Soosan Cebotics

017550 · KOSPI · ₩017550 · 수산세보틱스

₩1,719▼ ₩5 (0.29%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩2,171

vs the current price (₩1,719)

Enterprise value
₩169B
Equity value
₩135B
WACC
6.8%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩848
−50.7%
Base
₩2,171
+26.3%
Bull
₩4,682
+172.4%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (7.3%).

Revenue growth

  • -7.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -4.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -2.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 7.3%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 5.4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.65

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.48, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩245B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩33B
Shares
62,399,130
Share price
₩1,719
Market cap
₩107B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩227B₩198B₩229B₩228B₩217B₩212B₩214B₩220B
Growth−20.9%−12.6%15.9%−7.1%−4.6%−2.1%0.5%3.0%
EBIT₩16B₩12B₩19B₩17B₩16B₩16B₩16B₩16B
EBIT margin7.2%6.1%8.3%7.3%7.3%7.3%7.3%7.3%
After-tax EBIT₩12B₩8.7B₩14B₩12B₩11B₩11B₩11B₩12B
+ Depreciation₩3.6B₩4B₩4.3B₩4.1B₩3.9B₩3.8B₩3.8B₩4B
− Capital spending₩14B₩8.8B₩13B₩12B₩12B₩11B₩12B₩12B
− Working capital₩1.4B−₩11B₩11B−₩7B−₩4.2B−₩1.8B₩425M₩2.6B
Free cash flow₩406M₩15B−₩6.1B₩11B₩7.9B₩5.4B₩3.2B₩1.2B
Discount factor———0.9360.8760.8200.7680.719
Present value———₩10B₩6.9B₩4.4B₩2.4B₩834M

Terminal value ₩201B, worth ₩144B today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩3,371 a share)Now 0.51×₩1,8940.56×₩2,5310.75×₩5,0321.49×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩297 a share)Now 5.78×₩2,1557.25×₩3,00810.1×₩3,92913.2×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩340 a share)Now 5.05×₩2,4687.25×₩3,44510.1×₩4,49913.2×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.8%₩2,489₩2,682₩2,924₩3,237₩3,660
6.3%₩2,184₩2,328₩2,504₩2,724₩3,010
6.8%₩1,931₩2,040₩2,171₩2,331₩2,531
7.3%₩1,720₩1,803₩1,902₩2,020₩2,164
7.8%₩1,540₩1,604₩1,679₩1,768₩1,873

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩107B
Enterprise value
₩138B
P/E
5.8×
P/B
0.5×
P/S
0.4×
EV/EBITDA
5.7×
Dividend yield
0.6%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩1,646₩1,890₩2,110₩2,665₩2,935
Market cap₩103B₩118B₩132B₩166B₩183B
P/E6.5×12.8×7.8×10.6×16.1×
P/B0.5×0.6×0.8×1.2×1.5×
P/S0.4×0.6×0.6×0.6×0.7×
EV/EBITDA5.0×7.9×8.0×8.3×11.7×
Dividend yield0.6%0.5%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Soosan Cebotics5.8×0.5×0.4×5.7×0.6%
Doosan Enerbility217.2×4.8×2.2×—0.0%
Hanmi Semiconductor87.4×26.0×35.2×78.7×0.4%
Jusung Engineering1,189.7×14.6×38.2×2,291.7×0.0%
Rainbow Robotics4,610.6×59.1×174.0×—0.0%
EO Technics47.5×6.9×11.6×—0.0%
Wonik IPS28.2×4.5×5.3×42.7×0.2%
Similar companies (median)152.3×10.7×23.4×78.7×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Soosan Cebotics / 수산세보틱스 / 017550 / KRX:017550

Source: KRX statistical information