Synopex

025320 · KOSDAQ · ₩025320 · 시노펙스

₩3,490▲ ₩60 (1.75%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩1,030

vs the current price (₩3,490)

Enterprise value
₩96B
Equity value
₩95B
WACC
7.8%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 70% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩3,490, the model needs an operating margin of 12.0% every year (it uses 4.7%).
  • Or revenue growth +34.9 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩278
−92.0%
Base
₩1,030
−70.5%
Bull
₩2,346
−32.8%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.7%).

Revenue growth

  • 2.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 4.7%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 6.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 8.5%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 10.5%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.68

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.53, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩238B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩1.8B
+ Stakes and investments
₩302M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
92,220,753
Share price
₩3,490
Market cap
₩322B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩262B₩238B₩262B₩243B₩249B₩255B₩262B₩270B
Growth7.1%−9.1%9.7%2.2%2.4%2.6%2.8%3.0%
EBIT₩24B₩21B₩6.8B₩11B₩12B₩12B₩12B₩13B
EBIT margin9.2%8.9%2.6%4.7%4.7%4.7%4.7%4.7%
After-tax EBIT₩18B₩15B₩4.9B₩8.3B₩8.5B₩8.7B₩8.9B₩9.2B
+ Depreciation———₩17B₩17B₩17B₩18B₩18B
− Capital spending₩20B₩25B₩19B₩21B₩21B₩22B₩22B₩23B
− Working capital−₩946M−₩1.4B₩3.8B₩549M₩612M₩679M₩750M₩826M
Free cash flow———₩3.6B₩3.6B₩3.7B₩3.7B₩3.8B
Discount factor———0.9270.8600.7980.7400.686
Present value———₩3.3B₩3.1B₩2.9B₩2.8B₩2.6B

Terminal value ₩119B, worth ₩82B today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩1,938 a share)Now 1.80×₩3,9952.06×₩5,9433.07×₩10,2065.27×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.8%₩1,106₩1,180₩1,269₩1,378₩1,516
7.3%₩1,007₩1,067₩1,138₩1,223₩1,328
7.8%₩924₩973₩1,030₩1,097₩1,179
8.3%₩852₩892₩939₩994₩1,058
8.8%₩789₩823₩862₩906₩958

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩322B
Enterprise value
₩323B
P/E
—
P/B
1.8×
P/S
1.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩6,070₩5,647₩6,851₩2,158₩2,404
Market cap₩560B₩521B₩632B₩199B₩222B
P/E75.9×18.6×43.3×23.5×22.2×
P/B3.3×3.1×4.7×1.9×2.5×
P/S2.1×2.2×2.4×0.8×1.0×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Synopex—1.8×1.4×—0.0%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics96.8×9.5×7.8×—0.2%
Doosan39.2×5.5×0.7×—0.4%
Hanwha Systems71.2×2.8×3.0×—0.8%
LG Innotek13.1×1.4×0.4×—0.5%
Isupetasys35.4×8.3×5.4×—0.0%
Daeduck Electronics44.8×7.0×5.0×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)42.0×6.3×4.0×—0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Synopex / 시노펙스 / 025320 / KRX:025320

Source: KRX statistical information