Yangjisa양지사
030960 · KOSDAQ · ₩030960 · 양지사
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,506
vs the current price (₩6,640)
- Enterprise value
- −₩76B
- Equity value
- ₩24B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 77% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩6,640, the model needs an operating margin of 2.3% every year (it uses −6.9%).
- Margins ranged from −11.1% to 0.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩2,052
- −69.1%
- Base
- ₩1,506
- −77.3%
- Bull
- ₩1,003
- −84.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−6.9%).
Revenue growth
- 7.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -6.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 34.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.07, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (FY 2025)
- ₩56B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩100B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩2M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 15,980,000
- Share price
- ₩6,640
- Market cap
- ₩106B
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩62B | ₩58B | ₩56B | ₩60B | ₩64B | ₩67B | ₩70B | ₩72B |
| Growth | 38.4% | −6.4% | −3.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩6.9B | ₩156M | −₩6.1B | −₩4.1B | −₩4.4B | −₩4.6B | −₩4.8B | −₩5B |
| EBIT margin | −11.1% | 0.3% | −10.9% | −6.9% | −6.9% | −6.9% | −6.9% | −6.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩5B | ₩113M | −₩4.4B | −₩3B | −₩3.2B | −₩3.4B | −₩3.5B | −₩3.6B |
| + Depreciation | ₩2.6B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.8B | ₩3B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.2B |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩2.4B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.9B |
| − Working capital | −₩97B | −₩7.1B | −₩4.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.2B | ₩958M | ₩730M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩4.2B | −₩4.3B | −₩4.3B | −₩4.2B | −₩4.1B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩3.9B | −₩3.7B | −₩3.5B | −₩3.1B | −₩2.8B |
Terminal value −₩84B, worth −₩59B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩11,775 a share)Now 0.56× | ₩6,6400.56× | ₩9,2720.79× | ₩21,8321.85× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩1,555 | ₩1,047 | ₩421 | — | — |
| 6.9% | ₩1,952 | ₩1,530 | ₩1,019 | ₩391 | — |
| 7.4% | ₩2,288 | ₩1,931 | ₩1,506 | ₩994 | ₩363 |
| 7.9% | ₩2,574 | ₩2,269 | ₩1,911 | ₩1,485 | ₩971 |
| 8.4% | ₩2,822 | ₩2,558 | ₩2,252 | ₩1,893 | ₩1,466 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩106B
- Enterprise value
- ₩6.1B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 1.9×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩7,790 | ₩9,980 | ₩12,980 | ₩31,900 | ₩9,310 |
| Market cap | ₩124B | ₩159B | ₩207B | ₩510B | ₩149B |
| P/E | — | 35.9× | 170.2× | — | 112.8× |
| P/B | 0.7× | 0.8× | 1.1× | 2.8× | 0.8× |
| P/S | 2.2× | 2.7× | 3.3× | 11.4× | 3.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 18.8× | — | 219.5× | 335.2× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yangjisa | — | 0.6× | 1.9× | — | 0.0% |
| SM Life Design Group | 9.7× | 0.7× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 9.7× | 0.7× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Yangjisa / 양지사 / 030960 / KRX:030960
Source: KRX statistical information