KCC Engineering & Construction

021320 · KOSDAQ · ₩021320 · KCC건설

₩5,210▼ ₩90 (1.70%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩33,658

vs the current price (₩5,210)

Enterprise value
₩880B
Equity value
₩720B
WACC
5.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 546% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩5,210, the model needs an operating margin of 1.1% every year (it uses 2.9%).
  • Today's P/E is 2.5× against a typical 6.4× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩33,658
+546.0%
Bull
₩112,347
+2,056.4%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.9%).

Revenue growth

  • -1.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 0.3%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 12.6%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩1.6T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩189B
+ Stakes and investments
₩29B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
21,400,000
Share price
₩5,210
Market cap
₩111B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩1.9T₩1.8T₩1.8T₩1.6T₩1.6T₩1.6T₩1.7T₩1.7T
Growth0.9%−4.3%0.3%−1.1%0.0%1.0%2.0%3.0%
EBIT₩18B₩65B₩88B₩47B₩47B₩47B₩48B₩50B
EBIT margin1.0%3.5%4.8%2.9%2.9%2.9%2.9%2.9%
After-tax EBIT₩13B₩47B₩64B₩34B₩34B₩34B₩35B₩36B
+ Depreciation₩2.3B₩2.6B₩4.9B₩3.2B₩3.2B₩3.3B₩3.3B₩3.4B
− Capital spending₩1.4B₩3B₩9.9B₩4.8B₩4.8B₩4.9B₩5B₩5.1B
− Working capital₩16B₩107B−₩97B−₩2.3B₩0₩2B₩4.1B₩6.3B
Free cash flow−₩2.4B−₩61B₩156B₩35B₩32B₩31B₩29B₩28B
Discount factor———0.9500.9020.8560.8130.772
Present value———₩33B₩29B₩26B₩24B₩22B

Terminal value ₩967B, worth ₩747B today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩26,795 a share)Now 0.19×₩5,1900.19×₩5,9890.22×₩10,5760.39×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,106 a share)Now 2.47×₩5,7102.71×₩13,4906.41×₩57,76827.4×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.3%₩37,667₩43,313₩51,386₩63,902₩85,954
4.8%₩31,702₩35,630₩40,944₩48,541₩60,319
5.3%₩27,123₩29,967₩33,658₩38,650₩45,788
5.8%₩23,498₩25,619₩28,286₩31,748₩36,430
6.3%₩20,558₩22,176₩24,161₩26,658₩29,899

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩111B
Enterprise value
₩297B
P/E
2.5×
P/B
0.2×
P/S
0.1×
EV/EBITDA
3.5×
Dividend yield
3.8%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩5,580₩4,005₩5,020₩6,770₩8,190
Market cap₩119B₩86B₩107B₩145B₩175B
P/E2.6×5.4×10.4×32.6×3.7×
P/B0.2×0.2×0.2×0.3×0.4×
P/S0.1×0.0×0.1×0.1×0.1×
EV/EBITDA3.8×6.0×8.0×184.9×8.0×
Dividend yield3.6%4.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
KCC Engineering & Construction2.5×0.2×0.1×3.5×3.8%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction22.8×1.1×0.4×—0.9%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction—1.6×0.8×—0.0%
GS Engineering & Construction18.8×0.5×0.2×—1.7%
DL E&C3.5×0.4×0.3×—1.6%
KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering14.0×1.4×1.1×7.9×0.0%
Ipark Hyundai Development8.6×0.5×0.4×—2.9%
Similar companies (median)14.0×0.8×0.4×7.9×1.2%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: KCC Engineering & Construction / KCC건설 / 021320 / KRX:021320

Source: KRX statistical information