Signetics

033170 · KOSDAQ · ₩033170 · 시그네틱스

₩3,095▼ ₩5 (0.16%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩146B
Equity value
−₩186B
WACC
6.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩3,095, the model needs an operating margin of 6.1% every year (it uses −9.0%).
  • Margins ranged from −23.1% to 7.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−9.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-29% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-29% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-29% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-29% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-29% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 6.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 8.9%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.16, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩111B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩40B
Shares
17,145,663
Share price
₩3,095
Market cap
₩53B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩185B₩118B₩103B₩100B₩94B₩90B₩90B₩93B
Growth−35.5%−36.3%−12.8%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT−₩15B−₩26B−₩24B−₩9B−₩8.4B−₩8.1B−₩8.1B−₩8.4B
EBIT margin−8.1%−21.9%−23.1%−9.0%−9.0%−9.0%−9.0%−9.0%
After-tax EBIT−₩11B−₩19B−₩17B−₩6.5B−₩6.1B−₩5.9B−₩5.9B−₩6.1B
+ Depreciation₩9.7B₩9.9B₩4.9B₩6.1B₩5.7B₩5.5B₩5.5B₩5.7B
− Capital spending———₩4B₩3.7B₩3.6B₩3.6B₩3.7B
− Working capital−₩30B−₩15B₩12B−₩992M−₩598M−₩292M−₩16M₩241M
Free cash flow———−₩3.4B−₩3.5B−₩3.7B−₩4B−₩4.4B
Discount factor———0.9440.8900.8400.7930.748
Present value———−₩3.3B−₩3.2B−₩3.1B−₩3.2B−₩3.3B

Terminal value −₩174B, worth −₩130B today: 89% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩2,658 a share)Now 1.16×₩1,9260.72×₩2,7111.02×₩4,0791.53×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.0%—————
5.5%—————
6.0%—————
6.5%—————
7.0%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩53B
Enterprise value
₩93B
P/E
—
P/B
1.2×
P/S
0.5×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,910₩4,320₩6,180₩5,150₩12,600
Market cap₩67B₩74B₩106B₩88B₩216B
P/E———11.7×12.7×
P/B1.3×1.1×0.9×0.7×1.7×
P/S0.7×0.6×0.6×0.3×0.8×
EV/EBITDA———5.6×8.1×
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Signetics—1.2×0.5×—0.0%
SK hynix6.7×4.1×5.7×—0.2%
DB HiTek12.6×1.8×2.8×—0.8%
Fadu—40.1×14.0×—0.0%
Hana Micron14.4×4.5×1.2×—0.2%
Jeju Semiconductor10.4×5.4×3.6×—0.0%
SFA Semicon—3.1×3.3×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)11.5×4.3×3.4×—0.1%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Signetics / 시그네틱스 / 033170 / KRX:033170

Source: KRX statistical information