Samjin삼진
032750 · KOSDAQ · ₩032750 · 삼진
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩5,546
vs the current price (₩2,710)
- Enterprise value
- ₩25B
- Equity value
- ₩50B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 105% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,710, the model needs an operating margin of 0.8% every year (it uses 2.3%).
- 35% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 5.8× against a typical 6.7× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩2,383
- −12.1%
- Base
- ₩5,546
- +104.6%
- Bull
- ₩11,587
- +327.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.3%).
Revenue growth
- -1.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 2.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 22.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.08, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩136B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩25B
- Shares
- 9,031,122
- Share price
- ₩2,710
- Market cap
- ₩24B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩156B | ₩159B | ₩148B | ₩134B | ₩134B | ₩135B | ₩137B | ₩141B |
| Growth | 0.8% | 1.8% | −6.8% | −1.5% | −0.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩1.9B | ₩7.2B | ₩5.8B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.2B |
| EBIT margin | 1.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩1.4B | ₩5.3B | ₩4.2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.4B |
| + Depreciation | ₩4.2B | ₩4B | ₩4.3B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.8B |
| − Capital spending | ₩7.7B | ₩922M | ₩4B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.8B | ₩4B |
| − Working capital | −₩7.9B | ₩3.8B | ₩7.7B | −₩466M | −₩122M | ₩244M | ₩583M | ₩938M |
| Free cash flow | ₩5.7B | ₩4.6B | −₩3.1B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.2B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.3B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩2.4B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.2B | ₩893M |
Terminal value ₩25B, worth ₩18B today: 69% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩12,635 a share)Now 0.21× | ₩3,3320.26× | ₩5,8110.46× | ₩7,9590.63× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩468 a share)Now 5.79× | ₩1,9974.27× | ₩3,1346.70× | ₩5,45811.7× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩463 a share)Now 5.85× | ₩1,9764.27× | ₩3,1026.70× | ₩5,40111.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩6,128 | ₩6,127 | ₩6,122 | ₩6,112 | ₩6,096 |
| 6.9% | ₩5,852 | ₩5,832 | ₩5,805 | ₩5,768 | ₩5,719 |
| 7.4% | ₩5,620 | ₩5,587 | ₩5,546 | ₩5,494 | ₩5,427 |
| 7.9% | ₩5,421 | ₩5,380 | ₩5,330 | ₩5,269 | ₩5,193 |
| 8.4% | ₩5,248 | ₩5,203 | ₩5,148 | ₩5,082 | ₩5,002 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩24B
- Enterprise value
- −₩172M
- P/E
- 5.8×
- P/B
- 0.2×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,760 | ₩4,160 | ₩5,580 | ₩5,488 | ₩8,106 |
| Market cap | ₩34B | ₩38B | ₩50B | ₩50B | ₩73B |
| P/E | 8.7× | 4.2× | 434.2× | 26.1× | 7.6× |
| P/B | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.8× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.9× | 0.9× | 5.3× | 6.9× | 14.8× |
| Dividend yield | 2.4% | 1.9% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samjin | 5.8× | 0.2× | 0.2× | — | 3.3% |
| Samsung Electronics | 8.7× | 2.3× | 2.7× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Electronics | 24.7× | 1.0× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Vision | 16.4× | 2.1× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| RFHIC | 37.6× | 3.4× | 6.1× | — | 0.9% |
| KMW | — | 4.9× | 8.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Intellian Technologies | 12.9× | 2.0× | 1.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.4× | 2.2× | 2.1× | — | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Samjin / 삼진 / 032750 / KRX:032750
Source: KRX statistical information