Sammok S-Form

018310 · KOSDAQ · ₩018310 · 삼목에스폼

₩14,720▼ ₩50 (0.34%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩26,391

vs the current price (₩14,720)

Enterprise value
₩364B
Equity value
₩388B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 79% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩14,720, the model needs an operating margin of 6.3% every year (it uses 10.7%).
  • Or revenue growth −23.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from 1.8% to 28.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • Today's P/E is 41.7× against a typical 4.2× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩16,907
+14.9%
Base
₩26,391
+79.3%
Bull
₩42,920
+191.6%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (10.7%).

Revenue growth

  • -2.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 10.7%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 3.4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.22, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩303B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩24B
Shares
14,700,000
Share price
₩14,720
Market cap
₩216B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩439B₩402B₩317B₩296B₩294B₩296B₩301B₩310B
Growth30.1%−8.5%−21.1%−2.1%−0.8%0.5%1.7%3.0%
EBIT₩124B₩75B₩6.4B₩32B₩31B₩32B₩32B₩33B
EBIT margin28.3%18.7%2.0%10.7%10.7%10.7%10.7%10.7%
After-tax EBIT₩90B₩55B₩4.7B₩23B₩23B₩23B₩23B₩24B
+ Depreciation———₩8B₩7.9B₩8B₩8.1B₩8.4B
− Capital spending₩12B₩5.4B₩19B₩10B₩10B₩10B₩10B₩11B
− Working capital₩166B₩93B₩38B−₩2.5B−₩949M₩588M₩2B₩3.6B
Free cash flow———₩23B₩22B₩20B₩19B₩18B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩22B₩19B₩16B₩14B₩13B

Terminal value ₩398B, worth ₩280B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩44,512 a share)Now 0.33×₩18,8630.42×₩21,6630.49×₩31,0360.70×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩353 a share)Now 41.7×₩1,0452.96×₩1,4774.18×₩8,02722.7×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩643 a share)Now 22.9×₩1,9012.96×₩2,6884.18×₩14,60522.7×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩28,437₩30,071₩32,078₩34,604₩37,884
6.8%₩26,117₩27,398₩28,939₩30,830₩33,210
7.3%₩24,166₩25,185₩26,391₩27,840₩29,620
7.8%₩22,503₩23,324₩24,281₩25,414₩26,776
8.3%₩21,068₩21,736₩22,507₩23,405₩24,466

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩216B
Enterprise value
₩188B
P/E
41.7×
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.7×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
2.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩19,700₩21,000₩16,690₩16,700₩13,850
Market cap₩290B₩309B₩245B₩245B₩204B
P/E28.3×4.2×2.1×4.2×6.7×
P/B0.4×0.5×0.4×0.5×0.5×
P/S0.9×0.8×0.6×0.7×1.0×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield1.5%1.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Sammok S-Form41.7×0.3×0.7×—2.0%
CS Wind372.3×1.3×0.6×—2.6%
Hankuk Carbon7.8×1.2×0.9×—2.1%
Taewoong63.8×0.8×1.3×20.4×0.0%
YG-15.3×0.8×0.5×—1.8%
Bosung Power Technology18.9×2.1×1.8×8.6×0.0%
Hansun Engineering36.1×2.6×3.0×14.4×0.0%
Similar companies (median)27.5×1.2×1.1×14.4×0.9%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Sammok S-Form / 삼목에스폼 / 018310 / KRX:018310

Source: KRX statistical information