WonIk원익
032940 · KOSDAQ · ₩032940 · 원익
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩5,530
vs the current price (₩7,270)
- Enterprise value
- ₩160B
- Equity value
- ₩101B
- WACC
- 7.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩911
- −87.5%
- Base
- ₩5,530
- −23.9%
- Bull
- ₩13,714
- +88.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.6%).
Revenue growth
- 11.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 9.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 6.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 16.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.83
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.74, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩161B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩60B
- Shares
- 18,193,181
- Share price
- ₩7,270
- Market cap
- ₩132B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩130B | ₩139B | ₩151B | ₩180B | ₩197B | ₩212B | ₩223B | ₩230B |
| Growth | 20.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩12B | ₩9.3B | ₩8.9B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩15B |
| EBIT margin | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩9.1B | ₩6.8B | ₩6.5B | ₩8.6B | ₩9.4B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩11B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩4.9B | ₩5.3B | ₩5.7B | ₩6B | ₩6.2B |
| − Capital spending | ₩614M | ₩2.9B | ₩11B | ₩5.9B | ₩6.5B | ₩7B | ₩7.4B | ₩7.6B |
| − Working capital | ₩2.1B | −₩2.5B | ₩6.8B | ₩3.2B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.4B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩4.4B | ₩5.4B | ₩6.4B | ₩7.5B | ₩8.5B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.933 | 0.871 | 0.813 | 0.759 | 0.708 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩4.1B | ₩4.7B | ₩5.2B | ₩5.7B | ₩6B |
Terminal value ₩190B, worth ₩135B today: 84% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩16,329 a share)Now 0.45× | ₩3,9950.24× | ₩5,1460.32× | ₩8,8040.54× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,145 a share)Now 6.35× | ₩2,2431.96× | ₩3,7193.25× | ₩9,9008.65× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2,460 a share)Now 2.96× | ₩4,8191.96× | ₩7,9923.25× | ₩21,2748.65× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | ₩6,158 | ₩6,890 | ₩7,796 | ₩8,948 | ₩10,464 |
| 6.6% | ₩5,261 | ₩5,839 | ₩6,540 | ₩7,408 | ₩8,512 |
| 7.1% | ₩4,511 | ₩4,976 | ₩5,530 | ₩6,201 | ₩7,032 |
| 7.6% | ₩3,875 | ₩4,254 | ₩4,699 | ₩5,229 | ₩5,872 |
| 8.1% | ₩3,329 | ₩3,642 | ₩4,005 | ₩4,430 | ₩4,937 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩132B
- Enterprise value
- ₩190B
- P/E
- 6.4×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩10,580 | ₩3,385 | ₩3,655 | ₩3,960 | ₩4,400 |
| Market cap | ₩192B | ₩62B | ₩66B | ₩72B | ₩80B |
| P/E | 16.7× | 2.9× | — | 1.9× | 2.8× |
| P/B | 0.7× | 0.2× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.4× |
| P/S | 1.3× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.7× | 0.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WonIk | 6.4× | 0.4× | 0.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung C&T | 18.8× | 0.5× | 1.2× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.5× | 1.2× | 0.3× | — | 3.8% |
| ISC | 45.4× | 6.1× | 12.7× | — | 0.5% |
| Youngone | 5.1× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.1% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 19.2× | 1.6× | 5.1× | — | 4.1% |
| Shinsegae | 13.9× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 2.1% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.3× | 1.0× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: WonIk / 원익 / 032940 / KRX:032940
Source: KRX statistical information