Daou Technology

023590 · KOSPI · ₩023590 · 다우기술

₩32,200▲ ₩350 (1.10%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩2,514,621

vs the current price (₩32,200)

Enterprise value
₩61T
Equity value
₩109T
WACC
8.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 7,709% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩32,200, the model needs an operating margin of −7.1% every year (it uses 8.3%).
  • Margins ranged from 6.5% to 20.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • Today's P/E is 1.9× against a typical 2.8× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩1,922,953
+5,871.9%
Base
₩2,514,621
+7,709.4%
Bull
₩3,464,758
+10,660.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.3%).

Revenue growth

  • 23.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (23.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 18.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (23.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 13.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (23.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (23.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (23.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 8.3%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 0.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -10%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.71

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.57, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩35T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩48T
+ Stakes and investments
₩4.2T
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩4.5T
Shares
43,287,312
Share price
₩32,200
Market cap
₩1.4T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩9.9T₩12T₩17T₩43T₩51T₩58T₩63T₩65T
Growth7.0%18.0%50.5%23.8%18.6%13.4%8.2%3.0%
EBIT₩640B₩1.2T₩1.6T₩3.6T₩4.2T₩4.8T₩5.2T₩5.4T
EBIT margin6.5%10.1%8.9%8.3%8.3%8.3%8.3%8.3%
After-tax EBIT₩464B₩852B₩1.1T₩2.6T₩3.1T₩3.5T₩3.8T₩3.9T
+ Depreciation₩45B₩54B₩61B₩172B₩204B₩232B₩251B₩258B
− Capital spending₩105B₩68B₩131B₩345B₩409B₩464B₩502B₩517B
− Working capital₩23T−₩24T−₩13T−₩829B−₩802B−₩685B−₩475B−₩188B
Free cash flow−₩23T₩25T₩14T₩3.3T₩3.7T₩3.9T₩4T₩3.8T
Discount factor———0.9260.8570.7940.7350.680
Present value———₩3T₩3.1T₩3.1T₩2.9T₩2.6T

Terminal value ₩68T, worth ₩46T today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩89,709 a share)Now 0.36×₩26,4480.29×₩35,0550.39×₩46,6810.52×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩17,299 a share)Now 1.86×₩30,1991.75×₩48,2642.79×₩70,2394.06×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩26,042 a share)Now 1.24×₩45,4631.75×₩72,6582.79×₩105,7404.06×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.0%₩2,545,964₩2,660,087₩2,797,081₩2,964,548₩3,173,879
7.5%₩2,434,726₩2,530,177₩2,643,036₩2,778,513₩2,944,123
8.0%₩2,339,357₩2,420,223₩2,514,621₩2,626,235₩2,760,214
8.5%₩2,256,690₩2,325,955₩2,405,932₩2,499,292₩2,609,677
9.0%₩2,184,345₩2,244,242₩2,312,750₩2,391,850₩2,484,186

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩1.4T
Enterprise value
−₩47T
P/E
1.9×
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.0×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
5.6%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩38,850₩17,870₩17,890₩19,200₩22,800
Market cap₩1.7T₩774B₩774B₩831B₩987B
P/E3.3×2.2×3.4×2.2×2.6×
P/B0.5×0.3×0.3×0.4×0.5×
P/S0.1×0.1×0.1×0.1×0.2×
EV/EBITDA——1.2×——
Dividend yield4.6%7.8%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Daou Technology1.9×0.4×0.0×—5.6%
NAVER13.1×0.9×2.0×—1.5%
Kakao37.7×1.1×1.6×—0.3%
NICE Information Service11.3×2.0×1.6×6.6×3.0%
Kinx24.4×2.7×3.5×10.7×0.5%
Cafe2411.5×1.5×1.3×—0.0%
Refine24.6×1.1×4.1×—1.9%
Similar companies (median)18.7×1.3×1.8×8.7×1.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Daou Technology / 다우기술 / 023590 / KRX:023590

Source: KRX statistical information