Mirae

025560 · KOSPI · ₩025560 · 미래산업

₩7,980▲ ₩90 (1.14%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩5,931

vs the current price (₩7,980)

Enterprise value
₩168B
Equity value
₩165B
WACC
8.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩4,051
−49.2%
Base
₩5,931
−25.7%
Bull
₩8,933
+11.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (18.8%).

Revenue growth

  • -3.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 18.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.76

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.64, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩91B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩3.7B
Shares
27,778,678
Share price
₩7,980
Market cap
₩222B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩22B₩27B₩51B₩88B₩86B₩86B₩87B₩90B
Growth−61.3%24.4%87.8%−3.3%−1.7%−0.2%1.4%3.0%
EBIT−₩16B₩12B₩9.1B₩16B₩16B₩16B₩16B₩17B
EBIT margin−73.5%44.8%18.0%18.8%18.8%18.8%18.8%18.8%
After-tax EBIT−₩12B₩8.8B₩6.6B₩12B₩12B₩12B₩12B₩12B
+ Depreciation₩589M₩865M₩817M₩2.2B₩2.2B₩2.2B₩2.2B₩2.2B
− Capital spending———₩3.5B₩3.5B₩3.4B₩3.5B₩3.6B
− Working capital−₩15B₩12B₩13B−₩1.2B−₩597M−₩69M₩482M₩1B
Free cash flow———₩12B₩11B₩11B₩10B₩9.9B
Discount factor———0.9240.8540.7900.7300.675
Present value———₩11B₩9.4B₩8.3B₩7.4B₩6.7B

Terminal value ₩186B, worth ₩126B today: 75% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩5,260 a share)Now 1.52×₩3,1290.59×₩8,1321.55×₩14,7162.80×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩912 a share)Now 8.75×₩6,1096.70×₩10,11111.1×₩21,33023.4×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,544 a share)Now 5.17×₩10,3426.70×₩17,11611.1×₩36,10723.4×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.2%₩6,288₩6,658₩7,099₩7,632₩8,291
7.7%₩5,803₩6,107₩6,463₩6,887₩7,401
8.2%₩5,386₩5,638₩5,931₩6,274₩6,682
8.7%₩5,023₩5,235₩5,478₩5,759₩6,089
9.2%₩4,705₩4,884₩5,088₩5,322₩5,593

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩222B
Enterprise value
₩224B
P/E
8.7×
P/B
1.5×
P/S
2.4×
EV/EBITDA
9.4×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩2,756₩2,795₩6,635₩4,734₩6,130
Market cap₩77B₩78B₩184B₩132B₩170B
P/E7.6×10.9×—16.4×22.7×
P/B0.6×0.7×2.4×1.4×2.0×
P/S1.5×2.9×8.5×2.3×3.5×
EV/EBITDA8.0×5.9×—13.3×16.0×
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Mirae8.7×1.5×2.4×9.4×0.0%
TSE27.5×6.1×5.1×—0.2%
Kctech22.1×3.4×4.1×17.1×0.5%
Classys12.7×3.2×4.7×9.9×3.7%
Park Systems69.0×4.7×8.2×—0.2%
DI42.2×5.8×2.6×—0.6%
Curiox Biosystems—21.3×182.0×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)27.5×5.3×4.9×13.5×0.3%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Mirae / 미래산업 / 025560 / KRX:025560

Source: KRX statistical information