PnpoongnyunPN풍년
024940 · KOSDAQ · ₩024940 · PN풍년
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,986
vs the current price (₩1,979)
- Enterprise value
- ₩13B
- Equity value
- ₩20B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩852
- −56.9%
- Base
- ₩1,986
- +0.4%
- Bull
- ₩4,205
- +112.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.0%).
Revenue growth
- -0.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.06, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩55B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩7B
- Shares
- 10,000,000
- Share price
- ₩1,979
- Market cap
- ₩20B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩57B | ₩55B | ₩56B | ₩54B | ₩54B | ₩55B | ₩56B | ₩58B |
| Growth | −0.7% | −4.0% | 2.0% | −0.9% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩2.1B | ₩920M | ₩1.6B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B |
| EBIT margin | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩1.5B | ₩667M | ₩1.1B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.3B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩708M | ₩708M | ₩715M | ₩729M | ₩751M |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.4B | ₩595M | ₩711M | ₩871M | ₩871M | ₩880M | ₩897M | ₩924M |
| − Working capital | ₩6.6B | ₩242M | ₩1.7B | −₩198M | ₩0 | ₩218M | ₩440M | ₩673M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩1.2B | ₩1B | ₩813M | ₩612M | ₩410M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1.1B | ₩885M | ₩656M | ₩460M | ₩287M |
Terminal value ₩14B, worth ₩9.5B today: 73% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩5,270 a share)Now 0.38× | ₩3,3580.64× | ₩5,6761.08× | ₩8,5911.63× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩211 a share)Now 9.39× | ₩2,0659.79× | ₩6,06628.8× | ₩9,90947.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩2,346 | ₩2,311 | ₩2,265 | ₩2,206 | ₩2,127 |
| 6.9% | ₩2,204 | ₩2,163 | ₩2,111 | ₩2,046 | ₩1,962 |
| 7.4% | ₩2,085 | ₩2,041 | ₩1,986 | ₩1,919 | ₩1,835 |
| 7.9% | ₩1,983 | ₩1,937 | ₩1,882 | ₩1,816 | ₩1,734 |
| 8.4% | ₩1,895 | ₩1,849 | ₩1,795 | ₩1,729 | ₩1,651 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩20B
- Enterprise value
- ₩13B
- P/E
- 9.4×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩5,730 | ₩7,790 | ₩8,880 | ₩8,060 | ₩4,905 |
| Market cap | ₩57B | ₩78B | ₩89B | ₩81B | ₩49B |
| P/E | 19.9× | 49.1× | 40.9× | 45.4× | 23.3× |
| P/B | 1.1× | 1.6× | 1.8× | 1.7× | 1.1× |
| P/S | 1.0× | 1.4× | 1.6× | 1.4× | 0.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.6% | 0.4% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pnpoongnyun | 9.4× | 0.4× | 0.4× | — | 1.8% |
| Samsung C&T | 18.8× | 0.5× | 1.2× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.6× | 1.3× | 0.3× | — | 3.7% |
| ISC | 45.3× | 6.0× | 12.6× | — | 0.5% |
| Youngone | 5.1× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.1% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 18.9× | 1.6× | 5.1× | — | 4.2% |
| Shinsegae | 14.4× | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 2.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.6× | 1.0× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Pnpoongnyun / PN풍년 / 024940 / KRX:024940
Source: KRX statistical information