Eugene유진기업
023410 · KOSDAQ · ₩023410 · 유진기업
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩19,991
vs the current price (₩3,175)
- Enterprise value
- ₩682B
- Equity value
- ₩1.5T
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 530% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩3,175, the model needs an operating margin of −3.2% every year (it uses 4.0%).
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩13,986
- +340.5%
- Base
- ₩19,991
- +529.6%
- Bull
- ₩30,441
- +858.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.0%).
Revenue growth
- -1.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.25, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.4T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩355B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩673B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩165B
- Shares
- 77,310,863
- Share price
- ₩3,175
- Market cap
- ₩245B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩1.5T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.4T |
| Growth | 4.7% | −5.4% | −4.4% | −1.8% | −0.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩84B | ₩55B | ₩32B | ₩55B | ₩55B | ₩55B | ₩56B | ₩58B |
| EBIT margin | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩61B | ₩40B | ₩23B | ₩40B | ₩40B | ₩40B | ₩41B | ₩42B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩30B | ₩30B | ₩30B | ₩31B | ₩32B |
| − Capital spending | ₩56B | ₩38B | ₩24B | ₩39B | ₩38B | ₩39B | ₩39B | ₩41B |
| − Working capital | ₩16B | −₩563B | −₩115B | ₩2.5B | ₩828M | −₩823M | −₩2.5B | −₩4.2B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩29B | ₩31B | ₩33B | ₩35B | ₩37B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩27B | ₩27B | ₩26B | ₩26B | ₩26B |
Terminal value ₩786B, worth ₩550B today: 81% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩11,967 a share)Now 0.27× | ₩3,1570.26× | ₩3,4420.29× | ₩4,7890.40× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩20,051 | ₩20,957 | ₩22,071 | ₩23,471 | ₩25,284 |
| 6.9% | ₩19,272 | ₩20,021 | ₩20,924 | ₩22,034 | ₩23,429 |
| 7.4% | ₩18,616 | ₩19,244 | ₩19,991 | ₩20,890 | ₩21,996 |
| 7.9% | ₩18,055 | ₩18,589 | ₩19,216 | ₩19,959 | ₩20,855 |
| 8.4% | ₩17,570 | ₩18,030 | ₩18,562 | ₩19,186 | ₩19,927 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩245B
- Enterprise value
- −₩110B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 5.7%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,635 | ₩3,295 | ₩3,445 | ₩3,595 | ₩4,835 |
| Market cap | ₩281B | ₩255B | ₩266B | ₩278B | ₩374B |
| P/E | — | — | 4.1× | 9.7× | 4.9× |
| P/B | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.4× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 5.0% | 5.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eugene | — | 0.3× | 0.2× | — | 5.7% |
| Tokai Carbon Korea | 31.7× | 4.5× | 7.2× | — | 0.7% |
| Hanilcementco | 11.9× | 0.7× | 0.9× | — | 6.1% |
| Wonik QnC | 14.8× | 1.3× | 0.7× | — | 0.5% |
| Sampyo Cement | 17.4× | 0.8× | 0.9× | 6.1× | 2.1% |
| Hanil Holdings | 9.4× | 0.3× | 0.3× | — | 6.0% |
| IS Dongseo | 5.1× | 0.3× | 0.4× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 13.4× | 0.7× | 0.8× | 6.1× | 2.8% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Eugene / 유진기업 / 023410 / KRX:023410
Source: KRX statistical information