Mirae미래산업
025560 · KOSPI · ₩025560 · 미래산업
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩5,931
vs the current price (₩7,980)
- Enterprise value
- ₩168B
- Equity value
- ₩165B
- WACC
- 8.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩4,051
- −49.2%
- Base
- ₩5,931
- −25.7%
- Bull
- ₩8,933
- +11.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (18.8%).
Revenue growth
- -3.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 18.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.76
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.64, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩91B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩3.7B
- Shares
- 27,778,678
- Share price
- ₩7,980
- Market cap
- ₩222B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩22B | ₩27B | ₩51B | ₩88B | ₩86B | ₩86B | ₩87B | ₩90B |
| Growth | −61.3% | 24.4% | 87.8% | −3.3% | −1.7% | −0.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩16B | ₩12B | ₩9.1B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩17B |
| EBIT margin | −73.5% | 44.8% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 18.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩12B | ₩8.8B | ₩6.6B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩12B |
| + Depreciation | ₩589M | ₩865M | ₩817M | ₩2.2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.2B |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩3.5B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.6B |
| − Working capital | −₩15B | ₩12B | ₩13B | −₩1.2B | −₩597M | −₩69M | ₩482M | ₩1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩12B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩10B | ₩9.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.924 | 0.854 | 0.790 | 0.730 | 0.675 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩11B | ₩9.4B | ₩8.3B | ₩7.4B | ₩6.7B |
Terminal value ₩186B, worth ₩126B today: 75% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩5,260 a share)Now 1.52× | ₩3,1290.59× | ₩8,1321.55× | ₩14,7162.80× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩912 a share)Now 8.75× | ₩6,1096.70× | ₩10,11111.1× | ₩21,33023.4× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,544 a share)Now 5.17× | ₩10,3426.70× | ₩17,11611.1× | ₩36,10723.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | ₩6,288 | ₩6,658 | ₩7,099 | ₩7,632 | ₩8,291 |
| 7.7% | ₩5,803 | ₩6,107 | ₩6,463 | ₩6,887 | ₩7,401 |
| 8.2% | ₩5,386 | ₩5,638 | ₩5,931 | ₩6,274 | ₩6,682 |
| 8.7% | ₩5,023 | ₩5,235 | ₩5,478 | ₩5,759 | ₩6,089 |
| 9.2% | ₩4,705 | ₩4,884 | ₩5,088 | ₩5,322 | ₩5,593 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩222B
- Enterprise value
- ₩224B
- P/E
- 8.7×
- P/B
- 1.5×
- P/S
- 2.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- 9.4×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,756 | ₩2,795 | ₩6,635 | ₩4,734 | ₩6,130 |
| Market cap | ₩77B | ₩78B | ₩184B | ₩132B | ₩170B |
| P/E | 7.6× | 10.9× | — | 16.4× | 22.7× |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.7× | 2.4× | 1.4× | 2.0× |
| P/S | 1.5× | 2.9× | 8.5× | 2.3× | 3.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.0× | 5.9× | — | 13.3× | 16.0× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirae | 8.7× | 1.5× | 2.4× | 9.4× | 0.0% |
| TSE | 27.5× | 6.1× | 5.1× | — | 0.2% |
| Kctech | 22.1× | 3.4× | 4.1× | 17.1× | 0.5% |
| Classys | 12.7× | 3.2× | 4.7× | 9.9× | 3.7% |
| Park Systems | 69.0× | 4.7× | 8.2× | — | 0.2% |
| DI | 42.2× | 5.8× | 2.6× | — | 0.6% |
| Curiox Biosystems | — | 21.3× | 182.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.5× | 5.3× | 4.9× | 13.5× | 0.3% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Mirae / 미래산업 / 025560 / KRX:025560
Source: KRX statistical information