GC MediAIGC메디아이
032620 · KOSDAQ · ₩032620 · GC메디아이
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,210
vs the current price (₩2,815)
- Enterprise value
- ₩172B
- Equity value
- ₩168B
- WACC
- 7.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,281
- −54.5%
- Base
- ₩3,210
- +14.0%
- Bull
- ₩6,629
- +135.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.4%).
Revenue growth
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 11.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.14, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩205B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩8.1B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩22B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩18B
- Shares
- 52,197,139
- Share price
- ₩2,815
- Market cap
- ₩147B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩154B | ₩191B | ₩198B | ₩234B | ₩260B | ₩282B | ₩299B | ₩308B |
| Growth | 15.5% | 23.7% | 3.7% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩3.5B | ₩5.2B | ₩7.5B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩14B |
| EBIT margin | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.5B | ₩3.7B | ₩5.5B | ₩7.5B | ₩8.3B | ₩9B | ₩9.5B | ₩9.8B |
| + Depreciation | ₩1.6B | ₩3B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.6B | ₩4B | ₩4.2B | ₩4.3B |
| − Capital spending | ₩807M | ₩306M | — | ₩701M | ₩781M | ₩847M | ₩896M | ₩923M |
| − Working capital | −₩17B | ₩6.2B | −₩2.1B | ₩1.3B | ₩1.2B | ₩1B | ₩770M | ₩421M |
| Free cash flow | ₩20B | ₩288M | — | ₩8.7B | ₩9.9B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩13B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.933 | 0.871 | 0.813 | 0.759 | 0.709 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩8.1B | ₩8.6B | ₩9B | ₩9.1B | ₩9.1B |
Terminal value ₩181B, worth ₩128B today: 74% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,726 a share)Now 1.03× | ₩3,5701.31× | ₩5,8332.14× | ₩8,0652.96× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | ₩3,367 | ₩3,638 | ₩3,974 | ₩4,402 | ₩4,966 |
| 6.6% | ₩3,071 | ₩3,288 | ₩3,551 | ₩3,878 | ₩4,294 |
| 7.1% | ₩2,822 | ₩2,999 | ₩3,210 | ₩3,466 | ₩3,784 |
| 7.6% | ₩2,611 | ₩2,757 | ₩2,929 | ₩3,134 | ₩3,383 |
| 8.1% | ₩2,429 | ₩2,551 | ₩2,693 | ₩2,861 | ₩3,060 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩147B
- Enterprise value
- ₩129B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.0×
- P/S
- 0.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- 8.4×
- Dividend yield
- 1.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,650 | ₩3,440 | ₩4,725 | ₩5,040 | ₩7,550 |
| Market cap | ₩191B | ₩180B | ₩247B | ₩263B | ₩394B |
| P/E | 5.2× | — | — | 73.4× | 29.6× |
| P/B | 1.3× | 1.8× | 2.3× | 2.3× | 3.3× |
| P/S | 1.0× | 0.9× | 1.6× | 2.0× | 3.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | 16.1× | 20.3× | 41.1× | 25.2× | 30.2× |
| Dividend yield | 1.4% | 0.9% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC MediAI | — | 1.0× | 0.7× | 8.4× | 1.8% |
| Krafton | 10.0× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 41.5× | 4.2× | 1.7× | — | 0.7% |
| NC | 7.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 8.5× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.1× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 8.1× | 2.1× | 3.0× | 5.3× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 9.0× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.5× | 1.5× | 2.0× | 6.9× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: GC MediAI / GC메디아이 / 032620 / KRX:032620
Source: KRX statistical information