017040 · KOSPI · ₩017040 · 광명전기

₩932 ₩0 (0.00%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩65B
Equity value
−₩77B
WACC
6.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩932, the model needs an operating margin of 6.5% every year (it uses −4.1%).
  • Margins ranged from −10.4% to 3.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−4.1%).

Revenue growth

  • -9.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -4.1%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 10.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 13.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -10%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.27, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩83B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩21B
+ Stakes and investments
₩9.2B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
43,337,615
Share price
₩932
Market cap
₩40B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩153B₩142B₩96B₩75B₩70B₩68B₩68B₩70B
Growth17.3%−6.8%−32.7%−9.7%−6.5%−3.4%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT−₩2.9B−₩8.8B−₩10B−₩3.1B−₩2.9B−₩2.8B−₩2.8B−₩2.9B
EBIT margin−1.9%−6.2%−10.4%−4.1%−4.1%−4.1%−4.1%−4.1%
After-tax EBIT−₩2.1B−₩6.4B−₩7.2B−₩2.2B−₩2.1B−₩2B−₩2B−₩2.1B
+ Depreciation———₩7.9B₩7.4B₩7.1B₩7.1B₩7.3B
− Capital spending—₩37B₩472M₩9.9B₩9.2B₩8.9B₩8.9B₩9.1B
− Working capital−₩16B−₩31B−₩58B₩808M₩489M₩239M₩14M−₩203M
Free cash flow———−₩5B−₩4.4B−₩4B−₩3.8B−₩3.7B
Discount factor———0.9410.8860.8330.7840.738
Present value———−₩4.7B−₩3.9B−₩3.4B−₩3B−₩2.7B

Terminal value −₩64B, worth −₩47B today: 73% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.3%—————
5.8%—————
6.3%—————
6.8%—————
7.3%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩40B
Enterprise value
₩61B
P/E
—
P/B
—
P/S
0.5×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩1,234₩1,553₩2,360₩2,085₩2,570
Market cap₩53B₩67B₩102B₩90B₩111B
P/E——7.5×21.8×24.0×
P/B8.6×0.9×0.9×0.9×1.2×
P/S0.6×0.5×0.7×0.7×0.9×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Kwang Myung Electric——0.5×—0.0%
LS Electric63.5×11.6×4.3×39.3×0.0%
Hyosung Heavy Industries31.8×7.2×2.9×—0.4%
HD Hyundai Electric19.6×7.4×3.8×—0.0%
Gaon Cable117.0×14.2×2.6×61.1×0.0%
Sanil Electric27.9×7.6×8.5×—0.8%
Taihan Cable & Solution—2.3×1.0×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)31.8×7.5×3.4×50.2×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Kwang Myung Electric / 광명전기 / 017040 / KRX:017040

Source: KRX statistical information