Daou Technology다우기술
023590 · KOSPI · ₩023590 · 다우기술
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,514,621
vs the current price (₩32,200)
- Enterprise value
- ₩61T
- Equity value
- ₩109T
- WACC
- 8.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 7,709% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩32,200, the model needs an operating margin of −7.1% every year (it uses 8.3%).
- Margins ranged from 6.5% to 20.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 1.9× against a typical 2.8× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,922,953
- +5,871.9%
- Base
- ₩2,514,621
- +7,709.4%
- Bull
- ₩3,464,758
- +10,660.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.3%).
Revenue growth
- 23.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (23.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 18.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (23.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 13.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (23.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (23.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (23.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 8.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.71
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.57, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩35T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩48T
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩4.2T
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩4.5T
- Shares
- 43,287,312
- Share price
- ₩32,200
- Market cap
- ₩1.4T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩9.9T | ₩12T | ₩17T | ₩43T | ₩51T | ₩58T | ₩63T | ₩65T |
| Growth | 7.0% | 18.0% | 50.5% | 23.8% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩640B | ₩1.2T | ₩1.6T | ₩3.6T | ₩4.2T | ₩4.8T | ₩5.2T | ₩5.4T |
| EBIT margin | 6.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩464B | ₩852B | ₩1.1T | ₩2.6T | ₩3.1T | ₩3.5T | ₩3.8T | ₩3.9T |
| + Depreciation | ₩45B | ₩54B | ₩61B | ₩172B | ₩204B | ₩232B | ₩251B | ₩258B |
| − Capital spending | ₩105B | ₩68B | ₩131B | ₩345B | ₩409B | ₩464B | ₩502B | ₩517B |
| − Working capital | ₩23T | −₩24T | −₩13T | −₩829B | −₩802B | −₩685B | −₩475B | −₩188B |
| Free cash flow | −₩23T | ₩25T | ₩14T | ₩3.3T | ₩3.7T | ₩3.9T | ₩4T | ₩3.8T |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.926 | 0.857 | 0.794 | 0.735 | 0.680 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩3T | ₩3.1T | ₩3.1T | ₩2.9T | ₩2.6T |
Terminal value ₩68T, worth ₩46T today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩89,709 a share)Now 0.36× | ₩26,4480.29× | ₩35,0550.39× | ₩46,6810.52× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩17,299 a share)Now 1.86× | ₩30,1991.75× | ₩48,2642.79× | ₩70,2394.06× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩26,042 a share)Now 1.24× | ₩45,4631.75× | ₩72,6582.79× | ₩105,7404.06× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | ₩2,545,964 | ₩2,660,087 | ₩2,797,081 | ₩2,964,548 | ₩3,173,879 |
| 7.5% | ₩2,434,726 | ₩2,530,177 | ₩2,643,036 | ₩2,778,513 | ₩2,944,123 |
| 8.0% | ₩2,339,357 | ₩2,420,223 | ₩2,514,621 | ₩2,626,235 | ₩2,760,214 |
| 8.5% | ₩2,256,690 | ₩2,325,955 | ₩2,405,932 | ₩2,499,292 | ₩2,609,677 |
| 9.0% | ₩2,184,345 | ₩2,244,242 | ₩2,312,750 | ₩2,391,850 | ₩2,484,186 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩1.4T
- Enterprise value
- −₩47T
- P/E
- 1.9×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 5.6%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩38,850 | ₩17,870 | ₩17,890 | ₩19,200 | ₩22,800 |
| Market cap | ₩1.7T | ₩774B | ₩774B | ₩831B | ₩987B |
| P/E | 3.3× | 2.2× | 3.4× | 2.2× | 2.6× |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.5× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | 1.2× | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 4.6% | 7.8% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Daou Technology / 다우기술 / 023590 / KRX:023590
Source: KRX statistical information