Samsung SDS

018260 · KOSPI · ₩018260 · 삼성에스디에스

₩203,000▼ ₩3,500 (1.69%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩168,537

vs the current price (₩203,000)

Enterprise value
₩7.5T
Equity value
₩13T
WACC
8.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩118,589
−41.6%
Base
₩168,537
−17.0%
Bull
₩251,453
+23.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Start from

Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -6.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -4.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 3.3%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 3.5%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.77

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.66, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩14T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩5.7T
+ Stakes and investments
₩181B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩333B
Shares
77,377,800
Share price
₩203,000
Market cap
₩16T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩13T₩14T₩14T₩13T₩12T₩12T₩12T₩13T
Growth−23.0%4.2%0.7%−6.9%−4.4%−1.9%0.5%3.0%
EBIT₩808B₩911B₩957B₩782B₩748B₩733B₩737B₩759B
EBIT margin6.1%6.6%6.9%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%
After-tax EBIT₩586B₩661B₩694B₩567B₩542B₩532B₩534B₩550B
+ Depreciation———₩352B₩336B₩330B₩332B₩342B
− Capital spending₩480B₩527B₩359B₩430B₩411B₩403B₩405B₩418B
− Working capital−₩3.8T₩207B₩209B−₩34B−₩20B−₩8.3B₩2.1B₩13B
Free cash flow———₩523B₩487B₩467B₩459B₩462B
Discount factor———0.9240.8530.7880.7280.673
Present value———₩483B₩416B₩368B₩334B₩311B

Terminal value ₩8.3T, worth ₩5.6T today: 74% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩133,253 a share)Now 1.52×₩145,9351.10×₩178,4121.34×₩211,8151.59×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩8,386 a share)Now 24.2×₩83,2049.92×₩133,39015.9×₩164,96019.7×
P/E on run-rate earnings (preliminary Q3 2026 × 4: ₩9,125 a share)Now 22.2×₩90,5359.92×₩145,14215.9×₩179,49319.7×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.2%₩172,521₩179,138₩187,013₩196,544₩208,316
7.7%₩164,995₩170,504₩176,969₩184,664₩193,976
8.2%₩158,511₩163,154₩168,537₩174,854₩182,373
8.7%₩152,867₩156,820₩161,357₩166,618₩172,791
9.2%₩147,909₩151,306₩155,170₩159,604₩164,745

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩16T
Enterprise value
₩9.2T
P/E
24.2×
P/B
1.5×
P/S
1.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
1.6%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩171,500₩127,800₩170,000₩123,000₩156,500
Market cap₩13T₩9.9T₩13T₩9.5T₩12T
P/E17.5×13.1×19.0×8.7×19.8×
P/B1.3×1.1×1.5×1.2×1.7×
P/S1.0×0.7×1.0×0.6×0.9×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield1.9%2.3%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Samsung SDS24.2×1.5×1.1×—1.6%
LG CNS14.5×2.3×1.1×—2.6%
Itcenglobal6.7×2.9×0.0×—0.0%
DB6.7×0.9×0.6×15.7×0.0%
Lotte Innovate14.9×0.6×0.2×—4.1%
Contec20.8×1.6×2.4×—0.0%
Shinsegae Information & Communication6.1×0.4×0.3×0.7×0.0%
Similar companies (median)10.6×1.3×0.4×8.2×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Samsung SDS / 삼성에스디에스 / 018260 / KRX:018260

Source: KRX statistical information