Samsung E&A삼성E&A
028050 · KOSPI · ₩028050 · 삼성E&A
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩66,040
vs the current price (₩59,800)
- Enterprise value
- ₩8.9T
- Equity value
- ₩13T
- WACC
- 8.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩46,726
- −21.9%
- Base
- ₩66,040
- +10.4%
- Bull
- ₩97,147
- +62.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.7%).
Revenue growth
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 8.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.76
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.65, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩9.6T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩3.7T
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩360B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 196,000,000
- Share price
- ₩59,800
- Market cap
- ₩12T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩11T | ₩10T | ₩9T | ₩9.3T | ₩9.1T | ₩9.1T | ₩9.2T | ₩9.5T |
| Growth | 5.7% | −6.2% | −9.4% | −3.5% | −1.9% | −0.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩993B | ₩972B | ₩792B | ₩808B | ₩793B | ₩791B | ₩802B | ₩826B |
| EBIT margin | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩720B | ₩704B | ₩574B | ₩586B | ₩575B | ₩573B | ₩581B | ₩599B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩65B | ₩64B | ₩64B | ₩65B | ₩66B |
| − Capital spending | ₩54B | ₩86B | ₩96B | ₩74B | ₩73B | ₩73B | ₩74B | ₩76B |
| − Working capital | ₩523B | −₩1.2T | ₩453B | ₩13B | ₩7.1B | ₩1.1B | −₩5.1B | −₩11B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩563B | ₩559B | ₩563B | ₩577B | ₩600B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.924 | 0.854 | 0.789 | 0.729 | 0.674 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩521B | ₩477B | ₩444B | ₩421B | ₩405B |
Terminal value ₩9.8T, worth ₩6.6T today: 75% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩25,567 a share)Now 2.34× | ₩23,4230.92× | ₩43,3831.70× | ₩58,9842.31× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,383 a share)Now 17.7× | ₩16,7434.95× | ₩29,0438.58× | ₩46,65813.8× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (preliminary Q3 2026 × 4: ₩4,453 a share)Now 13.4× | ₩22,0384.95× | ₩38,2288.58× | ₩61,41313.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | ₩67,393 | ₩70,757 | ₩74,767 | ₩79,631 | ₩85,650 |
| 7.7% | ₩63,892 | ₩66,710 | ₩70,022 | ₩73,971 | ₩78,759 |
| 8.2% | ₩60,877 | ₩63,266 | ₩66,040 | ₩69,302 | ₩73,190 |
| 8.7% | ₩58,253 | ₩60,300 | ₩62,652 | ₩65,384 | ₩68,596 |
| 9.2% | ₩55,949 | ₩57,718 | ₩59,734 | ₩62,051 | ₩64,741 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩12T
- Enterprise value
- ₩8T
- P/E
- 17.7×
- P/B
- 2.3×
- P/S
- 1.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩24,050 | ₩16,550 | ₩29,000 | ₩22,250 | ₩22,900 |
| Market cap | ₩4.7T | ₩3.2T | ₩5.7T | ₩4.4T | ₩4.5T |
| P/E | 7.6× | 4.3× | 7.5× | 6.6× | 12.1× |
| P/B | 1.0× | 0.8× | 1.6× | 1.6× | 2.2× |
| P/S | 0.5× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 0.4× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.3% | 4.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsung E&A | 17.7× | 2.3× | 1.2× | — | 1.3% |
| HD Hyundai Marine Solution | 22.7× | 8.5× | 3.5× | — | 2.3% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction | 96.9× | 5.9× | 6.5× | 48.2× | 1.5% |
| POSCO DX | 88.4× | 5.0× | 2.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanyang ENG | 7.3× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 3.5× | 0.0% |
| SemiFive | — | 2.0× | 3.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Korea Electronic Power Industrial Development | 67.1× | 3.0× | 0.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 67.1× | 4.0× | 3.2× | 25.8× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Samsung E&A / 삼성E&A / 028050 / KRX:028050
Source: KRX statistical information