Daou Data다우데이타
032190 · KOSDAQ · ₩032190 · 다우데이타
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,787,290
vs the current price (₩16,530)
- Enterprise value
- ₩61T
- Equity value
- ₩107T
- WACC
- 8.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 16,762% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩16,530, the model needs an operating margin of −6.7% every year (it uses 8.3%).
- Margins ranged from 6.5% to 20.0% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 1.9× against a typical 3.8× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩2,112,300
- +12,678.6%
- Base
- ₩2,787,290
- +16,762.0%
- Bull
- ₩3,874,989
- +23,342.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.3%).
Revenue growth
- 22.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 17.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 12.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (22.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 8.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.7
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.55, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩35T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩48T
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩4.1T
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩6.8T
- Shares
- 38,300,000
- Share price
- ₩16,530
- Market cap
- ₩633B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩10T | ₩12T | ₩18T | ₩44T | ₩51T | ₩58T | ₩63T | ₩64T |
| Growth | 6.0% | 17.4% | 48.7% | 22.8% | 17.9% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩668B | ₩1.2T | ₩1.6T | ₩3.6T | ₩4.3T | ₩4.8T | ₩5.2T | ₩5.4T |
| EBIT margin | 6.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩484B | ₩874B | ₩1.2T | ₩2.6T | ₩3.1T | ₩3.5T | ₩3.8T | ₩3.9T |
| + Depreciation | ₩60B | ₩75B | ₩25B | ₩174B | ₩205B | ₩232B | ₩250B | ₩258B |
| − Capital spending | ₩114B | ₩77B | ₩155B | ₩392B | ₩462B | ₩522B | ₩563B | ₩580B |
| − Working capital | ₩23T | −₩24T | −₩13T | −₩808B | −₩779B | −₩662B | −₩464B | −₩188B |
| Free cash flow | −₩23T | ₩25T | ₩14T | ₩3.2T | ₩3.6T | ₩3.9T | ₩3.9T | ₩3.7T |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.926 | 0.858 | 0.795 | 0.736 | 0.682 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩3T | ₩3.1T | ₩3.1T | ₩2.9T | ₩2.6T |
Terminal value ₩68T, worth ₩46T today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩47,597 a share)Now 0.35× | ₩15,5310.33× | ₩21,2080.45× | ₩31,1570.65× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩8,764 a share)Now 1.89× | ₩18,6932.13× | ₩33,6713.84× | ₩57,8896.61× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩15,449 a share)Now 1.07× | ₩32,9532.13× | ₩59,3563.84× | ₩102,0486.61× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | ₩2,822,800 | ₩2,954,165 | ₩3,112,147 | ₩3,305,702 | ₩3,548,311 |
| 7.5% | ₩2,695,211 | ₩2,804,914 | ₩2,934,825 | ₩3,091,056 | ₩3,282,464 |
| 8.0% | ₩2,585,979 | ₩2,678,797 | ₩2,787,290 | ₩2,915,766 | ₩3,070,270 |
| 8.5% | ₩2,491,412 | ₩2,570,826 | ₩2,662,623 | ₩2,769,922 | ₩2,896,983 |
| 9.0% | ₩2,408,745 | ₩2,477,350 | ₩2,555,894 | ₩2,646,685 | ₩2,752,806 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩633B
- Enterprise value
- −₩48T
- P/E
- 1.9×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩18,400 | ₩10,160 | ₩13,770 | ₩30,950 | ₩15,100 |
| Market cap | ₩705B | ₩389B | ₩527B | ₩1.2T | ₩578B |
| P/E | 3.2× | 2.4× | 8.3× | 5.8× | 3.9× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 1.0× | 0.6× |
| P/S | 0.0× | 0.0× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | 0.8× | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.0% | 4.4% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daou Data | 1.9× | 0.3× | 0.0× | — | 3.3% |
| Samsung C&T | 17.5× | 0.5× | 1.1× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.6× | 1.3× | 0.3× | — | 3.7% |
| ISC | 41.4× | 5.5× | 11.5× | — | 0.6% |
| Youngone | 5.1× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.1% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 19.0× | 1.6× | 5.1× | — | 4.1% |
| Shinsegae | 13.7× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 2.1% |
| Similar companies (median) | 15.6× | 1.0× | 0.9× | — | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Daou Data / 다우데이타 / 032190 / KRX:032190
Source: KRX statistical information