KCC Engineering & ConstructionKCC건설
021320 · KOSDAQ · ₩021320 · KCC건설
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩33,658
vs the current price (₩5,210)
- Enterprise value
- ₩880B
- Equity value
- ₩720B
- WACC
- 5.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 546% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩5,210, the model needs an operating margin of 1.1% every year (it uses 2.9%).
- Today's P/E is 2.5× against a typical 6.4× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩33,658
- +546.0%
- Bull
- ₩112,347
- +2,056.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.9%).
Revenue growth
- -1.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 12.6%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.6T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩189B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩29B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 21,400,000
- Share price
- ₩5,210
- Market cap
- ₩111B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩1.9T | ₩1.8T | ₩1.8T | ₩1.6T | ₩1.6T | ₩1.6T | ₩1.7T | ₩1.7T |
| Growth | 0.9% | −4.3% | 0.3% | −1.1% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩18B | ₩65B | ₩88B | ₩47B | ₩47B | ₩47B | ₩48B | ₩50B |
| EBIT margin | 1.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩13B | ₩47B | ₩64B | ₩34B | ₩34B | ₩34B | ₩35B | ₩36B |
| + Depreciation | ₩2.3B | ₩2.6B | ₩4.9B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.4B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.4B | ₩3B | ₩9.9B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.9B | ₩5B | ₩5.1B |
| − Working capital | ₩16B | ₩107B | −₩97B | −₩2.3B | ₩0 | ₩2B | ₩4.1B | ₩6.3B |
| Free cash flow | −₩2.4B | −₩61B | ₩156B | ₩35B | ₩32B | ₩31B | ₩29B | ₩28B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.950 | 0.902 | 0.856 | 0.813 | 0.772 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩33B | ₩29B | ₩26B | ₩24B | ₩22B |
Terminal value ₩967B, worth ₩747B today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩26,795 a share)Now 0.19× | ₩5,1900.19× | ₩5,9890.22× | ₩10,5760.39× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,106 a share)Now 2.47× | ₩5,7102.71× | ₩13,4906.41× | ₩57,76827.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.3% | ₩37,667 | ₩43,313 | ₩51,386 | ₩63,902 | ₩85,954 |
| 4.8% | ₩31,702 | ₩35,630 | ₩40,944 | ₩48,541 | ₩60,319 |
| 5.3% | ₩27,123 | ₩29,967 | ₩33,658 | ₩38,650 | ₩45,788 |
| 5.8% | ₩23,498 | ₩25,619 | ₩28,286 | ₩31,748 | ₩36,430 |
| 6.3% | ₩20,558 | ₩22,176 | ₩24,161 | ₩26,658 | ₩29,899 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩111B
- Enterprise value
- ₩297B
- P/E
- 2.5×
- P/B
- 0.2×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- 3.5×
- Dividend yield
- 3.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩5,580 | ₩4,005 | ₩5,020 | ₩6,770 | ₩8,190 |
| Market cap | ₩119B | ₩86B | ₩107B | ₩145B | ₩175B |
| P/E | 2.6× | 5.4× | 10.4× | 32.6× | 3.7× |
| P/B | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× | 0.4× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.0× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.8× | 6.0× | 8.0× | 184.9× | 8.0× |
| Dividend yield | 3.6% | 4.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCC Engineering & Construction | 2.5× | 0.2× | 0.1× | 3.5× | 3.8% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction | 22.8× | 1.1× | 0.4× | — | 0.9% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction | — | 1.6× | 0.8× | — | 0.0% |
| GS Engineering & Construction | 18.8× | 0.5× | 0.2× | — | 1.7% |
| DL E&C | 3.5× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 1.6% |
| KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering | 14.0× | 1.4× | 1.1× | 7.9× | 0.0% |
| Ipark Hyundai Development | 8.6× | 0.5× | 0.4× | — | 2.9% |
| Similar companies (median) | 14.0× | 0.8× | 0.4× | 7.9× | 1.2% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: KCC Engineering & Construction / KCC건설 / 021320 / KRX:021320
Source: KRX statistical information