KC

029460 · KOSPI · ₩029460 · 케이씨

₩36,650▲ ₩3,400 (10.23%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩58,732

vs the current price (₩36,650)

Enterprise value
₩585B
Equity value
₩647B
WACC
7.8%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 60% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩36,650, the model needs an operating margin of 5.4% every year (it uses 8.0%).
  • Or revenue growth −17.0 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from 3.8% to 11.8% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 43% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
  • Today's P/E is 7.4× against a typical 4.4× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩33,280
−9.2%
Base
₩58,732
+60.3%
Bull
₩102,437
+179.5%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -2.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 5.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 22.9%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.69

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.53, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩814B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩62B
Shares
11,020,535
Share price
₩36,650
Market cap
₩404B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩727B₩738B₩797B₩794B₩786B₩788B₩801B₩825B
Growth−15.3%1.6%8.0%−2.4%−1.1%0.3%1.6%3.0%
EBIT₩66B₩28B₩46B₩64B₩63B₩63B₩64B₩66B
EBIT margin9.1%3.8%5.8%8.0%8.0%8.0%8.0%8.0%
After-tax EBIT₩48B₩20B₩34B₩46B₩46B₩46B₩46B₩48B
+ Depreciation₩18B₩19B₩23B₩21B₩21B₩21B₩22B₩22B
− Capital spending₩45B₩38B₩51B₩47B₩46B₩46B₩47B₩49B
− Working capital−₩148B₩135B₩47B−₩4.5B−₩2B₩540M₩2.9B₩5.5B
Free cash flow₩169B−₩133B−₩41B₩25B₩22B₩20B₩18B₩16B
Discount factor———0.9270.8600.7980.7400.686
Present value———₩23B₩19B₩16B₩13B₩11B

Terminal value ₩732B, worth ₩502B today: 86% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩87,919 a share)Now 0.42×₩22,4210.26×₩27,4600.31×₩36,6500.42×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,935 a share)Now 7.43×₩10,6932.17×₩21,7644.41×₩43,9008.90×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩8,014 a share)Now 4.57×₩17,3662.17×₩35,3444.41×₩71,2918.90×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.8%₩62,760₩66,493₩70,987₩76,505₩83,449
7.3%₩57,709₩60,716₩64,276₩68,560₩73,822
7.8%₩53,413₩55,867₩58,732₩62,124₩66,206
8.3%₩49,717₩51,743₩54,079₩56,807₩60,036
8.8%₩46,505₩48,194₩50,121₩52,344₩54,939

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩404B
Enterprise value
₩342B
P/E
7.4×
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.5×
EV/EBITDA
5.0×
Dividend yield
1.2%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩25,500₩16,590₩18,410₩17,050₩22,850
Market cap₩281B₩183B₩203B₩188B₩252B
P/E6.4×3.9×4.3×1.9×4.8×
P/B0.3×0.2×0.3×0.3×0.4×
P/S0.4×0.2×0.3×0.2×0.5×
EV/EBITDA3.2×1.4×—0.9×2.3×
Dividend yield1.7%1.9%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
KC7.4×0.4×0.5×5.0×1.2%
TSE27.5×6.1×5.1×—0.2%
Kctech20.8×3.2×3.8×16.1×0.5%
Classys12.6×3.1×4.7×9.8×3.8%
Park Systems68.1×4.6×8.1×—0.2%
Curiox Biosystems—21.9×187.1×—0.0%
DI36.7×5.0×2.2×—0.7%
Similar companies (median)27.5×4.8×4.9×13.0×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: KC / 케이씨 / 029460 / KRX:029460

Source: KRX statistical information