Cheryong Electric

033100 · KOSDAQ · ₩033100 · 제룡전기

₩37,700▼ ₩1,500 (3.83%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩51,710

vs the current price (₩37,700)

Enterprise value
₩788B
Equity value
₩831B
WACC
9.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 37% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩37,700, the model needs an operating margin of 20.1% every year (it uses 27.1%).
  • Or revenue growth −9.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from 0.2% to 38.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 45% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • Today's P/E is 11.0× against a typical 11.9× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩37,757
+0.2%
Base
₩51,710
+37.2%
Bull
₩72,582
+92.5%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (27.1%).

Revenue growth

  • 25%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (37.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (37.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 14%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (37.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (37.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (37.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 27.1%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.9

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.85, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩184B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩39B
+ Stakes and investments
₩4B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
16,062,409
Share price
₩37,700
Market cap
₩606B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩184B₩263B₩224B₩230B₩275B₩313B₩340B₩350B
Growth113.7%42.8%−14.7%25.0%19.5%14.0%8.5%3.0%
EBIT₩70B₩98B₩67B₩62B₩74B₩85B₩92B₩95B
EBIT margin38.1%37.2%29.9%27.1%27.1%27.1%27.1%27.1%
After-tax EBIT₩51B₩71B₩49B₩45B₩54B₩61B₩67B₩69B
+ Depreciation———₩1.8B₩2.2B₩2.5B₩2.7B₩2.8B
− Capital spending₩2.2B₩2.3B₩2.4B₩2.3B₩2.7B₩3.1B₩3.4B₩3.5B
− Working capital₩44B₩69B₩14B₩18B₩18B₩15B₩11B₩4.1B
Free cash flow———₩26B₩35B₩45B₩55B₩64B
Discount factor———0.9170.8410.7720.7080.649
Present value———₩24B₩30B₩35B₩39B₩41B

Terminal value ₩952B, worth ₩618B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩15,425 a share)Now 2.44×₩25,1251.63×₩47,5503.08×₩83,8665.44×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,421 a share)Now 11.0×₩25,5607.47×₩40,59111.9×₩81,49823.8×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩4,489 a share)Now 8.40×₩33,5457.47×₩53,27211.9×₩106,95723.8×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
8.0%₩54,303₩57,179₩60,528₩64,476₩69,204
8.5%₩50,566₩52,989₩55,778₩59,026₩62,855
9.0%₩47,300₩49,361₩51,710₩54,415₩57,564
9.5%₩44,422₩46,189₩48,187₩50,465₩53,088
10.0%₩41,867₩43,394₩45,107₩47,044₩49,253

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩606B
Enterprise value
₩566B
P/E
11.0×
P/B
2.4×
P/S
3.3×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
2.9%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩35,100₩45,950₩20,050₩11,250₩5,220
Market cap₩564B₩738B₩322B₩181B₩84B
P/E9.6×9.2×5.7×14.5×71.5×
P/B2.4×3.8×2.6×2.6×1.4×
P/S2.5×2.8×1.8×2.1×1.7×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield3.1%2.2%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Cheryong Electric11.0×2.4×3.3×—2.9%
LS Electric61.1×11.2×4.2×37.8×0.0%
Hyosung Heavy Industries30.5×6.9×2.8×—0.4%
HD Hyundai Electric18.7×7.0×3.7×—0.0%
Gaon Cable110.9×13.4×2.5×57.9×0.0%
Sanil Electric26.6×7.2×8.2×—0.8%
Taihan Cable & Solution—2.1×1.0×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)30.5×7.1×3.2×47.8×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Cheryong Electric / 제룡전기 / 033100 / KRX:033100

Source: KRX statistical information