Samt에스에이엠티
031330 · KOSDAQ · ₩031330 · 에스에이엠티
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩25,074
vs the current price (₩7,640)
- Enterprise value
- ₩3.4T
- Equity value
- ₩2.5T
- WACC
- 6.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 228% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩7,640, the model needs an operating margin of 1.9% every year (it uses 3.1%).
- Or revenue growth −29.9 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Today's P/E is 1.9× against a typical 5.8× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩25,074
- +228.2%
- Bull
- ₩83,295
- +990.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.1%).
Revenue growth
- 13.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 11.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 17.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.91
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.86, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩6.5T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩876B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩2.5B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 99,995,067
- Share price
- ₩7,640
- Market cap
- ₩764B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩2.1T | ₩2.9T | ₩3.8T | ₩7.3T | ₩8.2T | ₩8.9T | ₩9.4T | ₩9.6T |
| Growth | −15.7% | 34.7% | 30.0% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩54B | ₩67B | ₩114B | ₩228B | ₩253B | ₩275B | ₩290B | ₩299B |
| EBIT margin | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩39B | ₩49B | ₩83B | ₩165B | ₩184B | ₩199B | ₩210B | ₩217B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩7.3B | ₩8.2B | ₩8.9B | ₩9.4B | ₩9.6B |
| − Capital spending | ₩7.5B | ₩802M | ₩372M | ₩7.3B | ₩8.2B | ₩8.9B | ₩9.4B | ₩9.6B |
| − Working capital | −₩108B | ₩229B | ₩196B | ₩160B | ₩147B | ₩123B | ₩90B | ₩50B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩4.6B | ₩36B | ₩76B | ₩120B | ₩166B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.940 | 0.883 | 0.830 | 0.780 | 0.733 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩4.4B | ₩32B | ₩63B | ₩94B | ₩122B |
Terminal value ₩4.2T, worth ₩3.1T today: 91% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩8,333 a share)Now 0.92× | ₩5,6280.68× | ₩7,2210.87× | ₩11,6941.40× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,964 a share)Now 1.93× | ₩15,3213.86× | ₩22,9695.79× | ₩34,0958.60× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩4,205 a share)Now 1.82× | ₩16,2523.86× | ₩24,3655.79× | ₩36,1678.60× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.4% | ₩29,392 | ₩32,319 | ₩36,082 | ₩41,114 | ₩48,199 |
| 5.9% | ₩25,054 | ₩27,197 | ₩29,871 | ₩33,307 | ₩37,900 |
| 6.4% | ₩21,526 | ₩23,126 | ₩25,074 | ₩27,503 | ₩30,624 |
| 6.9% | ₩18,603 | ₩19,815 | ₩21,260 | ₩23,020 | ₩25,212 |
| 7.4% | ₩16,141 | ₩17,069 | ₩18,158 | ₩19,455 | ₩21,032 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩764B
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.6T
- P/E
- 1.9×
- P/B
- 0.9×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,150 | ₩2,605 | ₩2,745 | ₩2,690 | ₩4,445 |
| Market cap | ₩415B | ₩260B | ₩274B | ₩269B | ₩444B |
| P/E | 5.5× | 4.8× | 8.3× | 4.7× | 7.4× |
| P/B | 0.9× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 0.7× | 1.4× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 5.5% | 7.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samt | 1.9× | 0.9× | 0.1× | — | 3.0% |
| Samsung C&T | 18.8× | 0.5× | 1.2× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.6× | 1.3× | 0.3× | — | 3.7% |
| ISC | 45.3× | 6.0× | 12.6× | — | 0.5% |
| Youngone | 5.1× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.1% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 18.9× | 1.6× | 5.1× | — | 4.2% |
| Shinsegae | 14.4× | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 2.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.6× | 1.0× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Samt / 에스에이엠티 / 031330 / KRX:031330
Source: KRX statistical information