Hyundai Elevator현대엘리베이터
017800 · KOSPI · ₩017800 · 현대엘리베이터
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩69,453
vs the current price (₩66,900)
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.6T
- Equity value
- ₩2.7T
- WACC
- 7.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩36,418
- −45.6%
- Base
- ₩69,453
- +3.8%
- Bull
- ₩126,681
- +89.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.5%).
Revenue growth
- 5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 6.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.15, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩2.5T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩182B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩434B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩93B
- Shares
- 39,092,385
- Share price
- ₩66,900
- Market cap
- ₩2.6T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩2.6T | ₩2.9T | ₩2.5T | ₩2.6T | ₩2.7T | ₩2.8T | ₩2.9T | ₩3T |
| Growth | 22.2% | 10.9% | −14.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩83B | ₩226B | ₩209B | ₩169B | ₩176B | ₩184B | ₩190B | ₩196B |
| EBIT margin | 3.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩60B | ₩164B | ₩152B | ₩122B | ₩128B | ₩133B | ₩138B | ₩142B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩44B | ₩46B | ₩48B | ₩50B | ₩51B |
| − Capital spending | ₩60B | ₩63B | ₩48B | ₩57B | ₩60B | ₩62B | ₩64B | ₩66B |
| − Working capital | −₩509B | ₩517B | −₩242B | −₩12B | −₩12B | −₩11B | −₩9.9B | −₩8.8B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩122B | ₩126B | ₩130B | ₩133B | ₩136B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.934 | 0.872 | 0.814 | 0.760 | 0.710 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩114B | ₩110B | ₩106B | ₩101B | ₩96B |
Terminal value ₩2.9T, worth ₩2T today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩27,734 a share)Now 2.41× | ₩28,0761.01× | ₩40,1681.45× | ₩78,9402.85× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩9,398 a share)Now 7.12× | ₩46,6554.96× | ₩102,69510.9× | ₩289,08030.8× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩16,566 a share)Now 4.04× | ₩82,2384.96× | ₩181,01810.9× | ₩509,55530.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | ₩70,652 | ₩77,318 | ₩85,619 | ₩96,239 | ₩110,303 |
| 6.6% | ₩64,630 | ₩70,050 | ₩76,655 | ₩84,881 | ₩95,405 |
| 7.1% | ₩59,599 | ₩64,083 | ₩69,453 | ₩75,999 | ₩84,150 |
| 7.6% | ₩55,331 | ₩59,097 | ₩63,541 | ₩68,862 | ₩75,349 |
| 8.1% | ₩51,667 | ₩54,869 | ₩58,600 | ₩63,004 | ₩68,277 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩2.6T
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.8T
- P/E
- 7.1×
- P/B
- 2.4×
- P/S
- 1.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 20.9%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩88,300 | ₩52,400 | ₩44,350 | ₩28,300 | ₩41,200 |
| Market cap | ₩3.5T | ₩2T | ₩1.7T | ₩1.1T | ₩1.6T |
| P/E | 13.2× | 11.2× | 5.4× | 14.1× | 14.2× |
| P/B | 2.6× | 1.6× | 1.3× | 1.0× | 1.4× |
| P/S | 1.4× | 0.7× | 0.7× | 0.5× | 0.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 15.9% | 10.5% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Elevator | 7.1× | 2.4× | 1.1× | — | 20.9% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 200.6× | 4.5× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 84.5× | 25.1× | 34.0× | 76.1× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,135.2× | 13.9× | 36.4× | 2,185.7× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,308.5× | 55.2× | 162.6× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 47.1× | 6.8× | 11.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,805.1× | 923.8× | 743.7× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 667.9× | 19.5× | 35.2× | 1,130.9× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Hyundai Elevator / 현대엘리베이터 / 017800 / KRX:017800
Source: KRX statistical information