Seoul Electronics & Telecom서울전자통신
027040 · KOSDAQ · ₩027040 · 서울전자통신
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩14B
- Equity value
- −₩15B
- WACC
- 11.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,792, the model needs an operating margin of 13.3% every year (it uses −7.9%).
- Margins ranged from −14.9% to −0.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−7.9%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -7.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 2.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 1.37
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.55, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩30B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩1.4B
- Shares
- 13,917,769
- Share price
- ₩1,792
- Market cap
- ₩25B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩35B | ₩36B | ₩34B | ₩27B | ₩26B | ₩25B | ₩25B | ₩25B |
| Growth | −33.3% | 3.6% | −5.8% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩3.8B | −₩2.2B | −₩1.6B | −₩2.2B | −₩2B | −₩2B | −₩1.9B | −₩2B |
| EBIT margin | −10.9% | −6.2% | −4.8% | −7.9% | −7.9% | −7.9% | −7.9% | −7.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩2.7B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.5B |
| + Depreciation | ₩2B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B | ₩1.1B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.1B | ₩621M | ₩591M | ₩604M | ₩563M | ₩544M | ₩542M | ₩559M |
| − Working capital | −₩25B | ₩7.4B | ₩16B | ₩305M | ₩184M | ₩90M | ₩4.9M | −₩74M |
| Free cash flow | ₩23B | −₩8.4B | −₩16B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.1B | −₩986M | −₩899M | −₩847M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.900 | 0.809 | 0.728 | 0.655 | 0.589 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩1.2B | −₩900M | −₩718M | −₩589M | −₩499M |
Terminal value −₩17B, worth −₩9.9B today: 72% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩915 a share)Now 1.96× | ₩4680.51× | ₩6150.67× | ₩1,9422.12× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 12.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩25B
- Enterprise value
- ₩26B
- P/E
- 17.6×
- P/B
- 2.0×
- P/S
- 0.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩955 | ₩1,067 | ₩1,999 | ₩2,804 | ₩3,581 |
| Market cap | ₩13B | ₩15B | ₩28B | ₩39B | ₩50B |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | 852.1× |
| P/B | 1.5× | 1.0× | 0.7× | 0.7× | 0.6× |
| P/S | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.8× | 0.8× | 0.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | 30.5× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seoul Electronics & Telecom | 17.6× | 2.0× | 0.8× | — | 0.0% |
| LS Electric | 61.0× | 11.1× | 4.2× | 37.7× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 30.5× | 6.9× | 2.8× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 19.1× | 7.2× | 3.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 106.8× | 12.9× | 2.4× | 55.6× | 0.0% |
| Sanil Electric | 27.2× | 7.4× | 8.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.2× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 30.5× | 7.3× | 3.3× | 46.7× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Seoul Electronics & Telecom / 서울전자통신 / 027040 / KRX:027040
Source: KRX statistical information