Itcencts

031820 · KOSPI · ₩031820 · 아이티센씨티에스

₩5,080▼ ₩140 (2.68%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩14,308

vs the current price (₩5,080)

Enterprise value
₩182B
Equity value
₩173B
WACC
13.6%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 182% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩5,080, the model needs an operating margin of 1.4% every year (it uses 2.5%).
  • Or revenue growth −28.1 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • 64% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
  • Today's P/E is 0.7× against a typical 3.2× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩14,308
+181.7%
Bull
₩37,875
+645.6%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.5%).

Revenue growth

  • 15.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 12.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 9.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.5%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 2.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 2.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 2

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 6.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩1.1T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩9.2B
Shares
12,105,146
Share price
₩5,080
Market cap
₩61B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩893B₩995B₩1.1T₩1.3T₩1.5T₩1.6T₩1.7T₩1.8T
Growth25.7%11.5%10.0%15.6%12.4%9.3%6.1%3.0%
EBIT₩16B₩21B₩24B₩33B₩37B₩41B₩43B₩44B
EBIT margin1.7%2.1%2.2%2.5%2.5%2.5%2.5%2.5%
After-tax EBIT₩11B₩15B₩17B₩24B₩27B₩29B₩31B₩32B
+ Depreciation———₩29B₩33B₩36B₩38B₩39B
− Capital spending₩2.5B₩56B₩27B₩37B₩42B₩46B₩48B₩50B
− Working capital₩67B−₩8.1B−₩46B₩3.9B₩3.6B₩3B₩2.2B₩1.1B
Free cash flow———₩12B₩14B₩17B₩19B₩20B
Discount factor———0.8800.7740.6810.6000.528
Present value———₩11B₩11B₩11B₩11B₩11B

Terminal value ₩241B, worth ₩127B today: 70% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩20,933 a share)Now 0.24×₩7,5840.36×₩10,9920.53×₩16,8180.80×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩6,838 a share)Now 0.74×₩7,1501.05×₩21,8483.20×₩128,83518.8×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,737 a share)Now 2.92×₩1,8171.05×₩5,5513.20×₩32,73518.8×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
12.6%₩14,953₩15,424₩15,939₩16,503₩17,126
13.1%₩14,205₩14,627₩15,086₩15,587₩16,137
13.6%₩13,518₩13,897₩14,308₩14,755₩15,244
14.1%₩12,885₩13,227₩13,597₩13,997₩14,433
14.6%₩12,301₩12,610₩12,943₩13,303₩13,694

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩61B
Enterprise value
₩71B
P/E
0.7×
P/B
0.2×
P/S
0.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩5,920₩5,340₩7,640₩6,070₩9,300
Market cap₩72B₩65B₩92B₩73B₩113B
P/E1.4×2.6×27.9×2.2×24.2×
P/B0.3×0.4×0.6×0.5×0.8×
P/S0.1×0.1×0.1×0.1×0.3×
EV/EBITDA————1.5×
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Itcencts0.7×0.2×0.1×—0.0%
Samsung SDS24.6×1.5×1.1×—1.5%
LG CNS15.5×2.5×1.2×—2.4%
Itcenglobal7.0×3.0×0.0×—0.0%
DB7.2×1.0×0.7×16.4×0.0%
Lotte Innovate15.0×0.6×0.2×—4.1%
Shinsegae Information & Communication6.3×0.4×0.3×0.8×0.0%
Similar companies (median)11.1×1.3×0.5×8.6×0.8%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Itcencts / 아이티센씨티에스 / 031820 / KRX:031820

Source: KRX statistical information