FarmStory

027710 · KOSDAQ · ₩027710 · 팜스토리

₩1,119▲ ₩9 (0.81%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩4,678

vs the current price (₩1,119)

Enterprise value
₩432B
Equity value
₩521B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 318% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩1,119, the model needs an operating margin of 0.5% every year (it uses 2.5%).
  • Today's P/E is 7.4× against a typical 8.1× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩1,175
+5.0%
Base
₩4,678
+318.1%
Bull
₩11,040
+886.6%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.5%).

Revenue growth

  • 0.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.5%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 0.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 6.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.11, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩1.4T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩60B
+ Stakes and investments
₩87B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩58B
Shares
111,416,600
Share price
₩1,119
Market cap
₩125B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩1.5T₩1.5T₩1.5T₩1.4T₩1.5T₩1.5T₩1.5T₩1.6T
Growth5.2%−3.1%0.1%0.7%1.3%1.8%2.4%3.0%
EBIT₩26B₩41B₩35B₩36B₩37B₩37B₩38B₩39B
EBIT margin1.7%2.8%2.4%2.5%2.5%2.5%2.5%2.5%
After-tax EBIT₩19B₩30B₩25B₩26B₩27B₩27B₩28B₩29B
+ Depreciation———₩12B₩12B₩12B₩12B₩13B
− Capital spending₩6.6B₩12B₩23B₩13B₩13B₩13B₩14B₩14B
− Working capital−₩5.4B−₩497B₩38B₩624M₩1.2B₩1.6B₩2.2B₩2.8B
Free cash flow———₩24B₩24B₩24B₩24B₩24B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———₩23B₩21B₩19B₩18B₩17B

Terminal value ₩478B, worth ₩334B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩2,566 a share)Now 0.44×₩1,1530.45×₩2,1700.85×₩3,3731.31×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩151 a share)Now 7.41×₩7184.75×₩1,2288.13×₩8,50956.3×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩406 a share)Now 2.76×₩1,9294.75×₩3,2988.13×₩22,86156.3×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩4,935₩5,215₩5,559₩5,989₩6,545
6.9%₩4,580₩4,804₩5,074₩5,403₩5,816
7.4%₩4,282₩4,463₩4,678₩4,936₩5,252
7.9%₩4,026₩4,176₩4,350₩4,555₩4,802
8.4%₩3,805₩3,930₩4,072₩4,239₩4,436

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩125B
Enterprise value
₩65B
P/E
7.4×
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
8.9%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩1,146₩1,143₩1,605₩1,640₩2,270
Market cap₩128B₩127B₩179B₩183B₩253B
P/E4.2×32.7×17.9×—49.6×
P/B0.5×0.5×0.8×0.9×1.2×
P/S0.1×0.1×0.1×0.1×0.2×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield8.7%2.2%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
FarmStory7.4×0.4×0.1×—8.9%
Samyang Foods18.4×5.9×3.3×—0.4%
Orion10.5×1.1×1.2×5.3×3.1%
CJ Cheiljedang—0.3×0.1×—3.5%
Nongshim12.0×0.8×0.7×—1.5%
Otoki16.9×0.6×0.3×—2.9%
Hite Jinro23.0×0.9×0.4×6.3×4.5%
Similar companies (median)16.9×0.9×0.5×5.8×3.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: FarmStory / 팜스토리 / 027710 / KRX:027710

Source: KRX statistical information