Dongshin Engineering & Construction동신건설
025950 · KOSDAQ · ₩025950 · 동신건설
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,298
vs the current price (₩9,900)
- Enterprise value
- −₩2.8B
- Equity value
- ₩28B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 67% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩9,900, the model needs an operating margin of 16.1% every year (it uses 0.6%).
- Margins ranged from −6.6% to 7.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩2,932
- −70.4%
- Base
- ₩3,298
- −66.7%
- Bull
- ₩4,168
- −57.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.6%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 0.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.38, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩34B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩19B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩12B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 8,400,000
- Share price
- ₩9,900
- Market cap
- ₩83B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩83B | ₩69B | ₩33B | ₩31B | ₩29B | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩28B |
| Growth | 64.5% | −16.6% | −51.6% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩6.3B | ₩586M | −₩2.2B | ₩184M | ₩172M | ₩166M | ₩165M | ₩170M |
| EBIT margin | 7.7% | 0.8% | −6.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩4.6B | ₩425M | −₩1.6B | ₩133M | ₩124M | ₩120M | ₩120M | ₩123M |
| + Depreciation | ₩467M | ₩391M | ₩393M | ₩245M | ₩229M | ₩221M | ₩220M | ₩227M |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩1.2B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B |
| − Working capital | ₩22B | −₩1.9B | ₩5.9B | −₩1.4B | −₩821M | −₩400M | −₩22M | ₩331M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩515M | ₩31M | −₩363M | −₩739M | −₩1.1B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩479M | ₩27M | −₩293M | −₩556M | −₩781M |
Terminal value −₩2.4B, worth −₩1.7B today: 60% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩11,586 a share)Now 0.85× | ₩13,0381.13× | ₩19,3001.67× | ₩40,5893.50× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩3,469 | ₩3,364 | ₩3,233 | ₩3,068 | ₩2,852 |
| 6.9% | ₩3,475 | ₩3,382 | ₩3,269 | ₩3,129 | ₩2,951 |
| 7.4% | ₩3,481 | ₩3,398 | ₩3,298 | ₩3,177 | ₩3,028 |
| 7.9% | ₩3,486 | ₩3,411 | ₩3,323 | ₩3,217 | ₩3,089 |
| 8.4% | ₩3,491 | ₩3,423 | ₩3,344 | ₩3,251 | ₩3,139 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩83B
- Enterprise value
- ₩64B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.9×
- P/S
- 2.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩19,970 | ₩44,850 | ₩17,270 | ₩12,550 | ₩38,150 |
| Market cap | ₩168B | ₩377B | ₩145B | ₩105B | ₩320B |
| P/E | 1,138.3× | 125.5× | 18.5× | 17.4× | — |
| P/B | 1.7× | 3.8× | 1.5× | 1.2× | 3.8× |
| P/S | 5.0× | 5.5× | 1.8× | 2.1× | 5.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 360.5× | 18.0× | 35.4× | 75.6× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dongshin Engineering & Construction | — | 0.9× | 2.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction | 22.7× | 1.1× | 0.4× | — | 0.9% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction | — | 1.3× | 0.6× | — | 0.0% |
| GS Engineering & Construction | 19.3× | 0.5× | 0.2× | — | 1.7% |
| DL E&C | 3.6× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 1.5% |
| KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering | 14.4× | 1.4× | 1.2× | 8.1× | 0.0% |
| Ipark Hyundai Development | 8.9× | 0.5× | 0.4× | — | 2.8% |
| Similar companies (median) | 14.4× | 0.8× | 0.4× | 8.1× | 1.2% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Dongshin Engineering & Construction / 동신건설 / 025950 / KRX:025950
Source: KRX statistical information