DS DansukDS단석
017860 · KOSPI · ₩017860 · DS단석
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩10,827
vs the current price (₩9,920)
- Enterprise value
- ₩268B
- Equity value
- ₩191B
- WACC
- 5.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩10,827
- +9.1%
- Bull
- ₩48,989
- +393.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.6%).
Revenue growth
- -5.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-5.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-5.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-5.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-5.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (-5.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 6.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 9.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.34, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.1T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩141B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩64B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 17,653,634
- Share price
- ₩9,920
- Market cap
- ₩175B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩1.1T | ₩962B | ₩955B | ₩1T | ₩979B | ₩966B | ₩975B | ₩1T |
| Growth | — | −10.2% | −0.7% | −5.6% | −3.4% | −1.3% | 0.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩76B | ₩12B | ₩8B | ₩26B | ₩25B | ₩25B | ₩25B | ₩26B |
| EBIT margin | 7.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩55B | ₩8.8B | ₩5.8B | ₩19B | ₩18B | ₩18B | ₩18B | ₩19B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩50B | ₩48B | ₩47B | ₩48B | ₩49B |
| − Capital spending | ₩68B | ₩76B | ₩40B | ₩63B | ₩61B | ₩60B | ₩60B | ₩62B |
| − Working capital | — | −₩211B | −₩49B | −₩5.6B | −₩3.2B | −₩1.2B | ₩809M | ₩2.7B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩12B | ₩8.9B | ₩6.8B | ₩4.9B | ₩3.2B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.944 | 0.891 | 0.842 | 0.795 | 0.750 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩11B | ₩8B | ₩5.8B | ₩3.9B | ₩2.4B |
Terminal value ₩316B, worth ₩237B today: 88% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩15,403 a share)Now 0.64× | ₩12,0200.78× | ₩23,7161.54× | ₩30,9792.01× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2024, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.9% | ₩12,453 | ₩14,117 | ₩16,346 | ₩19,488 | ₩24,257 |
| 5.4% | ₩10,420 | ₩11,626 | ₩13,180 | ₩15,259 | ₩18,189 |
| 5.9% | ₩8,805 | ₩9,704 | ₩10,827 | ₩12,272 | ₩14,207 |
| 6.4% | ₩7,492 | ₩8,176 | ₩9,010 | ₩10,053 | ₩11,394 |
| 6.9% | ₩6,405 | ₩6,934 | ₩7,567 | ₩8,339 | ₩9,303 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩175B
- Enterprise value
- ₩307B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩18,170 | ₩30,450 | ₩96,370 |
| Market cap | ₩321B | ₩538B | ₩1.7T |
| P/E | — | — | 42.5× |
| P/B | 1.2× | 1.9× | 6.1× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.6× | 1.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.1% | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DS Dansuk | — | 0.6× | 0.2× | — | 0.1% |
| LG Chem | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Solutions | — | 0.6× | 0.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha | 6.2× | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 1.4% |
| SKC | — | 2.1× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| KCC | 0.9× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 8.7× | 0.0% |
| Kumho Petro Chemical | 5.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | — | 1.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 5.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 8.7× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: DS Dansuk / DS단석 / 017860 / KRX:017860
Source: KRX statistical information