YG-1와이지-원
019210 · KOSDAQ · ₩019210 · 와이지-원
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩26,780
vs the current price (₩10,270)
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.1T
- Equity value
- ₩996B
- WACC
- 6.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 161% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩10,270, the model needs an operating margin of 6.0% every year (it uses 10.8%).
- Today's P/E is 5.1× against a typical 10.8× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩14,641
- +42.6%
- Base
- ₩26,780
- +160.8%
- Bull
- ₩48,692
- +374.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (10.8%).
Revenue growth
- 5.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 10.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 8.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.36, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩768B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩61B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩1.5B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩4.1B
- Shares
- 37,193,728
- Share price
- ₩10,270
- Market cap
- ₩382B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩553B | ₩575B | ₩639B | ₩808B | ₩845B | ₩880B | ₩911B | ₩938B |
| Growth | 0.6% | 3.9% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩55B | ₩56B | ₩67B | ₩87B | ₩91B | ₩95B | ₩98B | ₩101B |
| EBIT margin | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩40B | ₩40B | ₩48B | ₩63B | ₩66B | ₩69B | ₩71B | ₩73B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩57B | ₩59B | ₩62B | ₩64B | ₩66B |
| − Capital spending | ₩58B | ₩38B | ₩57B | ₩70B | ₩74B | ₩77B | ₩79B | ₩82B |
| − Working capital | ₩43B | ₩56B | ₩49B | ₩16B | ₩15B | ₩14B | ₩12B | ₩11B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩34B | ₩37B | ₩40B | ₩44B | ₩47B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.936 | 0.876 | 0.820 | 0.767 | 0.718 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩31B | ₩32B | ₩33B | ₩33B | ₩33B |
Terminal value ₩1.2T, worth ₩896B today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩13,500 a share)Now 0.76× | ₩6,6680.49× | ₩8,8020.65× | ₩14,4801.07× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,014 a share)Now 5.10× | ₩13,1846.55× | ₩21,71810.8× | ₩33,65816.7× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩3,269 a share)Now 3.14× | ₩21,4006.55× | ₩35,25310.8× | ₩54,63316.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | ₩29,400 | ₩31,715 | ₩34,622 | ₩38,385 | ₩43,454 |
| 6.4% | ₩26,290 | ₩28,069 | ₩30,248 | ₩32,983 | ₩36,523 |
| 6.9% | ₩23,717 | ₩25,109 | ₩26,780 | ₩28,827 | ₩31,395 |
| 7.4% | ₩21,553 | ₩22,658 | ₩23,964 | ₩25,530 | ₩27,449 |
| 7.9% | ₩19,709 | ₩20,597 | ₩21,632 | ₩22,853 | ₩24,320 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩382B
- Enterprise value
- ₩430B
- P/E
- 5.1×
- P/B
- 0.8×
- P/S
- 0.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.9%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩5,300 | ₩5,120 | ₩5,750 | ₩6,380 | ₩7,400 |
| Market cap | ₩197B | ₩190B | ₩214B | ₩237B | ₩275B |
| P/E | 7.8× | 11.4× | 9.1× | 7.4× | 12.8× |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 0.9× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.6% | 3.1% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YG-1 | 5.1× | 0.8× | 0.5× | — | 1.9% |
| CS Wind | 373.3× | 1.3× | 0.6× | — | 2.6% |
| Hankuk Carbon | 7.6× | 1.2× | 0.9× | — | 2.1% |
| Taewoong | 60.7× | 0.7× | 1.2× | 19.5× | 0.0% |
| Bosung Power Technology | 18.2× | 2.1× | 1.8× | 8.2× | 0.0% |
| HT Robotics | 39.3× | 2.8× | 1.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Hansun Engineering | 32.5× | 2.3× | 2.7× | 13.1× | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 35.9× | 1.7× | 1.5× | 13.1× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: YG-1 / 와이지-원 / 019210 / KRX:019210
Source: KRX statistical information