Sammok S-Form삼목에스폼
018310 · KOSDAQ · ₩018310 · 삼목에스폼
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩26,391
vs the current price (₩14,720)
- Enterprise value
- ₩364B
- Equity value
- ₩388B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 79% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩14,720, the model needs an operating margin of 6.3% every year (it uses 10.7%).
- Or revenue growth −23.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 1.8% to 28.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 41.7× against a typical 4.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩16,907
- +14.9%
- Base
- ₩26,391
- +79.3%
- Bull
- ₩42,920
- +191.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (10.7%).
Revenue growth
- -2.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 10.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.22, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩303B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩24B
- Shares
- 14,700,000
- Share price
- ₩14,720
- Market cap
- ₩216B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩439B | ₩402B | ₩317B | ₩296B | ₩294B | ₩296B | ₩301B | ₩310B |
| Growth | 30.1% | −8.5% | −21.1% | −2.1% | −0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩124B | ₩75B | ₩6.4B | ₩32B | ₩31B | ₩32B | ₩32B | ₩33B |
| EBIT margin | 28.3% | 18.7% | 2.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩90B | ₩55B | ₩4.7B | ₩23B | ₩23B | ₩23B | ₩23B | ₩24B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩8B | ₩7.9B | ₩8B | ₩8.1B | ₩8.4B |
| − Capital spending | ₩12B | ₩5.4B | ₩19B | ₩10B | ₩10B | ₩10B | ₩10B | ₩11B |
| − Working capital | ₩166B | ₩93B | ₩38B | −₩2.5B | −₩949M | ₩588M | ₩2B | ₩3.6B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩23B | ₩22B | ₩20B | ₩19B | ₩18B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩22B | ₩19B | ₩16B | ₩14B | ₩13B |
Terminal value ₩398B, worth ₩280B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩44,512 a share)Now 0.33× | ₩18,8630.42× | ₩21,6630.49× | ₩31,0360.70× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩353 a share)Now 41.7× | ₩1,0452.96× | ₩1,4774.18× | ₩8,02722.7× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩643 a share)Now 22.9× | ₩1,9012.96× | ₩2,6884.18× | ₩14,60522.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩28,437 | ₩30,071 | ₩32,078 | ₩34,604 | ₩37,884 |
| 6.8% | ₩26,117 | ₩27,398 | ₩28,939 | ₩30,830 | ₩33,210 |
| 7.3% | ₩24,166 | ₩25,185 | ₩26,391 | ₩27,840 | ₩29,620 |
| 7.8% | ₩22,503 | ₩23,324 | ₩24,281 | ₩25,414 | ₩26,776 |
| 8.3% | ₩21,068 | ₩21,736 | ₩22,507 | ₩23,405 | ₩24,466 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩216B
- Enterprise value
- ₩188B
- P/E
- 41.7×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩19,700 | ₩21,000 | ₩16,690 | ₩16,700 | ₩13,850 |
| Market cap | ₩290B | ₩309B | ₩245B | ₩245B | ₩204B |
| P/E | 28.3× | 4.2× | 2.1× | 4.2× | 6.7× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.5× |
| P/S | 0.9× | 0.8× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 1.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.5% | 1.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammok S-Form | 41.7× | 0.3× | 0.7× | — | 2.0% |
| CS Wind | 372.3× | 1.3× | 0.6× | — | 2.6% |
| Hankuk Carbon | 7.8× | 1.2× | 0.9× | — | 2.1% |
| Taewoong | 63.8× | 0.8× | 1.3× | 20.4× | 0.0% |
| YG-1 | 5.3× | 0.8× | 0.5× | — | 1.8% |
| Bosung Power Technology | 18.9× | 2.1× | 1.8× | 8.6× | 0.0% |
| Hansun Engineering | 36.1× | 2.6× | 3.0× | 14.4× | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.5× | 1.2× | 1.1× | 14.4× | 0.9% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Sammok S-Form / 삼목에스폼 / 018310 / KRX:018310
Source: KRX statistical information