Cheryong Electric제룡전기
033100 · KOSDAQ · ₩033100 · 제룡전기
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩51,710
vs the current price (₩37,700)
- Enterprise value
- ₩788B
- Equity value
- ₩831B
- WACC
- 9.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 37% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩37,700, the model needs an operating margin of 20.1% every year (it uses 27.1%).
- Or revenue growth −9.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 0.2% to 38.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 45% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 11.0× against a typical 11.9× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩37,757
- +0.2%
- Base
- ₩51,710
- +37.2%
- Bull
- ₩72,582
- +92.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (27.1%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (37.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (37.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (37.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (37.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (37.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 27.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.9
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.85, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩184B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩39B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩4B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 16,062,409
- Share price
- ₩37,700
- Market cap
- ₩606B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩184B | ₩263B | ₩224B | ₩230B | ₩275B | ₩313B | ₩340B | ₩350B |
| Growth | 113.7% | 42.8% | −14.7% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩70B | ₩98B | ₩67B | ₩62B | ₩74B | ₩85B | ₩92B | ₩95B |
| EBIT margin | 38.1% | 37.2% | 29.9% | 27.1% | 27.1% | 27.1% | 27.1% | 27.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩51B | ₩71B | ₩49B | ₩45B | ₩54B | ₩61B | ₩67B | ₩69B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.8B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.8B |
| − Capital spending | ₩2.2B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.7B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.5B |
| − Working capital | ₩44B | ₩69B | ₩14B | ₩18B | ₩18B | ₩15B | ₩11B | ₩4.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩26B | ₩35B | ₩45B | ₩55B | ₩64B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.917 | 0.841 | 0.772 | 0.708 | 0.649 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩24B | ₩30B | ₩35B | ₩39B | ₩41B |
Terminal value ₩952B, worth ₩618B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩15,425 a share)Now 2.44× | ₩25,1251.63× | ₩47,5503.08× | ₩83,8665.44× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,421 a share)Now 11.0× | ₩25,5607.47× | ₩40,59111.9× | ₩81,49823.8× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩4,489 a share)Now 8.40× | ₩33,5457.47× | ₩53,27211.9× | ₩106,95723.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | ₩54,303 | ₩57,179 | ₩60,528 | ₩64,476 | ₩69,204 |
| 8.5% | ₩50,566 | ₩52,989 | ₩55,778 | ₩59,026 | ₩62,855 |
| 9.0% | ₩47,300 | ₩49,361 | ₩51,710 | ₩54,415 | ₩57,564 |
| 9.5% | ₩44,422 | ₩46,189 | ₩48,187 | ₩50,465 | ₩53,088 |
| 10.0% | ₩41,867 | ₩43,394 | ₩45,107 | ₩47,044 | ₩49,253 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩606B
- Enterprise value
- ₩566B
- P/E
- 11.0×
- P/B
- 2.4×
- P/S
- 3.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.9%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩35,100 | ₩45,950 | ₩20,050 | ₩11,250 | ₩5,220 |
| Market cap | ₩564B | ₩738B | ₩322B | ₩181B | ₩84B |
| P/E | 9.6× | 9.2× | 5.7× | 14.5× | 71.5× |
| P/B | 2.4× | 3.8× | 2.6× | 2.6× | 1.4× |
| P/S | 2.5× | 2.8× | 1.8× | 2.1× | 1.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.1% | 2.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheryong Electric | 11.0× | 2.4× | 3.3× | — | 2.9% |
| LS Electric | 61.1× | 11.2× | 4.2× | 37.8× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 30.5× | 6.9× | 2.8× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 18.7× | 7.0× | 3.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 110.9× | 13.4× | 2.5× | 57.9× | 0.0% |
| Sanil Electric | 26.6× | 7.2× | 8.2× | — | 0.8% |
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.1× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 30.5× | 7.1× | 3.2× | 47.8× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Cheryong Electric / 제룡전기 / 033100 / KRX:033100
Source: KRX statistical information