KBI Metal

024840 · KOSDAQ · ₩024840 · KBI메탈

₩4,010▼ ₩180 (4.30%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩3,088

vs the current price (₩4,010)

Enterprise value
₩143B
Equity value
₩135B
WACC
10.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩3,088
−23.0%
Bull
₩8,473
+111.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.2%).

Revenue growth

  • 2.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 0.4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 12.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 1.13

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.19, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩863B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩1.4B
+ Stakes and investments
₩13B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩23B
Shares
43,578,187
Share price
₩4,010
Market cap
₩175B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩685B₩703B₩759B₩882B₩904B₩927B₩953B₩982B
Growth−3.6%2.6%8.0%2.2%2.4%2.6%2.8%3.0%
EBIT₩7.8B₩17B₩24B₩19B₩20B₩20B₩21B₩22B
EBIT margin1.1%2.5%3.2%2.2%2.2%2.2%2.2%2.2%
After-tax EBIT₩5.7B₩13B₩18B₩14B₩14B₩15B₩15B₩16B
+ Depreciation———₩3.5B₩3.6B₩3.7B₩3.8B₩3.9B
− Capital spending₩5.1B₩2.3B₩1.8B₩3.5B₩3.6B₩3.7B₩3.8B₩3.9B
− Working capital−₩25B₩18B−₩78B₩2.3B₩2.6B₩2.9B₩3.2B₩3.5B
Free cash flow———₩12B₩12B₩12B₩12B₩12B
Discount factor———0.9070.8230.7470.6780.615
Present value———₩11B₩9.7B₩8.9B₩8.2B₩7.5B

Terminal value ₩160B, worth ₩98B today: 69% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩3,928 a share)Now 1.02×₩2,1310.54×₩2,8260.72×₩4,9401.26×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
9.2%₩3,414₩3,476₩3,546₩3,625₩3,715
9.7%₩3,200₩3,248₩3,302₩3,362₩3,430
10.2%₩3,009₩3,047₩3,088₩3,133₩3,184
10.7%₩2,838₩2,867₩2,898₩2,932₩2,970
11.2%₩2,684₩2,706₩2,729₩2,754₩2,781

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩175B
Enterprise value
₩173B
P/E
10.4×
P/B
1.0×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩1,744₩1,933₩1,448₩1,310₩1,955
Market cap₩76B₩84B₩63B₩57B₩85B
P/E—104.1×1,007.5×34.4×—
P/B0.6×0.7×0.5×0.6×0.9×
P/S0.1×0.1×0.1×0.1×0.1×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
KBI Metal10.4×1.0×0.2×—0.0%
POSCO Holdings16.1×0.4×0.3×7.7×3.7%
Korea Zinc18.6×1.6×0.9×—2.3%
Hyundai Steel—0.2×0.1×—1.9%
Poongsan8.0×0.7×0.3×5.9×3.0%
SeAH Besteel Holdings11.5×0.5×0.3×9.2×4.2%
Sama Aluminium—4.0×2.9×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)13.8×0.6×0.3×7.7×2.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: KBI Metal / KBI메탈 / 024840 / KRX:024840

Source: KRX statistical information