THN티에이치엔
019180 · KOSPI · ₩019180 · 티에이치엔
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩82,699
vs the current price (₩4,410)
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.4T
- Equity value
- ₩1.5T
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 1,775% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩4,410, the model needs an operating margin of 0.6% every year (it uses 5.9%).
- Today's P/E is 1.0× against a typical 2.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩40,603
- +820.7%
- Base
- ₩82,699
- +1,775.3%
- Bull
- ₩155,384
- +3,423.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.9%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 3.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.1T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩78B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩8.1B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩1.2B
- Shares
- 18,000,000
- Share price
- ₩4,410
- Market cap
- ₩79B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩586B | ₩651B | ₩989B | ₩1.4T | ₩1.7T | ₩1.9T | ₩2.1T | ₩2.2T |
| Growth | 24.8% | 11.0% | 51.9% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩43B | ₩31B | ₩70B | ₩83B | ₩100B | ₩114B | ₩123B | ₩127B |
| EBIT margin | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩31B | ₩22B | ₩51B | ₩60B | ₩72B | ₩82B | ₩89B | ₩92B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩30B | ₩35B | ₩40B | ₩44B | ₩45B |
| − Capital spending | ₩20B | ₩18B | ₩18B | ₩38B | ₩46B | ₩52B | ₩56B | ₩58B |
| − Working capital | −₩12B | ₩9B | ₩38B | ₩9.9B | ₩9.6B | ₩8.3B | ₩5.7B | ₩2.2B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩42B | ₩52B | ₩63B | ₩71B | ₩77B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩39B | ₩46B | ₩51B | ₩54B | ₩54B |
Terminal value ₩1.7T, worth ₩1.2T today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩15,034 a share)Now 0.29× | ₩5,4200.36× | ₩8,9540.60× | ₩12,2410.81× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,212 a share)Now 1.05× | ₩5,8781.40× | ₩8,8862.11× | ₩13,9093.30× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2,974 a share)Now 1.48× | ₩4,1511.40× | ₩6,2752.11× | ₩9,8223.30× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩86,120 | ₩93,186 | ₩101,888 | ₩112,872 | ₩127,172 |
| 6.8% | ₩78,670 | ₩84,387 | ₩91,291 | ₩99,792 | ₩110,523 |
| 7.3% | ₩72,411 | ₩77,113 | ₩82,699 | ₩89,443 | ₩97,749 |
| 7.8% | ₩67,078 | ₩71,000 | ₩75,594 | ₩81,052 | ₩87,642 |
| 8.3% | ₩62,482 | ₩65,792 | ₩69,624 | ₩74,113 | ₩79,446 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩79B
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.8B
- P/E
- 1.0×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.7%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩7,950 | ₩3,160 | ₩3,495 | ₩3,495 | ₩4,370 |
| Market cap | ₩143B | ₩57B | ₩63B | ₩63B | ₩79B |
| P/E | 2.1× | 1.8× | 2.2× | — | 4.6× |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.4× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 0.9× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.5% | 1.9% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| THN | 1.0× | 0.3× | 0.1× | — | 2.7% |
| LS Electric | 57.7× | 10.5× | 3.9× | 35.7× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 28.8× | 6.5× | 2.6× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 18.0× | 6.8× | 3.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 105.6× | 12.8× | 2.3× | 55.0× | 0.0% |
| Sanil Electric | 24.9× | 6.8× | 7.6× | — | 0.9% |
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.1× | 0.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 28.8× | 6.8× | 3.1× | 45.4× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: THN / 티에이치엔 / 019180 / KRX:019180
Source: KRX statistical information