THN

019180 · KOSPI · ₩019180 · 티에이치엔

₩4,410▼ ₩85 (1.89%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩82,699

vs the current price (₩4,410)

Enterprise value
₩1.4T
Equity value
₩1.5T
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 1,775% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩4,410, the model needs an operating margin of 0.6% every year (it uses 5.9%).
  • Today's P/E is 1.0× against a typical 2.1× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩40,603
+820.7%
Base
₩82,699
+1,775.3%
Bull
₩155,384
+3,423.4%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.9%).

Revenue growth

  • 25%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 14%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 5.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 2.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 3.5%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩1.1T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩78B
+ Stakes and investments
₩8.1B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩1.2B
Shares
18,000,000
Share price
₩4,410
Market cap
₩79B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩586B₩651B₩989B₩1.4T₩1.7T₩1.9T₩2.1T₩2.2T
Growth24.8%11.0%51.9%25.0%19.5%14.0%8.5%3.0%
EBIT₩43B₩31B₩70B₩83B₩100B₩114B₩123B₩127B
EBIT margin7.3%4.8%7.1%5.9%5.9%5.9%5.9%5.9%
After-tax EBIT₩31B₩22B₩51B₩60B₩72B₩82B₩89B₩92B
+ Depreciation———₩30B₩35B₩40B₩44B₩45B
− Capital spending₩20B₩18B₩18B₩38B₩46B₩52B₩56B₩58B
− Working capital−₩12B₩9B₩38B₩9.9B₩9.6B₩8.3B₩5.7B₩2.2B
Free cash flow———₩42B₩52B₩63B₩71B₩77B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩39B₩46B₩51B₩54B₩54B

Terminal value ₩1.7T, worth ₩1.2T today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩15,034 a share)Now 0.29×₩5,4200.36×₩8,9540.60×₩12,2410.81×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,212 a share)Now 1.05×₩5,8781.40×₩8,8862.11×₩13,9093.30×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2,974 a share)Now 1.48×₩4,1511.40×₩6,2752.11×₩9,8223.30×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩86,120₩93,186₩101,888₩112,872₩127,172
6.8%₩78,670₩84,387₩91,291₩99,792₩110,523
7.3%₩72,411₩77,113₩82,699₩89,443₩97,749
7.8%₩67,078₩71,000₩75,594₩81,052₩87,642
8.3%₩62,482₩65,792₩69,624₩74,113₩79,446

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩79B
Enterprise value
₩1.8B
P/E
1.0×
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
2.7%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩7,950₩3,160₩3,495₩3,495₩4,370
Market cap₩143B₩57B₩63B₩63B₩79B
P/E2.1×1.8×2.2×—4.6×
P/B0.6×0.4×0.6×0.7×0.9×
P/S0.1×0.1×0.1×0.1×0.2×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield1.5%1.9%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
THN1.0×0.3×0.1×—2.7%
LS Electric57.7×10.5×3.9×35.7×0.0%
Hyosung Heavy Industries28.8×6.5×2.6×—0.4%
HD Hyundai Electric18.0×6.8×3.5×—0.0%
Gaon Cable105.6×12.8×2.3×55.0×0.0%
Sanil Electric24.9×6.8×7.6×—0.9%
Taihan Cable & Solution—2.1×0.9×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)28.8×6.8×3.1×45.4×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: THN / 티에이치엔 / 019180 / KRX:019180

Source: KRX statistical information