M2N엠투엔
033310 · KOSDAQ · ₩033310 · 엠투엔
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩35B
- Equity value
- −₩50B
- WACC
- 6.6%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,296, the model needs an operating margin of 4.0% every year (it uses −0.4%).
- Margins ranged from −17.0% to 4.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 55% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
- Today's P/E is 17.1× against a typical 18.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- ₩38
- −97.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−0.4%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (44.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (44.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (44.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (44.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (44.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -0.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 2.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 16%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.17, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩86B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩16B
- Shares
- 39,972,456
- Share price
- ₩1,296
- Market cap
- ₩52B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩77B | ₩91B | ₩87B | ₩107B | ₩128B | ₩146B | ₩158B | ₩163B |
| Growth | 170.6% | 18.5% | −5.1% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩3.2B | ₩3.7B | ₩2.8B | −₩428M | −₩511M | −₩583M | −₩633M | −₩652M |
| EBIT margin | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | −0.4% | −0.4% | −0.4% | −0.4% | −0.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.3B | ₩2.7B | ₩2B | −₩310M | −₩371M | −₩423M | −₩459M | −₩472M |
| + Depreciation | ₩2.1B | ₩2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.7B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.6B | ₩4B | ₩4.1B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.4B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.7B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.6B | ₩4B | ₩4.1B |
| − Working capital | −₩5.1B | −₩7.1B | ₩11B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.3B | ₩2.9B | ₩2B | ₩759M |
| Free cash flow | ₩8.1B | ₩9.5B | −₩9.9B | −₩3.7B | −₩3.7B | −₩3.3B | −₩2.4B | −₩1.2B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.938 | 0.880 | 0.825 | 0.774 | 0.726 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩3.5B | −₩3.3B | −₩2.7B | −₩1.9B | −₩894M |
Terminal value −₩31B, worth −₩23B today: 65% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,720 a share)Now 0.35× | ₩1,7560.47× | ₩2,8250.76× | ₩7,1131.91× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩76 a share)Now 17.1× | ₩6989.23× | ₩1,37718.2× | ₩2,73736.2× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩428 a share)Now 3.03× | ₩3,9549.23× | ₩7,80418.2× | ₩15,50736.2× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩52B
- Enterprise value
- ₩67B
- P/E
- 17.1×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- 16.3×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,793 | ₩1,777 | ₩3,320 | ₩4,620 | ₩11,750 |
| Market cap | ₩72B | ₩71B | ₩133B | ₩185B | ₩470B |
| P/E | — | 20.2× | 41.1× | 35.1× | — |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.9× | 1.3× | 3.4× |
| P/S | 0.8× | 0.8× | 1.7× | 6.5× | 10.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.8× | 13.3× | 26.9× | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M2N | 17.1× | 0.3× | 0.6× | 16.3× | 0.0% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 95.9× | 9.4× | 7.8× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 37.2× | 5.2× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 69.5× | 2.7× | 3.0× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 12.4× | 1.3× | 0.3× | — | 0.5% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 44.9× | 7.0× | 5.1× | — | 0.4% |
| Isupetasys | 33.8× | 7.9× | 5.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 41.1× | 6.1× | 4.0× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: M2N / 엠투엔 / 033310 / KRX:033310
Source: KRX statistical information