GC MediAI

032620 · KOSDAQ · ₩032620 · GC메디아이

₩2,815▼ ₩40 (1.40%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩3,210

vs the current price (₩2,815)

Enterprise value
₩172B
Equity value
₩168B
WACC
7.1%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩1,281
−54.5%
Base
₩3,210
+14.0%
Bull
₩6,629
+135.5%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.4%).

Revenue growth

  • 14%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 11.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 4.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 0.3%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4.7%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.14, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩205B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩8.1B
+ Stakes and investments
₩22B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩18B
Shares
52,197,139
Share price
₩2,815
Market cap
₩147B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩154B₩191B₩198B₩234B₩260B₩282B₩299B₩308B
Growth15.5%23.7%3.7%14.0%11.3%8.5%5.8%3.0%
EBIT₩3.5B₩5.2B₩7.5B₩10B₩11B₩12B₩13B₩14B
EBIT margin2.3%2.7%3.8%4.4%4.4%4.4%4.4%4.4%
After-tax EBIT₩2.5B₩3.7B₩5.5B₩7.5B₩8.3B₩9B₩9.5B₩9.8B
+ Depreciation₩1.6B₩3B₩3.2B₩3.3B₩3.6B₩4B₩4.2B₩4.3B
− Capital spending₩807M₩306M—₩701M₩781M₩847M₩896M₩923M
− Working capital−₩17B₩6.2B−₩2.1B₩1.3B₩1.2B₩1B₩770M₩421M
Free cash flow₩20B₩288M—₩8.7B₩9.9B₩11B₩12B₩13B
Discount factor———0.9330.8710.8130.7590.709
Present value———₩8.1B₩8.6B₩9B₩9.1B₩9.1B

Terminal value ₩181B, worth ₩128B today: 74% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩2,726 a share)Now 1.03×₩3,5701.31×₩5,8332.14×₩8,0652.96×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.1%₩3,367₩3,638₩3,974₩4,402₩4,966
6.6%₩3,071₩3,288₩3,551₩3,878₩4,294
7.1%₩2,822₩2,999₩3,210₩3,466₩3,784
7.6%₩2,611₩2,757₩2,929₩3,134₩3,383
8.1%₩2,429₩2,551₩2,693₩2,861₩3,060

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩147B
Enterprise value
₩129B
P/E
—
P/B
1.0×
P/S
0.7×
EV/EBITDA
8.4×
Dividend yield
1.8%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,650₩3,440₩4,725₩5,040₩7,550
Market cap₩191B₩180B₩247B₩263B₩394B
P/E5.2×——73.4×29.6×
P/B1.3×1.8×2.3×2.3×3.3×
P/S1.0×0.9×1.6×2.0×3.5×
EV/EBITDA16.1×20.3×41.1×25.2×30.2×
Dividend yield1.4%0.9%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
GC MediAI—1.0×0.7×8.4×1.8%
Krafton10.0×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
Hyundai Autoever41.5×4.2×1.7×—0.7%
NC7.0×1.2×2.1×8.5×0.6%
Netmarble7.1×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss8.1×2.1×3.0×5.3×0.0%
Shift UP9.0×1.8×7.1×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)8.5×1.5×2.0×6.9×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: GC MediAI / GC메디아이 / 032620 / KRX:032620

Source: KRX statistical information