Wooshin Systems우신시스템
017370 · KOSPI · ₩017370 · 우신시스템
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩7,794
vs the current price (₩3,620)
- Enterprise value
- ₩264B
- Equity value
- ₩143B
- WACC
- 5.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 115% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩3,620, the model needs an operating margin of 3.2% every year (it uses 3.9%).
- Or revenue growth −10.6 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from −4.4% to 6.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 65% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 4.8× against a typical 7.3× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩7,794
- +115.3%
- Bull
- ₩37,831
- +945.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.9%).
Revenue growth
- 15.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 12.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 9.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 5.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 20.1%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.22, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩354B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩122B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩257M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 18,314,054
- Share price
- ₩3,620
- Market cap
- ₩66B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩242B | ₩564B | ₩389B | ₩408B | ₩457B | ₩499B | ₩529B | ₩545B |
| Growth | −4.8% | 132.7% | −31.0% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩12B | ₩36B | ₩21B | ₩16B | ₩18B | ₩19B | ₩21B | ₩21B |
| EBIT margin | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩9B | ₩26B | ₩15B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩15B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩18B | ₩21B | ₩22B | ₩24B | ₩25B |
| − Capital spending | ₩19B | ₩20B | ₩21B | ₩23B | ₩26B | ₩28B | ₩30B | ₩31B |
| − Working capital | −₩27B | ₩122B | −₩37B | ₩11B | ₩9.9B | ₩8.4B | ₩6B | ₩3.2B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩3.7B | −₩2B | ₩254M | ₩3.1B | ₩6.2B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.950 | 0.903 | 0.858 | 0.815 | 0.774 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩3.5B | −₩1.8B | ₩218M | ₩2.5B | ₩4.8B |
Terminal value ₩338B, worth ₩262B today: 99% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩8,580 a share)Now 0.42× | ₩4,2220.49× | ₩6,9370.81× | ₩12,7071.48× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩749 a share)Now 4.84× | ₩3,0364.06× | ₩5,4687.31× | ₩18,76025.1× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩38 a share)Now 95.7× | ₩1534.06× | ₩2767.31× | ₩94825.1× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.2% | ₩9,872 | ₩12,051 | ₩15,189 | ₩20,110 | ₩28,963 |
| 4.7% | ₩7,345 | ₩8,816 | ₩10,813 | ₩13,690 | ₩18,201 |
| 5.2% | ₩5,420 | ₩6,451 | ₩7,794 | ₩9,617 | ₩12,242 |
| 5.7% | ₩3,906 | ₩4,650 | ₩5,588 | ₩6,806 | ₩8,461 |
| 6.2% | ₩2,686 | ₩3,234 | ₩3,906 | ₩4,752 | ₩5,852 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩66B
- Enterprise value
- ₩188B
- P/E
- 4.8×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩6,200 | ₩5,700 | ₩8,840 | ₩3,200 | ₩4,095 |
| Market cap | ₩114B | ₩104B | ₩162B | ₩59B | ₩75B |
| P/E | 7.6× | 3.1× | 21.8× | 21.2× | — |
| P/B | 0.7× | 0.8× | 1.7× | 0.7× | 0.9× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.2× | 0.7× | 0.2× | 0.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.5% | 0.9% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wooshin Systems | 4.8× | 0.4× | 0.2× | — | 0.8% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 217.2× | 4.8× | 2.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 87.4× | 26.0× | 35.2× | 78.7× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,189.7× | 14.6× | 38.2× | 2,291.7× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,610.6× | 59.1× | 174.0× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 47.5× | 6.9× | 11.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Wonik IPS | 28.2× | 4.5× | 5.3× | 42.7× | 0.2% |
| Similar companies (median) | 152.3× | 10.7× | 23.4× | 78.7× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Wooshin Systems / 우신시스템 / 017370 / KRX:017370
Source: KRX statistical information